臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

　　有關國防支出的研究，先前的研究大多著重於國防支出對經濟成長的影響。近期有些研究開始注意到國防支出的增加是否會使得政府外債惡化。此些研究多以單一國家為樣本且未考量其他總體經濟變數。
　　由於開發中國家目前共同面臨的現象是政府對外負債飆升和國防支出持續成長，本研究蒐集32個開發中國家1988－2009年的22年的資料為樣本，採用縱橫資料分析，探討國防支出對於政府外債的影響，並同時考量多個總體經濟變數對於政府外債的影響。
　　研究發現，開發中國家的國防支出增加將正向的影響政府的外債，但是高所得國家的國防支出會減少其對於政府外債的正向影響。

　　Previous studies focus on the impact of defense expenditures on economic growth. Recently some studies have begun to evaluate whether defense expenditures will worsen government external debt. These studies observe single country and do not consider other macroeconomic variables.
　　Since developing countries are facing the same phenomenon of rising external liabilities and increasing defense expenditures, this research survey many developing countries and consider the impacts of macroeconomic variables on government external debt.
　　The research sample includes 32 developing countries covering 22 years data, from 1988 to 2009, and panel data analysis is adopted. Empirical results supports that defense expenditures positively affect the increase of government external debt, but less positive effect on government external debt in high income countries.

謝誌 I
摘要 II
ABSTRACT III
目錄 IV
圖目錄 VI
表目錄 VII
第一章　緒論 1
1.1　研究背景 1
1.2　研究動機與目的 4
1.3　研究流程與架構 5
第二章　文獻探討 8
第三章　研究方法 12
3.1　變數選取與資料來源 12
3.1.1　變數選取與定義 12
3.1.2　研究樣本與資料來源 14
3.2　研究模型與步驟 16
3.3　方法論 18
3.3.1　縱橫資料模型（Panel Data Models） 18
3.3.2　混合OLS迴歸模型和固定效果模型的比較 20
3.3.3　混合OLS迴歸模型和隨機效果模型的比較 21
3.3.4　隨機效果模型和固定效果模型的比較 22
第四章　實證分析 23
4.1　混合OLS迴歸模型與固定效果模型比較 26
4.2　混合OLS迴歸模型與隨機效果模型比較 28
4.3　固定效果模型與隨機效果模型比較 28
4.4　影響外債的總體經濟變數 32
4.5　國防支出對外債的影響 35
第五章　結論 37
參考文獻 40
中文部份 40
英文部份 41

中文部份
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2.伍德里奇（Wooldridge, J. M.）（2010），計量經濟學導論（Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, 4th ed.,）（費劍平譯）。北京：中國人民大學出版社。（原作2008年出版）
3.樊歡歡、張凌云（2009），EViews統計分析與應用，北京：機械工業出版社。

英文部份
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