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研究生:陳信宇
研究生(外文):CHEN,HSIN-YU
論文名稱:雙樣本交叉存活曲線之檢定策略
論文名稱(外文):A Testing Strategy for Two Crossing Survival Curves
指導教授:謝進見
指導教授(外文):HSIEH,JIN-JIAN
口試委員:黃郁芬黃士峰
口試委員(外文):HUANG,YU-FENHUANG,SHI-FENG
口試日期:2016-06-16
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立中正大學
系所名稱:數學系統計科學研究所
學門:數學及統計學門
學類:統計學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2016
畢業學年度:104
語文別:英文
論文頁數:39
中文關鍵詞:費雪精確檢定雙交叉存活曲線設限資料策略
外文關鍵詞:Fisher exact testTwo crossing survival curvesCensored dataStrategy
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:366
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:15
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:0
在生物醫學上,檢定雙樣本存活曲線的問題是常見的。其中,最常被使用的檢定方法為log-rank test。然而,當兩條存活曲線有交叉的情況發生時,log-rank test可能會導致錯誤的結果。此外,我們很難找到一種檢定方法適合所有可能的交叉情況。因此,我們提出一種方法,我們稱它為費雪精確檢定的延伸。以及一種策略,我們稱它為策略一和策略二。然後,我們對提出的方法和策略做模擬分析來探討它們的檢定力和型I誤差。接著,從Li et al. (2015)選出五種具有競爭力的方法來跟我們提出的方法在兩條存活曲線不同的交叉情況下做模擬比較。從模擬結果,我們建議使用策略二來檢定兩條存活曲線。因為策略二有合適的型I誤差以及在每個情況下都有較高的檢定力。最後,我們使用我們所提出的方法分析兩筆實際資料。
In biomedical studies, two sample survival curves testing problem is commonly seen. The most popular approach is the log-rank test. However, the log-rank test may lead to misleading results when two survival curves cross each other. Moreover, it is difficult to find an appropriate method for all situations. Hence, we propose an approach, which is the extension of Fisher exact test and two strategies, Strategy 1 and Strategy 2. Then, we conduct simulations to investigate the power and type I error rate and compare the proposed methods with five competitive approaches from Li et al. (2015) under various crossing situations of two survival curves. From the results, we suggest the Strategy 2 for the two survival curves testing problem, which has higher power and appropriate type I error for each situation. Finally, we analyze two real data examples with the proposed methods for illustrations.
1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
2 Data and Hypothesis Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
2.1 Right Censored Data . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
2.2 Two Sample Hypothesis Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
3 Literature Review . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3.1 Log-rank Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
3.2 Gehan-Wilcoxon Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
3.3 Tarone-Ware Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.4 Fleming-Harrington Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.5 Two-stage Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
4 The Proposed Inference Procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.1 The Extension of Fisher Exact Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
4.2 Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
4.2.1 Strategy 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
4.2.2 Strategy 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
5 Simulation Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
5.1 Simulation Design . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
5.2 Estimation of Statistical Power and Type I Error . . . . . . . . . . . 23
6 Data Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
6.1 Example 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
6.2 Example 2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
7 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
Fisher, R. A. (1935). The Design of Experiments (9th ed.). Macnillan.

Fleming, T. R., and Harrington, D. P. (1981). A class of hypothesis tests for one and two samples censored survival data. Communications in Statistics. 10 763-794.

Fleming, T. R., and Harrington, D. P. (2005). Counting processes and survival analysis. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Gehan, E. A. (1965). A generalized Wilcoxon test for comparing arbitrarily singly-censored samples. Biometrika 52(1-2): 203-223.

Klein, J. P., and Moeschberger, M. L. (2003). Survival analysis techniques for censored and truncated data. 2th ed. New York: Springer.

Kristiansen, I. S. (2012). PRM39 Survival curve convergences and crossing: a threat to validity of meta-analysis? Value in health 15(7): A652.

Li, H., Han, D., Hou, Y., Chen, H., and Chen, Z. (2015). Statistical Inference Methods for Two Crossing Survival Curves: A Comparison of Methods. PLoS ONE 10(1): e0116774.

Mantel, N. (1966). Evaluation of survival data and two new rank order statistics arising in its consideration. Cancer Chemotherapy Reports 50(3): 163-70.

Peto, R., and Peto, J. (1972). Asymptotically Efficient Rank Invariant Test Procedures. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Blackwell Publishing) 135(2): 185-207.

Qiu, P., and Sheng, J. (2008). A two-stage procedure for comparing hazard rate functions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 70(1): 191-208.

Stablein, D. M., and Koutrouvelis, I. A. (1985). A two-sample test sensitive to crossing hazards in uncensored and singly censored data. Biometrics 41(3): 643-652.

Tarone, R. E., and Ware, J. (1977). On distribution-free tests for equality of survival distributions. Biometrika 64(1): 156-160.
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