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研究生:Debora S.H.
研究生(外文):Debora Silvia Hutagalung
論文名稱:DETERMINANT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN ASEAN COUNTRIES
論文名稱(外文):DETERMINANT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN ASEAN COUNTRIES
指導教授:吳斯偉吳斯偉引用關係
指導教授(外文):Wu,Shih-Wei
口試委員:趙莊敏
口試委員(外文):Chao,Chuang-Min
口試日期:2017-06-07
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺北科技大學
系所名稱:管理國際學生碩士專班 (IMBA)
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:企業管理學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2017
畢業學年度:105
語文別:英文
論文頁數:68
中文關鍵詞:普通最小二乘方政治穩定匯率利率通貨膨脹率東盟國家外商直接投資(FDI)資本流入
外文關鍵詞:Ordinary Least SquarePolitical StabilityInterest RateInflation RateExchange RateASEAN CountriesForeign Direct Investment (FDI) Capital Inflows
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本文旨在分析東盟8國(文萊達魯薩蘭國,緬甸,印度尼西亞,馬來西亞,菲律賓,新加坡,泰國和越南)匯率,通貨膨脹率,利率和政治穩定指數對外國直接投資資本流入的影響。 。研究方法採用普通最小二乘法(OLS),2005年至2015年採用年度數據序列的SPSS程序進行數據處理。根據該模型,本研究發現匯率和通貨膨脹率影響外商直接投資資本流入, 0.08和0.015。雖然8個東盟國家的貸款利率沒有影響,政治穩定指數影響菲律賓國家資本流入的外商直接投資額,其顯著性水平為0.003,但在回歸模型中存在多重性,α= 5%
This research aimed to analyze the effect of Exchange Rate, Inflation Rate, Interest Rate and Political stability index on Capital Inflows of Foreign Direct Investment in 8 of ASEAN Countries (Brunei Darussalam, Burma, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippine, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam). The research method uses Ordinary Least Square (OLS), data processing using SPSS program with annual data series from 2005 to 2015. According to the model, this research found that the Exchange Rate and Inflation Rate affect the capital inflows of FDI with significance levels of 0.08 and 0.015. While the lending rate has no effect in 8 ASEAN countries and the Political stability index affects the amount of FDI of capital inflows in Philippine country with a significance level of 0.003 but there is multicolinearity in the regression model with α = 5%.
ABSTRACT I
ACKNOWLEDGMENT II
Contents III
List of Tables V
List of Figures VI
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Background of Study 1
1.1.1 The Movement of Direct Investment in ASEAN Countries 2
1.2 Problem Statement 6
1.3 Purposes of The Study 6
Chapter 2 Literature Review 7
2.1 Foreign Direct Investment 7
2.1.1 Definition of Foreign Direct Investment 7
2.1.2 Clasification of Foreign Direct Investment 8
2.2 Factor Affecting of Foreign Direct Investment 11
2.2.1 Exchange Rate 11
2.2.2 Inflation Rate 13
2.2.1 Interest Rate 13
2.2.1 Political Stability 14
2.3 Empirical Literature Review 15
2.2 Hypothesis 17
Chapter 3 Research Methodology 19
3.1 Research Design 19
3.2 Types and Sources of Data 19
3.3 Data Processing 19
3.4 Data Analysis Model 20
3.5 Hypothesis Testing 20
3.5.1 Statistic Test 20
3.5.1.1 Individual Test (t-test) 20
3.5.1.2 Simultaneous Test (F-test) 21
3.5.1.3 The Coefficient of Determination Test (R2) 22
3.5.2 Deviation of Classical Assumption Test 22
3.5.2.1 Multicolinearity 22
3.5.2.2 Autocorrelation 23
3.6. Operational Definition 24
Chapter 4 Findings and Data Analysis 26
4.1 Estimation Result 26
4.2 Coefficient of Determination (goodness of fit) 28
4.3 Hypothesis Testing Result 29
4.3.1 Test on Individual Coefficient Regression (t-statistic test) 29
4.3.2 Simultaneous Regression Coefficient test 33
4.4 Classical Assumption Diversion Test 35
4.4.1 Multicolinearity Result 35
4.4.2 Autocorrelation Result 37
Chapter 5 Conclusion and Recommendation 39
5.1 Conclusion 39
5.2 Recommendation 40
1.Bodie, Kane and Marcus. Investments, USA : McGraw−Hill Companies, Inc. 2006, pp. 188
2.J.H. Dunning (1979). ‘Explaining Patterns of International Production: In Defence of the Eclectic Theory’. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 19 (1): 1-29.
3.Kim, Haksoon. Political Stability and Foreign Direct Investment. International Journal of Economics and Finance, vol.2, no.3, 2010, pp. 59-60
4.L.S.Goldberg, Exchange Rate and Foreign Direct Investment. Princeton Encyclopedia of the World Economy. 2009, pp.1-6
5.P. Kalfadellis and J. Gray, “Are Proxies Valid Measures of Internalisation? , 28th EIBA Conference, Athens Greece 8-10 December 2002, pp. 3-13
6.S. Sukirno. Economic Development . Indonesia: Kencana, 2005, pp. 381
7.The Global Economy (2017), “Political Stability”, website in
http://www.theglobaleconomy.com/rankings/wb_political_stability/
8.United Nation (1999) “World Investment Report 1999”, UN website in http://unctad.org/en/Docs/wir1999_en.pdf
9.United Nation (2016) “World Investment Report 2016”, UN website in http://unctad.org/en/pages/PublicationWebflyer.aspx?publicationid=1555
10.World Bank (2017) “Exchange Rates (LCU)”, World Bank website in http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/PA.NUS.FCRF?end=2016&start=2005

11.World Bank (2017) “Foreign direct investment, net inflows”, World Bank website in http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS

12.World Bank (2017) “Lending Interest Rate”, World Bank website in
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.LEND?end=2016&start=2005
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