臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

本篇論文研究政府舉借外債若應用於基礎公共建設支出，對於經濟成長的影響。利用內生成長模型，將生產性和消費性的政府支出分別納進生產函數和效用函數中。政府預算限制式除了所得稅收外也同時考慮了外債舉借。實證方法上，採用動態GMM進行模型的參數估計，發現基礎公共建設(包含醫療、國防及教育)支出占產出比例的增加對於經濟成長有著正的淨效果；私人資本占外債比例對於經濟成長有著正效果；以及淨出口額占產出比例對於經濟成長有著負的效果。實證分析上，也分別考慮區域虛擬變數和外債水準虛擬變數，結果發現不管模型是否加入區域虛擬變數或是外債虛擬變數，主要解釋變數對於經濟成長的影響方向皆相同。

This paper investigates the influences of government’s foreign borrowings for public infrastructure on economic growth. Based on endogenous growth models, the production and utility functions respectively incorporate productive and consumption government expenditure. Government finances its expenditure from income levies and foreign borrowings. Analytical framework examines the growth and welfare effects of government policies. This research further conducts econometric estimations. Using dynamic generalized methods of moments model (GMM), the estimated results find that increases in public infrastructure expenditure, including expenditure on health, military and education, stimulate economic growth. The ratio of capital to external debt affects economic performance positively, while the ratio of net export to output affects economic performance negatively. Incorporating area and debt level dummy variables, the estimated results verify our theoretical and empirical findings.

第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 章節架構 6
第二章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 生產性政府支出與經濟成長正相關之文獻 7
第二節 生產性政府支出與經濟成長負相關之文獻 11
第三節 本文貢獻及其他相關文獻 13
第三章 理論模型 14
第一節 基本假設 14
第二節 最適決策 16
第四章 實證方法 21
第一節 一般動差法 21
第二節 動態GMM 22
第三節 變數介紹 24
第四節 敘述統計 31
第五章 實證結果 34
第一節 主要變數對經濟成長影響 34
第二節 區域虛擬變數對經濟成長的影響 40
第三節 外債虛擬變數對經濟成長的影響 45
第六章 結論 52
參考文獻 54
附錄 57

一、中文文獻
1.陳仕偉和蘇家偉(2010)：出口、進口與經濟成長的因果關係─臺灣、韓國及新加坡之實證研究，臺灣銀行季刊第六十一卷第二期，60-82頁。
2.黃惠君(2008)：資本管制對經濟成長的影響，國立成功大學經濟學系碩士論文，1-68頁。
3.賴景昌(1994)：國際金融理論進階篇，茂昌圖書有限公司，台北。

二、英文文獻
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