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研究生:鍾定哲
研究生(外文):Ting-Che Chung
論文名稱:總體環境變動下對於創投投資偏好的影響
論文名稱(外文):How Macroeconomics affect Venture Capital Investment Preference
指導教授:邱顯比邱顯比引用關係
指導教授(外文):Shean-Bii Chiu
口試委員:胡星陽、陳業寧
口試委員(外文):Shing-Yang Hu、Yeh-ning Chen
口試日期:2016-06-24
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:財務金融學研究所
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:財務金融學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2016
畢業學年度:104
語文別:中文
論文頁數:30
中文關鍵詞:創業投資、新上市、投資偏好、景氣衰退。
外文關鍵詞:venture capital、IPO、investment preference、economic downturn
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本文研究總體環境如何影響創投之投資偏好,探討當年度新上市公開發行市場的好壞和投資選擇之關係、景氣衰退對於和投資選擇的關係,透過1980年至2015年之美國創投投資之資料後發現,當創投面臨實質性景氣衰退時,會更傾向投資在晚期新創公司上,當面臨財務性景氣衰退時,會更像投資在早期新創公司上,而當IPO市場表現良好時,創投會傾向投資在早期新創公司上。

The objective of this study is to examine how macroeconomic conditions and IPO’s performance affect the investment preference and behavior of venture capital. After testing US venture capital investments from 1980-2015, we find that venture capital firms invest more in early-stage companies during economic downturn associated with the financial sector. We also find that venture capital firms invest more in later-stage companies during economic downturn associated with the real sector. Moreover, venture capital firms invest more in early-stage companies when IPO market perform well.

目錄
誌謝 i
中文摘要 ii
英文摘要 iii
目錄 iv
圖表目錄 vi
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 4
1.3 研究架構 4
第二章 文獻回顧 5
2.1 新創公司的融資階段 5
2.2 總體環境變動對於創投投資的影響 6
2.3 IPO市場好壞對於創投投資的影響 7
2.4 創投經驗和投資產業 8
第三章 資料與研究方法 10
3.1 資料來源與樣本選取 10
3.2 變數定義與處理 11
3.3 研究方法與假說 13
第四章 實證結果與分析 15
4.1 樣本與敘述統計 15
4.2 模型設定與實證結果 20
4.3 創投業者總投資金額與創投投資偏好之關係 21
4.4 實質性景氣衰退與創投投資偏好之關係 22
4.5 財務性景氣衰退與創投投資偏好之關係 22
4.6 IPO市場表現與創投投資偏好之關係 22
4.7 控制變數與創投投資偏好之關係 23
第五章 結論與建議 24
5.1 研究結論 24
5.2 研究限制與建議 25
參考文獻 27
一、 中文文獻 27
二、 英文文獻 28


1、 中文文獻
[1] 李柏萱,"空頭衰退期間創投業對新創公司財務之影響",國立交通大學財務金融研究所,2013
[2] 林佩蓉,"台灣創投認證效果的相關檢視," 國立台灣大學財務金融研究所,2010
[3] 周雅慧,"創投參與對新上市股價行為之研究",國立成功大學國際企業研究所,2008
[4] 曾文聰,"創投公司與創業者間雙重道德危險之研究",國立中山大學企業管理研究所,2003
[5] 黃賢楨,"景氣循環與投資策略 - 以美國市場為例",國立政治大學經營管理碩士學程研究所,2004
[6] 黃志森, "創業投資對於新上市公司盈餘管理行為是反扮演監督的角色",國立台灣大學財務金融研究所,2008
[7] 廖健良,"實證探討美國創投與創業家間資訊不對稱與相對談判優劣勢,對其融資工具選擇之影響",國立交通大學企業管理研究所,2008
[8] 劉文琳,"創投聲譽、新上市公司長期績效與公司治理:以台灣上市公司為例",國立台灣大學財務金融研究所,2013

2、 英文文獻
[9] Ahrens, William H., Darrell J. Cox, and Girish Budhwar, 1990, Use of the arcsine and square root transformations for subjectively determined percentage data, Weed Science 452-458.
[10] Audretsch, David B., and Zoltan J. Acs, 1994, New-firm startups, technology, and macroeconomic fluctuations, Small Business Economics 6.6, 439-449.
[11] Barry, Christopher B., Muscarella, C. J., Peavy, J. W., and Vetsuypens, M. R, 1990, The role of venture capital in the creation of public companies: Evidence from the going-public process, Journal of Financial economics 27.2, 447-471.
[12] Brav, Alon, and Paul A. Gompers, 1997, Myth or reality? The long‐run underperformance of initial public offerings: Evidence from venture and nonventure capital‐backed companies." The Journal of Finance 52.5 ,1791-1821.
[13] Cornelli, Francesca, and David Goldreich, 2001, Bookbuilding and strategic allocation, The Journal of Finance 56.6, 2337-2369.
[14] Gompers, Paul, and Josh Lerner, 1998, Venture capital distributions: Short‐run and long‐run reactions, The Journal of Finance 53.6, 2161-2183.
[15] Gompers, Paul, and Josh Lerner, 2000, Money chasing deals? The impact of fund inflows on private equity valuation, Journal of financial Economics 55.2, 281-325.
[16] Gompers, Paul, Kovner, A., Lerner, J., and Scharfstein, D, 2006, Skill vs. luck in entrepreneurship and venture capital: Evidence from serial entrepreneurs, No. w12592. National bureau of economic research.
[17] Gompers, Paul, Kovner, A., Lerner, J., and Scharfstein, D, 2008, Venture capital investment cycles: The impact of public markets, Journal of Financial Economics 87.1, 1-23.
[18] Gompers, Paul, Anna Kovner, and Josh Lerner, 2009, Specialization and success: Evidence from venture capital, Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 18.3, 817-844.
[19] Hochberg, Yael V., Alexander Ljungqvist, and Yang Lu, 2007, Whom you know matters: Venture capital networks and investment performance, The Journal of Finance 62.1, 251-301.
[20] Jensen, Michael C., and William H. Meckling, 1976, Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure, Journal of financial economics 3.4, 305-360.
[21] Jensen, Michael C, 1993, The modern industrial revolution, exit, and the failure of internal control systems, the Journal of Finance 48.3, 831-880.
[22] Jeng, Leslie A., and Philippe C. Wells, 2000, The determinants of venture capital funding: evidence across countries, Journal of corporate Finance 6.3, 241-289.
[23] Kortum, Samuel, and Josh Lerner, 2000, Assessing the contribution of venture capital to innovation, RAND journal of Economics, 674-692.
[24] Lerner, Joshua., 1994, The syndication of venture capital investments, Financial management, 16-27.
[25] McLean, R. David, and Mengxin Zhao, 2014, The business cycle, investor sentiment, and costly external finance, The Journal of Finance 69.3, 1377-1409.
[26] Mills, David E., and Laurence Schumann, 1985, Industry structure with fluctuating demand, The American Economic Review 75.4, 758-767.
[27] Nanda, Ramana, and Matthew Rhodes-Kropf., 2013, Investment cycles and startup innovation, Journal of Financial Economics 110.2, 403-418.
[28] Paik, Yongwook, and Heejin Woo, 2014, Economic Downturn and Financing Innovative Startup Companies, Managerial and Decision Economics 35.2 ,114-128.
[29] Roe, Mark J, 1990, Political and legal restraints on ownership and control of public companies, Journal of financial economics 27.1, 7-41.
[30] Sahlman, William, Risk and reward in venture capital, 2010, Harvard Business School Entrepreneurial Management case 811-036.
[31] Scharfstein, David S., and Jeremy C. Stein, 1990, Herd behavior and investment, The American Economic Review, 465-479.
[32] Srensen, Morten, 2007, How smart is smart money? A two‐sided matching model of Venture Capital, The Journal of Finance 62.6ㄝ2725-2762.
[33] Woodward, Susan E., and Robert E. Hall, 2010, Diagnosing consumer confusion and sub-optimal shopping effort: Theory and mortgage-market evidence. No. w16007, National Bureau of Economic Research.

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