臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

近年來國際油價與天然氣價格不斷攀升，突顯石化燃料年限問題，人們環保思維逐漸抬頭，發展再生能源已是主流意識，目前全球綠色能源包括風力發電、水力發電、地熱能與生質能等，從2003年全球太陽能市場以45%的比例每年快速成長，又因太陽能「再生能源法」配套措施，不僅讓太陽光電成為市場新寵兒，也成功帶動太陽光電晶片、模組與系統，台灣太陽能相關產業也因這股熱潮，紛紛成立上中下游太陽能相關產業公司。
故本研究將針對太陽能中游電池產業六種材料評選，在面對一多屬性決策問題，利用決策實驗分析(DEMATEL)可將複雜質化問題以量化方式處理，並求得準則內部直接與間接相互影響關係，著重核心屬性；問卷徵詢專家意見，導入分析網路程序法(ANP)，成對比較各不同階層評估準則與方案間權重比值，可處理問題的相依與回饋性；本研究並加入模糊理論概念，透過結合DEMATEL與ANP，以四種研究方法分別比較，提高個案準確率更佳縝密，經計算後即可決定每方案排序，以提供決策者做為有效選擇之考量。

The continuous growing prices of gasoline and natural gas reflect the depletion problem of fossil fuels. On top of that, the emerging consciousness about environmental degradation has given the priority to the use of renewable energy resources. Currently, common renewable energy resources include wind energy, hydraulic energy, and geothermal energy and biomass energy etc. Specifically, the international marketplace of solar power has grown rapidly from the proportion of 45% in 2003 and the proportion has also increased every year. Because of the Renewable Energy Act and related regulations, solar energy has received increasing attention in the energy market, and this leads to the boom of solar cells, modules and systems. Consequently, the emerging market of Photovoltaic boosts the generation of solar industry and more and more correlated companies have been established.
This study aims to evaluate six kinds of materials in the solar cell industry. To solve such a multi-attribute decision making problem, we apply decision making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) to deal with the qualitative problem quantitatively and to determine the direct and indirect relationships among the criteria. Based on the result, a questionnaire is prepared to collect the opinions of the experts, and analytic network process (ANP) is adopted to pairwise compare the elements in the network with the consideration of the interrelationships among the elements. In this study, and add the concept of fuzzy theory. Through a combination of DEMATEL and ANP, respectively in four research methods, improve case accuracy is better and careful. The priorities of the alternatives can then be calculated. The ranking results can provide decision makers as a reference for making relevant decisions.

中文摘要 i
ABSTRACT ii
誌謝 iv
目錄 v
表目錄 vii
圖目錄 ix
一、緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 2
1.3 研究流程 2
二、文獻探討 3
2.1 綠色能源 3
2.1.1 太陽能產業 3
2.1.2 太陽能電池 7
2.1.3 太陽能電池製程技術 9
2.2 決策實驗評估法 11
2.3 分析網路程序法 12
2.4 模糊理論 14
2.4.1 模糊集合 14
2.4.2 模糊四則運算 14
2.4.3 模糊化 15
2.4.4 解模糊 16
三、研究方法 19
3.1 DEMATEL- ANP步驟 19
3.2 DEMATEL- Fuzzy ANP步驟 22
3.3 Fuzzy DEMATEL- ANP步驟 25
3.4 Fuzzy DEMATEL- Fuzzy ANP步驟 27
四、案例研究 29
4.1 DEMATEL- ANP案例分析 30
4.2 DEMATEL- Fuzzy ANP案例分析 46
4.3 Fuzzy DEMATEL- ANP案例分析 53
4.4 Fuzzy DEMATEL- Fuzzy ANP案例分析 60
4.5 案例結果探討 65
五、結論與建議 66
5.1 結論 66
5.2 建議 67
參考文獻 68
附錄A 72
附錄B 75

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