臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

SLEUTH 是一已廣泛應用於世界許多城市的細胞自動機(cellular automata, CA )土地利用與都市成長模擬模式，應用範圍包括美洲、歐洲、亞洲的許多都市，包括台灣。SLEUTH 模式中的都市成長方式主要由五個參數所控制，分別是擴散、育種、蔓延、坡度、但道路引力。結合各個描述不同都市面向的參數，可以模擬出不同型態的都市成長方式。擴散參數控制整體模式中因擴散而轉為都市網格的數量；育種參數控制一個新增都市網格轉為新擴散中心的機率；坡度參數控制坡度對都市開發的阻力；道路引力參數則控制都市網格可經由道路擴散多遠。
過去台灣大部份的研究著重在SLEUTH與其他模型結合的進一步應用。本研究將著重在SLEUTH模式對台北及高雄都會區的校準本身。藉由輸入足夠的歷史土地利用資料，並使用最佳SLEUTH標準(Optimal SLEUTH Metric) 對其結果進行評估。基本的視覺比較也將做為參數調整的基準。經過調整後的參數組合能夠對過去的都市擴張過程進行更佳的模擬，提供更進一步土地利用預測及其他氣象模式一個良好的基礎。

SLEUTH is a cellular automata land use model which has been applied to various cities widely around the world including America, Europe, Asia and also, Taiwan. There are five coefficients in the model to control the growth rules, DIFFUSSION coefficient, BREED coefficient, SPREAD coefficient, SLOPE coefficient, and ROAD GRAVITY coefficient. Combining individual coefficients together, each describing different portion of urban growth, can decide different dynamic of urban growth. Most of the past research of Taiwan focused on the application of combining SLEUTH result with further model simulation. This research addressed on the calibration of SLEUTH to Taipei and Kaohsiung metropolitan. Sufficient land use data is input in the calibration. Optimal SLEUTH metric (OSM) is used to evaluate the calibration result; also the basic visual comparison was used to certify weather the coefficient set obtained from the calibration is reasonable. Through the modification of coefficient set, the urban expansion process was better constructed in the model which is the foundation for land-use prediction and further metrology model simulation.

Abstract II
摘要 III
Contents IV
List Of Figures V
List Of Tables VI
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.2 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 4
Chapter 2 Literature Review 6
2.1 LAND USE MODEL 6
2.2 CA MODEL FOR URBAN SIMULATION 7
2.3 SLEUTH 9
2.3.1 Introduction 13
2.3.2 Calibration 15
2.3.3. Land-Use Simulation In Taiwan 16
Chapter 3 Study Cases And Methods 18
3.1 TAIPEI 19
3.2 KAOHSIUNG 21
3.3 DATABASE 23
3.4 METHODS 28
Chapter 4 Results And Discussion 34
4.1 CALIBRATION RESULT 34
4.2 VISUAL VALIDATION 36
Chapter 5 Conclusions And Future Works 42
5.1 LANDUSE 43
5.2 VALIDATION 43
Reference 45

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賴進貴、 葉高華、王韋力 [Lay Jinn-Guey, Yap Ko-Hua, Wang Wei-ley] 2004。土地利用變遷與空間相依性之探討以臺北盆地聚落變遷為例 [Exploring Land Use Changes and Spatial Dependence- A CAse Study of Settlement Changes in the Taipei Basin]。臺灣地理資訊學刊(1) [Journal of Taiwan Geographic Information Scienc e (1)]: 29-40。
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