臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

此研究之目的在於探討泰國蔗糖輸出之因素分析, 探討因素包括了原油價格,泰國與相關糖類輸入國間之匯率, 相關糖類輸入國之GDP以及人口等。而日本與印尼為泰國糖類兩大輸入國, 因此本研究便以此兩國作為探討對象。探討期間含括了由西元2002至2011等九年時間。
研究結果顯示印尼與日本兩國的人口成為泰國糖類輸出的負面因素，日本的GDP對輸入泰國糖類沒有顯著性，但印尼的GDP對輸入泰國糖類確具有顯著性，而外匯與原油價格對日本輸入泰國糖類有顯著影響，但對印尼卻無顯著性。

The objective of this research is to study the Economic Factors of the Export of Raw Sugar of Thailand. The factors studied in this research include crude oil price, foreign exchange rate of currency between the Thailand and the corresponding import country, population and GDP of the import country. Two major sugar import countries; Japan and Indonesia, are included in this research. The interval covered in this research is a 10-year period from 2002 to 2011.
The result showed that the population is a negative factor to the export of Thailand sugar to both Japan and Indonesia. The GDP in Japan is not correlated with the import of sugar but the GDP in Indonesia is related with the volume of the import of raw sugar from Thailand. The exchange rate and crude oil price are related to the volume of the exports raw sugar from Thailand and Japan but not for Indonesia.

English Abstract i
Chinese Abstract (摘要) ii
Acknowledgements or Preface iii
Table of Contents iv
List of Tables vi
List of Figures viii
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Overview of Sugar Industry in Thailand 1
1.2 Marketing and Industry Overview in Overseas Markets 5
1.3 Research Objective 18
1.4 Conceptual Framework 18
Chapter 2 Literature Review 19
2.1General of Sugarcane Industry of Thailand 19
2.2 Sugarcane Trading in Thailand 21
2.3 Factors Affecting Sugar Trading 23
2.3.1 The Real Gross Domestic Product in the country 23
2.3.2 Foreign Exchange rate 26
2.3.4 Crude Oil Price 28
Chapter 3 Research Methodology 30
3.1 Dataused in the Research 30
3.2 Data Analysis 31
Chapter 4 Results and Discussion 35
4.1Terminology of Data Analysis 35
4.2 Results of Data Analysis 36
4.3 Verification of Hypothesis: 45
Chapter 5 Conclusion and Suggestions 47
5.1 Conclusions 47
5.2 Suggestion for Further Studies 47
Reference 48
Appendix I: Secondary data of Japan 2002 – 2011 52
Appendix II: Secondary data of Indonesia 2002 – 2011 59
Extended Abstract 66
Curriculum Vitae (CV) 77

[1]Department of International Trade Promotion. (2013). Quantity and value of white sugar and raw sugar exporting of Thailand between 2002 to 2011. Bangkok.
[2]The Trading Economics. (2013). Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.tradingeconomics.com: http://www.tradingeconomics.com
[3]Benpard, C. (2011). The investigate effects of macroeconomics factors on index of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and The Indonesia Stock Exchange.
[4]Department of Export Promotion. (2008). Importing Sugar of Japan from 2003 to 2007.
[5]Department of Export Promotion. (2008). Sugar Importing of Japan in 2003 to 2007.
[6]Department of International Trade Promotion. (2013). Quantity raw sugar exporting of Thailand to the important country distribute between 2002 to 2011. Bangkok.
[7]Department of International Trade Promotion. (2013). Quantity raw sugar exporting of Thailand to the important country distribute between 2002 to 2011.
[8]Detphol, J. (1997). An analysis of impacts of sugar policies in Thailand.
[9]Economywatch. (2013). Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.economywatch.com: http://www.economywatch.com/economicstatistics/economicindicators/Population/2002/
[10]Laongek, A. (2011). Macroeconomic factors affecting the foreign direct investment in ASEAN.
[11]Licht, F. (2012). World sugar prices from 2001 to 2012. Ratzeburg. F.R.: International Sugar and Sweetener .
[12]Licht, F. O. (2013). World sugar balance from 2002 to 2013. Ratzeburg F.R. : International Sugar and Sweetener.
[13]Manarangsan, S., & Kaewthep, K. (1987). Sugar Industry of Thailand.
[14]Ministry of Commerce. (2008). The exporting value of Thailand in the Agricultural Industry in 2006 to 2008. Bangkok: Information Technology and Communication Centre, Office of the Permanent Secretary Ministry of Commerce with the collaboration from The Customs Department.
[15]Ministry of Commerce. (2008). The important exporting market for sugar in Thailand in 2005 to 2007. Bangkok: Department of Export Promotion, Ministry of Commerce.
[16]Ministry of Commerce. (2013). Thailand Trading Report. Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.tradingeconomics.com: http://www.tradingeconomics.com
[17]Ministry of Commerce. (2013). Thailand Trading Report. Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.ops3.moc.go.th: http://www.ops3.moc.go.th
[18]Netayarak, P. e. (1994). The Future of Thai Sugarcane and Sugar Industry. Bangkok: Thailand Development Research Institution (TDRI).
[19]Office of Agricultural Economics. (2012). Sugar: Monthly volume and value of exporting. Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.oae.go.th: http://www.oae.go.th
[20]Office of Agricultural Economics. (2013). Quantity and value of white sugar and raw sugar exporting of Thailand between 2002 to 2011. Bangkok: Office of Agricultural Economics.
[21]Office of Sugarcane Industrial Policy and Sugar. (2006). Manufacturing, consumption, and importing sugar of Japan 2000 to 2005.
[22]Office of the cane and sugar board. (2008). Final sugarcane price determinations step.
[23]Office of the cane and sugar board. (2008). Production, consumption, import and export of sugar to Japan 2000-2005. Ministry of Commerce.
[24]Office of the cane and sugar board. (2008). Report production, consumption, import and export of sugar to Japan 2000-2005. Ministry of Commerce.
[25]Office of the cane and sugar board. (2012). Sugarcane plantation, quantity of sugarcane, sugarcane growing areas, average yield per acre and average cane yield of sugarcane factory.
[26]OzForex Foreign Exchange Services. (2013). Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.ozforex.com.au/forextools/ historical-rate-tools/monthly-average-rates: http://www.ozforex.com.au/forextools/ historical-rate-tools/monthly-average-rates
[27]Rieangsomboon, C. (2005). An analysis of the competitiveness of the export of raw sugar from Thailand to major importing countries.
[28]Ronnakrit, S. (2011). The relationship between the export value of major agricultural products of Thailand and the selected economics factors.
[29]Service, U. F. (2011). Indonesia Sugar Annual Report 2011.
[30]Settadalee, R. (2011). The relationship between the export value of major agricultural products of Thailand and the selected economics factors.
[31]Srinil, S. (1999). Investigated the sugar industry to find the detail structure of the industry.
[32]Sukwinya, S. (2003). An analysis of sugar export potential of Thailand. The objective of this study is to analysis the export potential of sugar of Thailand to Korea market comparing with Australia.
[33]Teerachaiwutikul, S. (2006). The economic factors affecting Thai garment exports to Japan.
[34]Thailand Development Research Institute Foundation. (2000). Research of Cane and Sugar Industry: Ways of expanding production for exporting increased. Bangkok: Office of The Cane and Sugar Board. Ministry of Industry.
[35]The U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2013). Retrieved January 29, 2013, from http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/ pet_pri_fut_s1_m.htm: http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/ pet_pri_fut_s1_m.htm
[36]Ubonrat, P. (2011). The economic factors affecting the exported market equilibrium of Thai frozen processed chicken products.
[37]USDA Foreign Agricultural Service. (2011). Indonesia Sugar Annual Report 2011.
[38]USDA Foreign Agricultural Service. (2011). Sugar import duty (ID) and value add tax (VAT) in 2009.
[39]USDA Foreign Agricultural Service. (2011). Sugar import duty (ID) and value added tax (VAT) in 2010.
[40]Wattanachayakul, S. (2002). Basic of Statistical Analysis.