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研究生:郭育臣
研究生(外文):Yu-Chen Kuo
論文名稱:框架效果對於個別投資人投資決策之影響
論文名稱(外文):Narrow Framing Effect on Individual Investment Decision
指導教授:許培基許培基引用關係
指導教授(外文):Pei-Gi Shu
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:輔仁大學
系所名稱:管理學研究所
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:企業管理學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2007
畢業學年度:95
語文別:中文
論文頁數:47
中文關鍵詞:框架效果處置效果行為財務
外文關鍵詞:framing effectdisposition effectbehavioral finance
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:5
  • 點閱點閱:638
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  • 下載下載:0
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:0
本研究主要探討投資人是否受到狹窄框架(narrow framing)效果之影響,導致投資人進行獨立的投資決策,使得投資人的處置效果愈嚴重,傾向急於實現利得,而較不願實現損失。(Kahneman & Lovallo, 1993;Kahneman, 2003;Barberis & Huang, 2004)愈受到狹窄框架效果影響的投資人,較不會更新參考點,也就是較不了解市場價格,才會導致投資人有較高的處置效果。
本研究以國內某家知名銀行提供的8,222位VIP客戶,從1995年10月到2006年6月這段期間的基金交易資料進行驗證,實證結果發現,根據交易集中度分群後,投資人受到狹窄框架效果之影響愈深,則處置效果就愈大,此一關係並不能得到完全驗證。本研究進一步利用投資人交易頻次以及交易集中度進行分群,則發現無論在交易頻次高或低的群組中,受到狹窄框架效果影響愈深,則處置效果就愈大,此與理論假設一致。再者,由個人屬性來看,可以發現年齡愈大、財富水準愈高的投資人,愈不會受到狹窄框架效果的影響。本研究再利用投資人個人屬性進行分群來探討狹窄框架效果與處置效果之間的關係,發現女性、較年輕的投資人以及居住在非台北地區的投資人,狹窄框架效果與處置效果之間不存在正向關係。
The purpose of this study is to investigate whether narrow framing effect, an inclination for ones being unable to make independent decisions, affects individual disposition effect, an inclination of prematurely selling winners but not losers. (Kahneman & Lovallo, 1993; kahneman, 2003; Barberis & Huang, 2004) Individuals who bounded by narrow framing are more likely to hinge on prior decisions without updating the reference points toward current market prices and therefore are associated with an aggravated disposition effect.
The result from a sample that comprises of 8,222 VIP customers from October 1995 to June 2006 and provided by a renowned fund house shows that the narrow framing effect is positively correlated with the deposition effect, but the relation not enough to prove. We further segregate the sample into four categories based on trade frequency and trade concentration. The result shows that the relation is evidenced on high trade frequency categories and low trade frequency categories. However, the positive effect of narrow framing on the disposition effect is evidenced when the sample is equally divided based on trading frequency. Furthermore, we consider personal attribute, the elder or richer investor will not be influence from narrow framing effect. Finally, we will observe personal attribute influence the relation between narrow framing effect and disposition effect. The result shows that the positive relation not exist in younger, female and location on non-Taipei investor.
第 壹 章 緒論 1
第 一 節 研究背景與動機 1
第 二 節 研究目的 2

第 貳 章 文獻探討 3
第 一 節 行為財務理論 3
第 二 節 框架效果影響投資者投資決策相關文獻 8

第 參 章 研究設計 9
第 一 節 研究期間與資料來源 9
第 二 節 研究方法 10
第 三 節 研究架構 14
第 四 節 研究假說 14

第 肆 章 實證結果 15
第 一 節 樣本敘述統計分析 15
第 二 節 狹窄框架效果對處置效果之影響 17
第 三 節 狹窄框架效果對投資人報酬之影響 36

第 伍 章 研究結論與建議 39
第 一 節 樣本敘述統計分析 39
第 二 節 狹窄框架效果對處置效果之影響 40

參考文獻 41
附錄 45
一、中文部分
1.白芳苹(2002)。基金投資人之錯置效果─台灣地區實證研究。國立台灣大學財務金融研究所碩士論文,台北。
2.林秋雲(2002)。股票投資人錯置效果之研究。輔仁大學應用統計學研究所碩士論文,台北。
3.李家豪(2002)。依時共變數存活分析模型在企業信用風險之應用。逢甲大學財務金融研究所碩士論文,台中。
4.周賓凰、池祥萱、周冠男、龔怡霖(2001)。行為財務學:文獻回顧與展望。國立中央大學財務管理研究所碩士論文,桃園。
二、英文部分
1.Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2000). Trading is hazardous to your wealth: The common stock investment performance of individual investor. Journal of Finance, 55(2), 773-806.
2.Barber, B. M., and Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261-292.
3.Calvet, L. E., Campbell, J. Y., & Sodini, P. (2006). Down or out: Assessing the welfare costs of household investment mistakes. Working paper, HEC School of Management.
4.Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient capital markets II, Journal of Finance, 46(5), 1575-1643.
5.Fama, E. F. (1998). Market efficiency, long-term returns and behavioral finance. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 283-306.
6.Goetzmann, W. N., & Peles, N. (1993). Cognitive dissonance and mutual fund Investors. Working paper, Yale School of Management.
7.Ivkovic, Z., Sialm, C., & Weisbener, S. (2006). Portfolio concentration and the performance of individual investors. Working paper, University of Illinois.
8.Ivkovic, Z., & Weisbener, Scott. (2006). Old money matters: The sensitivity of mutual fund redemption decisions to past performance. Working paper, University of Illinois.
9.Kahneman, D. (2003). Maps of bounded rationality: Psychology for behavioral economic. American Economic Review, 93(5), 1449-1475.

10.Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction. Psychological Review, 80, 237-251.
11.Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
12.Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1981). The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211, 453-458.
13.Kahneman, D., & Lovallo, D. (1993). Timid choices and bold forecasts: A cognitive perspective on risk taking. Marketing Science, 39, 17-31.
14.Kumar, A. & Lim, S. S. (2006). How do decision frames influence the stock investment choices of individual investors?Working paper, University of Texas at Austin.
15.Nicholas, B., & Huang, M. (2001). Mental accounting, loss aversion, and individual stock returns. Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1247-1292.
16.Nicholas, B., & Huang, M. (2004). Preferences with frames: A new utility specification that allows for the framing of risks, Working paper, Yale University.
17.Nicholas, B., Huang, M., & Santos, T. (2001). Prospect theory and asset prices. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 1-53.
18.Odean, T. (1998). Are investors reluctant to realize their losses? Journal of finance, 53(5), 1775-1798.
19.Read, D., & Loewenstein, G. (1995). Diversification bias: Explaining the discrepancy in variety seeking between combined and separated choices. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 1, 34-49.

20.Read, D., & Rabin, M. (1999). Choice bracketing. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 19, 171-197.
21.Simon, H. A. (1957). Models of man: Social and rational. New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons.
22.Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1984). Behavioral capital asset pricing theory. Journal of Finance and Quantitative Analysis, 29(3), 323-349.
23.Shefrin, H., & Statman, M. (1985). The disposition to sell winners too early and ride losers too long: Theory and evidence. Journal of Finance, 40(3), 777-790.
24.Werner, D. B. (1998). A portrait of the individual investor. European Economic Review, 42(3), 831-844.
25.Werner, D. B., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the stock market overreact? Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793-808.
26.Werner, D. B., & Thaler, R. H. (1995). “Financial decision-making in markets and firms: A behavioral perspective.” In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic & W. Z. Ziemba (ed), Finance, Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science, 9, pp.385-410. The Netherlands: Elsevier.
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