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研究生:田晏榕
研究生(外文):Yen-Rong Tien
論文名稱:美國銀行業實際買回庫藏股計畫之再探討
論文名稱(外文):A Reexamination of Whether U.S. Bank Holding Companies Actual Buyback Shares
指導教授:劉啟群劉啟群引用關係
指導教授(外文):Chi-Chun Liu
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:會計學研究所
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:會計學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2008
畢業學年度:96
語文別:英文
論文頁數:50
中文關鍵詞:庫藏股金融控股公司股利替代假說股價低估假說資本適足率防禦併購假說自由現金流量假說景氣循環會計放款違約風險衡量因子放款組合
外文關鍵詞:Share RepurchaseBank Holding CompanySubstation HypothesisUndervaluation HypothesisCapital Adequacy RegulationTakeover HypothesisFree Cash FlowBusiness CycleAccounting Loan Default VariablesLoan Composition
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自1990年代開始,買回庫藏股在美國銀行業的股利政策中,重要性急劇的增加。因此探討美國銀行業實際買回庫藏股的動機,越顯重要。然而,過去大多數文獻僅專注於個別動機的探討以及非金融產業。因此,本研究將針對1994年至2006年美國380家金融控股公司為樣本,探討其是否實際買回庫藏股的因素,並以二項Logit 模型同時檢驗所有假說與動機。
根據我們的實證結果,發現當銀行業總資本適足率越高,被併購的威脅越大,自由現金流量越多,成長機會越少,以及面對未來經濟繁榮時,其實際買回庫藏股的機會越高。
At the beginning of 1990s, bank holding companies’ repurchase activities are at a torrid pace. Thus, it becomes increasingly essential to probe into what reasons motivate bank holding companies to engage in share repurchase activities. Prior literatures concentrate only on one or two motives and primarily focus on non-financial firms. Therefore, our study examines all possible motives for actual share repurchases, using a sample of 380 U.S. bank holding companies over the period from 1994 to 2006. All of the motives are simultaneously captured and analyzed by binary Logit regression.
We find that banks’ actual repurchase activities are obviously influenced by the greater total capital adequacy ratio they have; the greater potential takeover threats they face; the larger free cash flow they possess; the less growth opportunities they own, and the better future economic prospects they face.
誌謝.................................................. i
論文摘要.............................................. ii
Thesis Abstract....................................... iii
Contents.............................................. iv
Tables................................................ v
I.Introduction........................................ 1
II.Prior Literature and Hypotheses.................... 3
1.Dividend Substitution............................. 3
2.Signal of Undervaluation.......................... 4
3.Capital Adequacy Regulation....................... 5
4.Defending Potential Takeover...................... 6
5.Cash Flow Risk.................................... 6
6.Agency Cost of Free Cash Flow..................... 7
7.Business Cycle.................................... 8
8.Accounting Loan Default Variables................. 9
9.Loan Composition.................................. 10
III.Research Design................................... 12
IV.Data Source........................................ 17
V.Empirical Results................................... 19
1.Descriptive Statistics and Correlation............ 19
2.Regression Results................................ 20
3.Sensitivity Analysis.............................. 25
VI.Conclusions........................................ 26
VII.References........................................ 27
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4.Dittmar, A. K. 2000. Why do firms repurchase stock? Journal of Business 73: 331-355.

5.Grullon, G., and R. Michaely. 2002. Dividends, share repurchases, and the substitution hypothesis. The Journal of Finance 57 (4): 387-424.

6.Grullon, G., and R. Michaely. 2004. The information content of share repurchase programs. The Journal of Finance 59 (2): 651-680.

7.Hirtle, B. 1998. Bank holding company capital ratios and shareholder payouts. Current Issues in Economics & Finance 4: 1-6

8.Howe, J. S., R. Jain, R. 2005. Share repurchase programs by banks. Paper presented to the FMA annual meeting, Chicago, 2005.

9.Jagannathan M., C.P. Stephens, and M.S. Weisbach. 2000. Financial flexibility and the choice between dividends and stock repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics 57: 355-384.

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11.Kaplan, S., and D. Reishus. 1990. Outside directorships and corporate performance. Journal of Financial Economics 27: 389-410.

12.Lee ,D.S., W.H. Mikkelson, and M.M. Partch. 1992. Managers'' trading around stock repurchases. Journal of Finance 47: 1947-1961.

13.Lie, E. 2000. Excess funds and agency problems: An empirical study of incremental cash disbursements. Review of Financial studies 13: 48-219.

14.Liu, C., and S.Ryan. 1995. The effect of bank loan portfolio composition on the market reaction to and anticipation of loan loss provisions. Journal of Accounting Research 33: 77-94.

15.Liu, C., and S.Ryan. 2006. Income smoothing over the business cycle: Changes in banks'' coordinated management of provisions for loan losses and loan charge-offs from the pre-1990 bust to the 1990s boom. The Accounting Reviews 81 (2): 421-441.

16.Miller, M.H.,Modigliani F. 1961. Dividened policy ,growth, and the valuation of shares. Journal of Business 34: 411-433.

17.Stephens, C.P.,Weisbach, M.S. 1998. Actual share reacquisition in open-market repurchase programs. Journal of Finance 53: 131-333.

18.Stiroh, K.J. 2000. How did bank holding companies prosper in the 1990s? Journal of Banking and Finance 24 (11): 1703-1745.

19.Vermaelen, T. 1981. Common stock repurchases and market signaling-An empirical study. Journal of Financial Economics 9: 139-182.
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