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研究生:施純玉
研究生(外文):Shih, Chun-yu
論文名稱:淨值市價比效果之探討
論文名稱(外文):An Investigation on Book-to-Market Ratio
指導教授:陳明賢陳明賢引用關係
指導教授(外文):Chen Ming-shen
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:財務金融學系
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:財務金融學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:1997
畢業學年度:85
語文別:中文
論文頁數:72
中文關鍵詞:淨值市價比
外文關鍵詞:book-to-market
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:74
  • 點閱點閱:1312
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:0
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:0
國外有不少實證結果顯示,買進高淨值市價比股票,能為投資人帶來
較高的超額報 酬,即使以CAPM調整系統風險後亦然。Fama and
French(1992,1995)認為,若投資人預 期一家公司未來獲利狀況不佳時,
他們會給予該公司股票較低的評價,造成淨值市價比 偏高;而由於獲利
不佳的公司,對景氣狀況較為敏感,也因而投資此等公司風險也就較 高
。換言之,高、低淨值市價比股票的報酬差異,乃出自於風險補償,而此
類風險無法 藉由傳統CAPM的β完全反映。然也有部份學者持不同看法,
例如Dreman & Berry(1995) 便提出「錯誤評價校正假說」(mispricing-
correction hypothesis),他們主張是因為 投資人先前評價錯誤而後改
正,才造成淨值市價比效果。 本文的研究目的,乃探討台灣股市是
否存在淨值市價比效果,以及其可能的產生原 因。我們以市場模式(
market model)來調整系統風險,測試是否高淨值市價比者有著較 高超額
報酬;並研究淨值市價比效果的成因,是否真和公司獲利狀況有關,抑或
是出自 投資人評價錯誤。 實證結果歸納如下: 1. 台灣股市確有淨
值市價比效果存在,即使在調整風險後亦然。 2. 高淨值市
價比的公司,其未來獲利並未較差。 3. 沒
有證據顯示高淨值市價比者在高報酬背後,隱含了較高的風險。
4. 投資人似乎確有「先前錯估事後改正」的情形,此和過度反應的說法
一致。
Many researchers have documented that stocks'' excess
returns, afteradjusting for the market risk by the CAPM, are
positively related to thebook-to-market ratios. Some
researchers [Fama and French 1992,1995] arguedthat those firms
with high book-to-market ratios were expected to have
lowerreturns on capital than those firms with low book-to-market
ratios. Buyingstocks that have high book-to-market ratios, due
to these distressed firmsbeing more sensitive to economic
conditions, tend to have higher risk. Thehigher excess returns
are simply a compensation for this risk which is notaccounted
for by the traditional CAPM. However, some researchers have
raisedalternative explanations for this CAPM anomaly. For
example, Dreman and Berry(1995) proposed a mispricing-correction
hypothesis, stated that the differingreturns for different book-
to-market stocks may result from a correctivereeaction to
significant mispricing. The empirical research is conducted
first to determine whether excessreturns are found for high
book-to-market stocks, by using the market mode toto adjust for
systematic risk. Second, we are to examine whether the
excessreturn are related to the earnings prospects of the firms,
or from the marketmispricing. The major findings of this
research presented are:1. A significant positive excess returns
are found for high book-to-market stocks, by using marketmodel
to adjust for systematic risk. 2. Firms with high book-
to-market ratios do not possess poorer earnings prospects than
those of firms with low book-to-market ratios. 3. Differing
returns for different book-to-market stocks are not result
from differing risk of those firms.
4. The results presented in this research is found to be
consistent with mispricing correction, and investors tend to
overreact in Taiwanese stock market.
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