臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

近年來中國在經濟上的成就是有目共賭的，並儼然成為帶動世界經濟成長的重要推動力。為因應社會主義市場經濟的建立和發展，並解決原稅制與市場經濟發展不相配合的問題，中國自1980年起進行多次的財政改革，將中央政府的財政權力下放給地方政府。也由於此一「財政分權」的設計，加強地方政府發展經濟的財政誘因，不但帶動了地方經濟的發展，也因地方財政收入增加而提高了地方公共財的投資，更進一步的促進經濟成長。然而，隨著地方經濟的發展和勢力的壯大，「先發地區」政府利用其經濟優勢，向中央或上級政府爭取更多的政策優惠和發展資源；但對於「後發地區」政府，由於經濟落後，因而與中央談判的籌碼不多，致使各地方政府分配到的財政資源殊異。
本篇文章之主要研究目的，即為探討改革開放後中國地方財政不均度對經濟成長的影響。本研究將利用1979年至2006年的時間序列資料來分析，中國地方財政分配不均度對於其經濟成長是否呈現正向的貢獻。於本研究中，將回顧現有文獻中，關於地方財政分配不均度對經濟成長影響之相關理論與實證文獻。其次，本文也將清楚地介紹與說明，改革開放以來中國地方財政分配不均度與其經濟成長間關係之現況。再者，本研究將建立九組實證模型，並透過共整合ARDL模型來試圖捕捉到更全面性的中國地方財政不均度與其經濟成長之關係。本文主要發現可分為長期與短期兩部分。先就長期而言，中國地方財政不均度對其經濟成長有著顯著且為正向的關係。再就短期而言，中國地方財政不均度對其經濟成長則呈現不顯著或顯著且為正向的關係。最後，為了降低實證模型發生錯誤的機會，並使研究過程更為嚴謹，本研究將對實證模型和估計結果使用更多方法檢定。

The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of regional fiscal distribution inequality on the economic growth in post-reform China. By using of the time-series data during the period of 1979-2006, this study analyzes whether or not China’s regional fiscal distribution inequality provides a positive effect for economic growth. Both theoretical papers and empirical papers related to the relationship between regional fiscal distribution inequality and economic growth are reviewed. This study establishes nine empirical models and are estimated by ARDL with cointegration model which attempts to catch the relationship more comprehensively between regional fiscal distribution inequality and the economic growth in China. The main finding of this study is that China’s regional fiscal distribution inequality has the significantly positive effect on its economic growth in the long run. In the short run, China’s regional fiscal distribution inequality has the significantly positive effect or not has an effect on its economic growth. Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in positive models and enable the study more rigorous, this study uses more methods to test the models and the result.

第一章緒論 …………………………………………………1
第一節 研究背景與目的…………………………………………….1
第二節 研究架構與進行流程...….………………………………….7
第二章相關文獻回顧……………………………………...10
第一節 經濟成長理論………………………………………………10
第二節 財政資源分配對經濟成長影響之相關文獻………………13
第三節 所得分配對經濟成長影響之相關文獻……………………16
第四節 本章小結………...………………………………………….20
第三章中國地方財政分配不均度與經濟成長.………..…23
第一節 中國財政改革歷程…………………………………………23
第二節 中國地方財政分配不均度與經濟成長之現況分析………31
第三節 本章小結……………………………………………………39
第四章研究設計 ………………………………………..…42
第一節 理論模型……………………………………………………42
第二節 實證模型設定與資料來源…………………………………47
第三節 實證變數假設………………………………………………54
第四節 本章小結……………………………………………………62
第五章實證結果與模型檢定 ………………………….….64
第一節 實證結果分析………………………………………………64
第二節 模型正確性相關檢定………………………………………77
第三節 本章小結……………………………………………………80
第六章結論與政策意涵 ……………………………..……84
第一節 結論…………………………………………………………84
第二節 政策意涵……………………………………………………87
第三節 未來研究方向………………………………………………88
參考文獻 ……………………………………………………..89

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