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本文主要探討當前中共對外衝突處理策略,由於後冷戰時期,發生 大規模戰爭的可 能性已大幅下降,過去受制於冷戰格局的地區爭端和衝突 反而浮現出來,南海問題也尤 於後冷戰時期地緣政治環境的改變,而成為 區域衝突的引爆點,倍受關注,因此本文乃 選擇以南海問題為主要的個案分析。由於中共係亞州的區域強權之一,有關其南海的衝突 處理策略,不論就其外交聲明﹑主權主張﹑或軍事行動的部署﹑實力對比或可能影響,都 將影響南海海域的和平﹑穩定與發展,因此長期而言中共的企圖是最受矚目的焦點。 本文共分六章,各章論述的重點如下: 第一章:緒論。敘明研究動機與目的﹑研究方法 與架構﹑研究範圍及資料來源。 第二章:以中共立國以來對外的三次重要戰役--一九 五O年的韓戰﹑一九六二年的中印之戰和一九七九年的中越戰爭,作為歷史的經驗與回顧 。 第三章:探討南海區域衝突的現狀。 第四章:探討中共南海政策的形成與執行。 第 五章:中共對南海紛爭的衝突處理策略,主要是從軍事途徑﹑外交途徑及兩手策略三個面 向來探討。 第六章:從中共對外衝突處理策略的經驗與法則與南海問題的衝突處理策略 作一比對,分析中共對外衝突處理策略的變遷與持續,以便說明南海問題可能的發展。 摘要 : The Spratly Islands, a collection ofr rocks, coral reefs, shoals,banks , islet and atolls in the South China Sea beieved to have large oiland natural gas resources, are claimed in their entiretyby the P.R.C.(Nansha i Chinese) , Vietnam as well as Taiwan, and in part by the Philippines, Malayian chinese) ei. However, it is the PRC's claim that gives rise to the greatest securitycon cerns in the region.The purpose of this thesis is to examine the PRC"Sconflict management tactics in the South China Sea, which has been consideredas aggres sive, provocative and ambitions by most,if not all ,of the countriesconcerned. Chapter1 is about the research methodology and structure. Chapter 2 is cit es Korean war in 1950, Sino-Indian war in 1962 and Sino-Vietnamese war in 19 79 for instances as historical experiences. Chapter 3 is a intruction to the maritime disputes in the South China Sea,pointing out that the disputes over ownership of the Spratly Islands have been viewed as one of the most imp ortant maritime flashpoints. Chapter 4 focuses on the development of the PR C's Spratly policies. Chapter 5 is divided into 3 parts. Part one examines t he PRC's military actions in the Spratly Islands since 1988. Part two examines the PRC's deplomatic actions in the South China Sea. Part th ree focuses on Beijing's two-hand tactics in the Spratly Lslands.Ch apter 6 reviews the PRC's experiences and principles of the conflict mana gement tactics outwards as well as its tactics to manage the potien tial conflicts in the South China Sea in order to analasize change and continuty . yze change and co ntinuty.
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