臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

以往企業對供應鏈管理並非全面性，考量不夠周延，往往等到事件發生後，如作業因素、政治因素等，而導致物料及零件短缺，造成企業嚴重損失，故採取有效的供應鏈風險管理，成為產業維護競爭優勢的重大挑戰。
本研究主要是以供應風險的概念，建立太陽能基板產業的供應鏈管理風險評估決策因子，以太陽能基板廠的請購部門、採購部門、品保部門、會計部門為研究對象，共發放10份問卷，回收10份問卷。先以三回合德菲法專家問卷調查進行，分析結果取得共識後修正形成層級分析法專家問卷。第四回合專家問卷採層級分析法進行調查，藉以取得影響供應鏈風險中評估考量因素中整體分數排序。
研究結果，依風險層級之不同歸納出共計三種風險類型、十項風險構面和三十五項風險績效評估指標。經層級分析法分析後，考量因素中整體分數排序前十名因素，如未建構內控評價體系、市場趨勢預測錯誤導致損失等，作為主要之風險因子，並找出相對的風險回應計畫。

Business on the supply chain management is not comprehensive or considered un-distributively in the past. When the risks happened, they led to the materials and spare parts shortages and resulted serious losses of the enterprise. Therefore, managing supply chain risk effectiveiy will maintain the competitive advantage of major challenges for an enterprise.
This study is mainly used the concept of supply chain risk to establish the important upply chain management risk assessment decision factors for the solar silicon wafer industry. A total of 10 questionnaires is issued for substrate solar plant purchasing department, purchasing, quality assurance department, accounting department as the research object. Three rounds of Delphi expert questionnaires are used to obtain the concerned criterion for analytic hierarchy process (AHP) expert questionnaire. The fourth round expert questionnaire is adopted to investigate the impact of the supply chain risk assessment factors in the overall score ranking.
The results of the study, according to the different levels of risk, summed up a total of three types of risk, ten risk dimensions and thirty-five risk performance evaluation indicators. The results of analytic hierarchy process, AHP are obtained as the overall ranking scores. For the purpose of further control, the top ten factors, such as construction internal control evaluation system, the market trend forecast error leads to the loss are proposed to be the main risk factors. Finally, the risk response plans for the main risk factors are constructed.

摘要 II
目錄 V
圖目錄 VI
表目錄 VII
第一章 緒論 8
1.1 研究背景與動機 8
1.2 研究目的 10
1.3 研究範圍與限制 10
1.4 研究流程 11
第二章 文獻探討 12
2.1 供應鏈管理相關文獻 12
2.2 風險管理相關文獻 19
2.3供應鏈風險 24
2.4風險評估相關研究 28
第三章 研究方法 31
3.1 研究架構 31
3.2 問卷調查之內容 33
3.3德菲法 (DELPHI METHOD) 34
3.4 層級分析法 38
第四章 資料分析與討論 43
4.1 辨識風險分析 43
4.1.1 第一回合德菲法問卷分析 43
4.1.2 第二回合德菲法問卷分析 50
4.1.3 第三回合德菲法問卷分析 52
4.2 AHP層級分析法問卷分析與討論 55
4.3分析AHP風險的重要性 59
4.4 風險因子的衝擊影響及回應計畫 60
第五章 結論與建議 63
5.1 結論 63
5.2建議 64
參考文獻 66
附錄 74

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