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研究生:許戎民
研究生(外文):Hsu, Jung-Min
論文名稱:應用軟體租賃服務業投資評估指標之研究
論文名稱(外文):The Study on Investment Evaluation Criteria of Application Service Provider (ASP)
指導教授:張重昭張重昭引用關係
指導教授(外文):Chang, Chung-Chau
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:商學研究所
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:一般商業學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2001
畢業學年度:89
語文別:中文
論文頁數:131
中文關鍵詞:應用軟體租賃服務業
外文關鍵詞:ASPApplication Service Provider
相關次數:
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網際網路於近年來之發展,已帶動全球產業經濟巨大的變革,尤其以電子商務的快速成長,知識經濟的快速崛起等,均受到網際網路深遠之影響。多數企業缺乏時間與經驗來掌握最新科技的變化,再者資訊管理所需之技術與專業均使企業經理人束手無策。對中小企業而言,在導入電子化企業之過程中,更是困難重重;為了協助企業解決類似問題,應用軟體租賃服務業乃因應而生,其首要目的為提共企業配套的整合服務,以協助企業順利走向電子化企業之坦途。
外在環境因受國際間網際網路蓬勃發展,與高市值上市軟體公司之激勵下,內在環境因行政院推動鼓勵方案之推波助瀾,國外資訊大廠(A計劃廠商)、國內大企業(B計劃廠商)為整合其供應鏈管理而成立資訊軟體公司,在主、客觀投資條件的結合下,企業紛紛投資成立應用軟體租賃服務公司,然而其投資評估指標為何?卻不清楚,使企業於應用軟體租賃服務業之投資充滿不確定性與風險。
本研究有鑑於此,試圖建立一個簡單的投資評估模式,透過理論與文獻回顧,專家學者之研究及投資業者之經驗,得到初步之投資評估架構與指標,經過兩次的專家問卷,修正其中之評估指標。以最後之投資評估指標請專家學者給予權重,之後經由AHP法之整理,得到投資評估指標之相對權重。經由專家學者之意見與評估得知各階層指標之相對權重,投資評估大指標,是以「市場開發性可行性」之相對權重最大,顯示對應用軟體租賃服務業投資評估應著重於「市場開發潛力」之潛在客戶多寡及將來市場是否有成長空間及該服務「市場競爭力」中之產品競爭力、競爭對手之威脅與潛在替代產品威脅。次要的投資評估大指標為「財務與管理」,「財務能力」中之目前獲利能力、財務支撐與未來五年財務規劃能力,應比「管理能力」之領導人創新管理能力、管理團隊能力、知識管理能力與人脈之經營管理能力,優先考量。再次要的投資評估大指標為「技術能力與發展」的評估考量,評估「技術發展」之技術領先程度、研發能力與技術擴充潛力將優先於目前「技術能力」之產業的知識能力、科技人才流動性與技術差異性的重點。
運用這些投資評估指標,對照分析目前應用軟體租賃服務業者成功或失敗之關鍵因素;由前述投資評估指標之建構、相對權重評估與實例探討,驗證本研究所得之投資評估指標的權重與重要性足以解釋目前業界之現況,藉由本研究之發現,期望能提供今後計劃投資應用軟體租賃服務業之參考。
The progress of Internet application had brought up the global economic innovation in the past few years, especially on the areas of e-business and knowledge based economy, which were deeply influenced by the Internet application. Most of the enterprises lacked for experience and resources to manage the change. For the small and medium enterprises (SME), the road to implement e-business was full of obstacles. To solve the issues, the business model of ASP (Application Service Provider) was created. ASP’s first objective was to provide complimentary integrated services to help enterprises to implement e-business easily.
The blooming of Internet related business, e.g., high market-cap software companies, government’s fund reimbursement and supply chain integration were the investing environments, incubated the ASP companies (either new established or spin-off from incumbent enterprises) to serve their own industries. Then the investment evaluation criteria for ASP were unknown to them and let the investment exposed to the uncertainty and risk.
From this point, the study intended to build up a simple evaluation model. Through theoretical review and twice expert’s inputs to modify the investment evaluation criteria, we pursued expert’s weighting on these criteria, which were processed by AHP methodology to get the relative weighting between the criteria. From the above process, the study found the “market development feasibility” ranked as the no. 1 factor in the first tier of evaluation criteria. The result explained that the sequence of evaluation priorities should be “market development potential” which included market maturity and future growth, then “market competency” which enclosed products competency, threats from competitors and potential substitutes. The no. 2 factor was “financial and managerial capabilities”. The financial capability which consisted of current profibility, financial support and next five years of financial planning was more important than managerial capability which involved the leader’s innovation, management team and human connections. The no. 3 factor was “technical capability and development”. The technical development that contained technical leadership, research and development and technical expansion was superior to technical capability, which comprised industrial know-how, turnover rate of technical staff and technical differentiation.
The study applied the criteria to analyze the existing ASP’s key successful and failure factors to prove the consistence in between. The process of establishing investment evaluation criteria, relative weighting study and review on existing ASP’s KSF would prove the achievements of the study which in turn could be the investment evaluation reference for those who plan invest ASP business in the future.
摘要2
ABSTRACT4
目錄5
圖目錄6
表目錄7
第一章 緒論8
第一節 研究動機與目的8
第二節 研究內容與範圍11
第三節 研究流程與研究方法13
第二章 理論與文獻回顧17
第一節 應用軟體租賃服務業文獻探討17
第二節 投資評估指標相關文獻探討30
第三節 評估指標相關研究42
第四節 分析層級程序法與相關評估方法之探討49
第三章 應用軟體租賃服務業投資之探討55
第一節 國外ASP投資評估之相關研究55
第二節 國內ASP投資評估之相關分析70
第四章 應用軟體租賃服務業投資評估指標 之建構、評估與決定83
第一節 由文獻回顧選擇評估指標85
第二節 指標權重之決定與評估92
第三節 各因素及衡量指標權重之問卷調查及決定98
第四節 應用軟體租賃服務業實例分析105
第五章 結論與建議120
第一節 結論120
第二節 建議127
參考文獻128
中文部份
1.方溪泉。AHP與AHP’實例應用比較─以高架橋下土地使用評估為例。台北:國立中興大學法商學院都市計劃研究所碩士論文,民國八十三年六月。
2.台北市電腦公會。2000年線上ASP問卷結果報告。台北:台北市電腦公會,民國九十年二月。
3.李國熙。認識電子商務。台北:松崗,民國八十八年七月。
4.金家禾。新市區土地開發方式之評選研究─以關渡平原之開發為例。台北:國立中興大學法商學院都市計劃研究所碩士論文,民國七十三年八月。
5.吳琮璠,謝清佳。資訊管理:李潤與實務。台北:智勝,民國八十九年五月。
6.翁俊興。分析層級程序法應用在投資計劃評估之研究,國立政治大學企業管理研究所碩士論文,民國72年6月。
7.陳文賢。管理科學:作業研究與數量方法。台北:龍文出版社,民國七十六年五月。
8.張聰明。窳陋地區更新優先次序之評選─以台北市為例。台北:國立中興大學法商學院都市計劃研究所碩士論文,民國七十四年六月。
9.楊書賢。網際群體空間決策支援係土建構之研究─以AHP法應用於土地事宜性分析為例。台北:國立台灣大學地理學研究所碩士論文,民國八十八年六月。
10.資策會。資訊應用導航:世界主要國家電子商務政策分析。台北:經濟部技術處,民國八十九年九月。
11.資策會。2000eBusiness產業電子化科技專案成果報告(第一輯)。台北:經濟部技術處,民國八十九年八月。
12.謝育文。分析層級程序法(AHP)應用在我國個人電腦用印表機開發之研究。台北:國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文,民國七十四年七月。
英文部份
1.A.T. Kearney, Building the B2B Foundation, Chicago: A.T. Kearney.
2.Bartlett, Christopher A., Sumantra Ghoshal, Text, Cases, and Readings in Cross-Border Management, Boston: Harvard Business School Publishing, 2000.
3.Berquist, Thomas P., & others, Technology: Internet-Commerce (US), Goldman Sachs: Global Equity Research, May 2000.
4.Berquist, Thomas P., & others, Technology: B2B e-Commerce (US), Goldman Sachs: Global Equity Research, May 2000.
5.Berquist, Thomas P., & others, B2B: 2B or not 2B?, Goldman Sachs: Global Equity Research, April 2000.
6.CherryTree & Co., 2nd Generation ASP Spotlight Report, CherryTree & Co., 2001.
7.Coperland, Tom & Vladimir Antikarov, Real Option: a practitioner’s guide, New York: Texere Publishing Limited, September 2000.
8.Damodaran, Aswath, Applied Corporate Finance, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1999.
9.Dhawan, Rajat K., The Asian Difference in B2B, McKinsey & Company, 2000.
10.Gilan, Clare, Steve Graham, Mark Levitt, John McArthur, Steve Murry, Vernon Turner, Rick Villars, and Meredith McCarty Whalen, The ASP’s Impact on the IT Industry: An IDC-Wide Opinion, International Data Corporation, 1999.
11.Goepfert, Jessica & Meredith Whalen, Purchasing an ASP Service: Lessons Learned from Executives, IDC, 2000.
12.Golden, B.L., Wasil, E,A, and Harker, P.T., The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Application and Studies. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, 1989.
13.Gordon. D. C., and Londal. D. F., Guidelines to Capital Investment. Topic in Health Care Finance. Summer ,1989
14.ITTA, The ITTA ASP Customer Demand Survey, The Information Technology Association of America, May 2000.
15.Kalakota, Ravi & Andrew B. Whinston, Electronic Commerce: a manager’s guide, Addison-Wesley, 1997.
16.Kalakota, Ravi & Marcia Robinson, e-Business: Roadmap for Success, Addison-Wesley, 1999.
17.Klemenhagen, Brian, Application Service Providers (ASP) Spotlight Report, CherryTree & Co., October 1999.
18.Ovum, Application Service Providers: Opportunities and Risks, Ovum Ltd., 2000.
19.Saaty, T.L., The Analytic Hierarchy Process. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1980.
20.Saaty, T.L., The Analytic Hierarchy Process. 2nd Edition, RWS Publications, 1990.
21.Saaty, T.L., Decision Making for Leaders. Belmont, California: Lifetime Learning Publications, 1982.
22.Saaty, T.L., & Luis G. Vargas, The Logic of Priorities. Kluwer-Nijhoff, 1982.
23.Saaty, T.L., & Luis G. Vargas, Prediction, Projection and Forecasting, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1991.
24.SCN Education B.V., ASP-Application Service Providing. Lengericher Druckerei, Germany:Vieweg & Sohn, 2000.
25.Simchi-Levi, David, Philip Kaminsky and Edith Simchi-Levi, Designing and Managing the Supply Chain, McGraw-Hill, 2000.
26.Stobaugh, Jr., Robert B., Where in the world should we put that plant, Boston: Harvard Business Review, January-February 1969.
27.Stobaugh, Jr., Robert B., How to analyze foreign investment climates, Boston: Harvard Business Review, September-October 1969.
28.Wainewright, Phil, ASP Case Study, London: Farleit Limited, September 1999.
29.Wendland, Richard, Special Report: ASPs, Durlacher Reaearch, July 1999.
30.Weller, Todd C., Application Hosting Market: Industry Primer, Legg Mason Equity Research, August 1999.
31.Weller, Todd C., Application Hosting Market: Industry Primer, Legg Mason Equity Research, December 1999.
參考網站
Internet Technology http://internet.com/it
E-Commerce/Marketing http://internet.com/marketing
Web Developer http://internet.com/webdev
Windows Internet Technology http://internet.com/win
Internet Resources http://internet.com/resources
ISP Resources http://internet.com/isp
Internet Lists http://internet.com/lists
International http://internet.com/international
Internet News http://internet.com/news
Internet Investing http://internet.com/stocks
ASP Resources http://internet.com/asp
Wireless Internet http://internet.com/wireless
EarthWeb http://www.earthweb.com
Business-to-Business News http://www.line56.com
ASP Industry News http://www.aspisland.com
ASP Trends & Analysis http://www.ASPnews.com
To find an internet answer http://search.internet.com
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