臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

根據聯合國世界觀光組織在2018報告中指出，各國的外匯收入中，有7%來自於觀光產業，且全球旅遊人數呈現連續近八年正成長。我國在2008年開放陸客來台，使來台旅客人次逐年增加，為台灣觀光產業帶來龐大的收入；而2016年總統大選政黨輪替後使陸客人數銳減，政府也積極推動相關旅遊補貼來吸引國內、外觀光客。故本文建構一個含旅遊業市場、非旅遊業市場、貨幣市場與外匯市場的動態總體模型，在浮動匯率制度下，探討政府宣告增加對國內、外觀光客每一人次補貼時，對旅遊財價格與匯率的影響，本文可得以下結論：
政府宣告增加對國內、國外觀光客每一人次補貼時，長期旅遊財價格影響皆
不確定，須視「旅遊財財富效果」與「旅遊財價格補貼效果」及「非旅遊財價格效果」之相對大小而定；短期方面，匯率可能有過度或低度調整的現象；旅遊財價格可能有錯向調整的現象。

The paper sets up an open economy macroeconomics model that is under floating exchange rate regime. The model includes the tourism goods markets, the non-tourism goods market, the monetary market and foreign exchange market. And the variable of tourism subsidy is put into the model. Then we try to discuss the effect of dynamic adjustment of the tourism goods price and exchange rate in the long and short run when government declares the happen of increasing tourism subsidies on each foreigner and national. According to the paper, we can get the following results:
When government declares the happen of increasing tourism subsidies on each foreigner and national, the long run equilibrium of tourism goods price will both appear increase and decrease. It depends on the relative size of the tourism goods wealth effect, price subsidy effect and non-tourism goods price effect. In the short run, exchange rate may appear overshooting or undershooting, and tourism goods price may appear misadjustment.

第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 文獻回顧 5
第三節 本文架構 8
第二章 模型建立與經濟體系之相圖 9
第一節 模型架構 9
第二節 比較靜態分析 15
第三節 經濟體系之相圖 19
第三章 政策宣告之效果 29
第一節 增加國內觀光客每一人次補貼之政策宣告效果 29
第二節 增加國外觀光客每一人次補貼之政策宣告效果 40
第四章 結論 51
參考文獻 52
數學附錄 54

一、中文文獻

呂麗蓉 (2009)，《旅遊產業的三個議題》，逢甲大學經濟學系博士論文。
黃秋瓊 (2006)，《旅遊政策與經濟體系的動態調整：小型開放經濟之分析》,逢甲大學經濟學系博士論文。
賴景昌 (1994)，《國際金融理論：進階篇》，台北茂昌圖書有限公司。
賴景昌 (2011)，《總體經濟學》，第三版，台北雙葉書廊。

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