臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

隨著全球水產品產出的快速成長，全球水產品貿易額隨之逐年增加，伴隨著各國之間高度的貿易關聯性，水產品貿易形成區塊化的現象。本文首先透過各年度水產品捕撈、養殖產出與貿易資料進行生產結構與長期貿易趨勢，說明水產品發展概況與產業特性。其次，利用群集分析呈現水產品貿易區塊現象。最後，本文利用引力模型對水產品貿易進行實證分析，驗證貿易區塊、產量以及其他相關變數的影響以及顯著性。實證結果顯示：(1) 水產品貿易在1970年即形成貿易區塊，並且在1990年明顯區分環太平洋區塊與歐洲區塊。長期以來，環太平洋區塊內各國貿易流量顯現逐年成長的趨勢，至於歐洲區塊成長幅度相對較小。(2) 雙邊貿易國家經濟規模越大，貿易流量較高；隨著人口成長，生產國家會以供給國內市場為優先考量，使得貿易流量減少；(3) 水產品出口國產量越高，意謂著出口供給能力越強，有助於貿易流量的成長；(4) 兩國貿易距離越大，其貿易成本較高，貿易流量減少。

With the rapid growth of the global output of seafood products, the global seafood trade resulting increases every year, accompanied by a high degree of trade between countries correlation form trade blocks of seafood trade phenomenon. Firstly, through the annual seafood capture and aquaculture production and trade data of the production structure and long-term trade trends, indicating the development of Overview and Features seafood. Secondly, the use of cluster analysis showed the phenomenon of seafood trade block. Finally, gravity models used in the empirical analysis of trade of seafood products, verification of trade blocks, production and other relevant variables, and significant influence. Empirical results show that: (1) seafood products trade in 1970 that the formation of trade blocks and blocks of clear distinction between the Pacific Ocean and the European block after 1990. Over the years, the Pacific countries in trade flows within the block appear year by year growth trend, as the European growth rate of relatively small. (2) larger bilateral economic, trade flows higher; with population growth, producing countries will supply the domestic market as the first priority, allows reduction of trade flows; (3) The exporter of seafood produce higher yields, mean the export supply capacity is stronger, helps the growth of trade flows; (4) the greater the distance between the two countries trade, the trade cost of higher trade flows reduce.

致謝.......................................................i
論文摘要..................................................iii
英文摘要...................................................iv
目錄.......................................................v
表次.....................................................vii
圖次......................................................ix
第一章 緒論...............................................1
第一節 研究背景與動機.....................................1
第二節 研究目的..........................................10
第三節 研究架構與流程....................................11
第二章 文獻回顧...........................................13
第一節 群集分析法........................................13
第二節 引力模型..........................................16
第三章 水產品產業結構分析..................................18
第一節 全球水產品養殖與捕撈生產結構........................18
第二節 全球不同魚種產出分布生產結構........................24
第四章 水產品貿易區塊.....................................31
第一節 貿易距離群集分析的設定.............................31
第二節 水產品貿易群集分析結果.............................33
第五章 實證模型、資料與實證結果............................53
第一節 實證模型分析結果...................................53
第二節 資料說明..........................................58
第三節 貿易區塊實證結果..................................60
第四節 貿易潛力估算.....................................66
第六章 結論..............................................69
參考文獻...................................................71
附錄一………………………………………………………………………74

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