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研究生:郭渤宇
研究生(外文):Bo-Yu Guo
論文名稱:資訊及通訊科技產業與價格指標
論文名稱(外文):Information and Communication Technology Industry and Price Indexes
指導教授:薛琦薛琦引用關係
指導教授(外文):Chi Schive
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:經濟學研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:經濟學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2007
畢業學年度:95
語文別:中文
論文頁數:33
中文關鍵詞:資訊及通訊科技產業價格指標品質變動福利貿易條件
外文關鍵詞:information and communication technology industryprice indexquality changewelfareterms of trade
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製造業是台灣經濟發展的主要動力,從早期的勞動密集產業到近年來資訊及通訊科技產業的蓬勃發展。尤其自1990年以後技術能力快速的提升,這段期間資訊科技產品品質提升、產品週期縮短及價格下跌之迅速皆是前所未見的,也對我國經濟發展產生莫大之影響。
  本研究首先以文獻回顧的方式,從消費者物價指數的衡量偏誤看出忽略品質變動之影響。並討論福利衡量理論方法及不同族群面對的通貨膨脹率實證結果。接著由實證資料研究產業面及進出口結構,背景為我國1991年至2005年資料。指出資訊科技產業對經濟發展影響,包含貿易條件的惡化及品質變動之提升。並評論價格指標之使用。進一步發現雖然整體物價相對穩定,但資訊及通訊科技產品價格卻大幅的下降,也因各族群消費習性的不同使品質提升帶來的福利出現分配不均現象。
Manufacturing industry has played an important role in the Taiwan’s economic development since the early labor-intensive industry to the information and communication technology industry nowadays. The improvement in technology since 1990 was tremendous. For example, the quality refinement of information and communication technology products, the abridgement of product life-cycle and the drop in price were all incredible, which gave a huge influence to the Taiwan’s economic development.
First, we will talk about the result of ignoring the quality change by reviewing the reference in consumer price index measurement bias. Then we’ll discuss the theoretical method of welfare measurement, and discuss the influence of inflation rate on different groups of people with proven result. Next is the research in the structure of industry, import and export, using the economic analysis in 1991-2005 as background. Finally, we conclude the influence of technology industry on the economic development, including the aggravation in terms of trade and the improvement of quality change. Then discuss the use of price index, and the added discovery that though the whole price was stable, the price of information and communication technology products drop increasingly. And the consumption paths of different groups make the welfare from quality improvement became unequally distributed.
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 本文架構 3
第二章 文獻回顧 4
第一節 CPI之衡量偏誤與修正 4
第二節 福利衡量理論方法 8
第三章 實證資料分析研究 11
第一節 ICT產業對我國物價及貿易之影響 11
第二節 經濟指標的重新解讀 17
第三節 福利衡量資料實證 19
第四章 結論 28
一.英文部分
Abraham, Katherine G., Greenless, John S., and Moulton, Brent R., “Working to Improve the Consumer Price Index,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 27-36, 1998.
Amble, Nathan and Stewart, Ken, “Experimental Price Index for Elderly
Consumers,” Monthly Labor Review, May, 11-16, 1994.
Boskin, Michael J. and Hurd, Michael D., “Indexing Social Security Benefits: A
Separate Price Index for the Elderly?” Public Finance Quarterly, 13(4), 436-449, 1985.
Boskin, Michael J., Dulberger, E., Gordon, R., Griliches, Z., and Jorgenson, D.,
“Toward a More Accurate Measure of the Cost of Living,” Final Report to the Senate Finance Committee, December 4, 1996.
Boskin, Michael, J., Dulberger, E., Gordon, R., Griliches, Z., and Jorgenson, D.,
“Consumer Prices, the Consumer Price Indexes, and the Cost of Living,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 3-26, 1998.
Deaton, Angus, “Getting Prices Right: What Should be Done?” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 37-46, 1998.
Crawford, Ian and Smith, Zoe, “Distributional Aspects of Inflation,” The Institute for Fiscal Studies, June, 2002.
Diewert, W. Erwin, “Index Number Issues in the Consumer Price Index,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 47-58, 1998.
Filer, Randall K. and Hanousek Jan, “Output Change and Inflationary Bias in Transition,” Economic Systems, 24(3): 285-294, 2000.
Garner, T.I., Johnson, D.S., and Kokoski, M.F., “An Experimental Consumer Price
Index for the Poor,” Monthly Labor Review, 32-42, September, 1996.
Griliches, Zvi(ed), “Price Indexes and Quality Change:Studies in New Methods of Measurement.” Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1971.
Hanousek, Jan and Filer, Randall K., “Consumers’ Opinion of Inflation Bias Due to
Quality Improvements in Transition in the Czech Republic,” August, 2001.
Hagemann, Robert P, “The Variability of Inflation Rates Across Household
Types,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 14(4), 494-510, 1982.
Hausman, Jerry A., “Valuation of New Goods under Imperfect Competition,” In Timothy F. Bresnahan and Robert J. Gordon, eds., The economics of new goods. NBER Studies in Income and Wealth, Volume 58. Chicago and London: University of Chicago Press, 1997, 209-37.
Hobijn, Bart and Lagakos, David, “Social Security and the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 9(5), 1-7, May, 2003.
Idson, Todd and Miller, Cynthia, “Calculating A Price Index for Families with
Children: Implications for Measuring Trends in Child Poverty Rates,” Review of Income and Wealth, 45(2), 217-233, 1999.
Jorgenson, D. and Slesnick, Daniel T., “Indexing Government Programs for
Changes in the Cost of Living,” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 17(2), 170-181, 1999.
Liegey, Paul R. and Shepler, Nicole, “Adjusting VCR Price for Quality Change: A Study Using Hedonic Methods,” Monthly Labor Review, 22-35, September, 1999.
Lieu, Pang-Tien, Chang, Chinkun, and Chang, Jry-rong, “Inflation Rate Variations across Household: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan,” International Journal of Business, 9(1), 2004.
Lodola, A., Busso, M., and Cerimedo, F., “Sesgos en el indice de precios al
consumidor: el sesgo plutocratico en Argentina,” working paper, Universidad
Nacional de La Plata, 2000.
Moulton, Brent R. and Stewart, Kenneth J., “An Overview of Experimental U.S.
Consumer Price Indexes,” Journal of Business and Economic Stastitics, 17(2), 141-151, 1999.
Nordhaus, William D., “Do Real-Output and Real-Wage Measure Capture Reality? The History of Lighting Suggests Not.” In Timothy F. Bresnahan and Robert J. Gordon, eds., The economics of new goods. Chicago:University of Chicago Press, 29-66, 1997.
Nodhaus, William D., “Quality Change in Price Indexes,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1): 59-68, 1998.
Prais, Sigbert J., “Whose cost of Living?” Review of Economic Studies, 126-34, February, 1959.
Rogoff, Kenneth, “Deflation: Determinants, Risks, and Policy Options,” International Monetary Fund, 2003
Sen, Amartya, “The Welfare Basis of Real Income Comparison: A Survey” Journal of Economic Economic Literature, 1-45, March, 1979.
Schive, Chi(ed),“How Did Taiwan Solve its Dutch Disease Problem?” Research in Asian(5): 183-202, 1991.

二.中文部份
薛琦, 段樹仁, 「匯率變動對出口商品品質的影響-台灣80年代後半期實証研究」,   
1993
薛琦, 「薛琦經濟觀 貿易條件-啥米碗糕」, 經濟日報, 2006年10月31日
沈中華, 「通貨緊縮之意義與應對政策」, 工商時報, 2003年5月21日
黃富櫻, 「央行利率區間操作模式簡介」, 國際金融參考資料第四十九輯
物價統計月報, 行政院主計處, 民國79年至94年
國民所得統計年報, 行政院主計處, 民國79年至94年
家庭收支調查報告, 行政院主計處, 民國83年至94年
進出口貿易統計月報, 財政部統計處, 民國79年至94年
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