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DISSERTATION ABSTRACT GRADUATE INSTITUTE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION NATIONAL TAIWAN UNIVERSITY NAME:HSUAN-HSUAN KU MONTH/YEAR: APRIL, 1997 ADVISER:CHUNG-CHAU CHANG EXPLORING THE IMPACT OF THE PRODUCT LINE EXTENSIONS ON THE SALES OF THE PARENT AND COMPETITORS'''' PRODUCTS ─A CONSUMER CHOICE APPROACH Based on the consumer choice approach, especially the choice model propositions and the context effects, this study explores the impact of the product line extensions on the sales of the parent and competitors'''' products to assess cannibalization and competition among firms. And for considering the different order of downward/upward stretch and the market conditions, we take the extension order, the number of competitors, and the characteristics of the product as the mediate variables. The two propositions of choice model, proportionality and substitutability, are to assess the impact of the new entrant on the incumbent sales. The proportionality pro- position assumes that the new item takes share from existing items in proportion to their original shares, it has the problem of independent of irrelevant alternatives . The substitutability proposition assumes the new item takes share disproportionately from more similar items. The attraction proposition holds that a new item may increase the desirability of similar items. The context effects, for present purposes, refer to the choice outcome as a function of the particular alter- natives that are included in the choice set. These alter- natives compete in a two-dimensional market with product attributes or quality/ price. The results indicate that (1) the positioning of the line extension product differentially affects the parent and competitors'''' sales. The degree of cannibalization and competition is determined not only by similarity, but context effects; (2) the proportionality proposition is the best approach to account for the impact of the new entrant on the incumbent sales; (3) the extension order can not mediate the impact of line extension on the par- ent and competitors'''' sales significantly. (4) When there are only two brands in the market(or consideration set), the context effects are prevalent,and the compromise item takes the most share in two- dimensional market with pro- duct attriates. In the tradeoff of quality and price, the best quality item takes the most share. As the number of competitors increasing or in the low involvement product categories, the context effects are no longer existant.
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