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研究生:錫瑞娜
研究生(外文):Sirinapa Thanlek
論文名稱(外文):Impacts of the U.S Quantitative Monetary Easing Policy on Thailand Exports to China and to the United States
指導教授:林岳喬林岳喬引用關係
指導教授(外文):Y.C. George Lin
口試委員:吳徐哲何加政
口試委員(外文):Wu, Hsu-CheHo, Chia-Cheng
口試日期:2017-07-02
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立中正大學
系所名稱:國際財務金融管理碩士學位學程
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:財務金融學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2017
畢業學年度:105
語文別:英文
論文頁數:75
外文關鍵詞:Thailand's exportQuantitative EasingMonetary PolicyDepreciationAppreciation
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Abstract
This paper examines the spillover effects of the U.S Quantitative Easing (QE) policy on Thailand export values to the U.S and to China, during 2006-2016. The impact of QE is related to the appreciation of Thai currency (Bath) and the decreasing of the Thailand's Exports. We used Thailand's export in a monthly and separated the U.S QE periods are as follows; the QE1, QE2, QE3, and Post-QE periods. Moreover, we separated Thai product groups to studies the effects of QE policy to export values of the Total export, Agro-industrial, Agriculture, Manufacturing, and Mining & Fuel products. The U.S QE policy has both positive and negative significant with Thailand export values to the U.S and to China. However, each of the QE policy has different effects to Thailand's export. The economic variables which we used have significant with Thailand's export, except for the inflation rate of the U.S and China.
Key words: Thailand’s export; Quantitative easing monetary policy; Appreciation; Depreciation
Content
Thesis/dissertation verification letter………………………………………………i
Letter of Authorization………………………………………………………….......ii
Acknowledgment…………………………………………………………………….iii
Abstract ..................................................................................................................... iv
Content ........................................................................................................................ v
Chapter 1 .................................................................................................................... 1
Introduction .............................................................................................................. 1
Chapter 2 .................................................................................................................... 6
Literature review ...................................................................................................... 6
Theory .................................................................................................................... 11
Chapter 3 .................................................................................................................. 17
Data and Methodology ........................................................................................... 17
Data Sources ...................................................................................................... 17
Statistical Data Analysis .................................................................................... 17
Dummy variables ............................................................................................... 19
The Empirical Model and Data .......................................................................... 22
Chapter 4 .................................................................................................................. 29
Empirical Results ................................................................................................... 29
Descriptive statistic ............................................................................................ 29
Correlation Coefficient ...................................................................................... 31
The Regression Statistic ..................................................................................... 35
Chapter 5 .................................................................................................................. 50
Conclusion ............................................................................................................. 50
Appendix ................................................................................................................... 55
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