臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

In this study, the objectives propose the overall of domestic coffee consumption in Indonesia applied GM (1, 1) model of Grey theory to forecast the quantity of domestic coffee consumption in Indonesia from 1990 to 2017. Likewise, the DEMATEL (Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) methodology focuses on decision consideration. The projected technique makes use of Grey Forecasting and DEMATEL methods for evaluating the forecasting result of the variable for assessing the alternatives allowing to four perspectives (P) and eighteen criteria (C). The outcome of Grey forecast model shows predicted value start from 4 years to 12 years ranges, and it seems the total of consumption will remain growth in each year. Moreover, this suggested technique superficially not merely develop the forecasting precision of the original Grey models and DEMATEL methodologies but also deliver precious orientation to make the best development for Indonesian coffee in the forthcoming.

ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................... i
DECLARATION .............................................................................................................. ii
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ............................................................................................... iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................................................................ iv
LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................... vi
LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................ vii
CHAPTER ONE ............................................................................................................... 1
INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................ 1
1.1 Research Background ............................................................................... 1
1.2 Research Purposes .................................................................................. 10
CHAPTER TWO ............................................................................................................ 11
LITERATURE REVIEW ............................................................................................... 11
2.1 Indonesian Coffee Consumption............................................................. 11
2.2 Grey System ............................................................................................ 13
2.3 Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory ................................ 16
CHAPTER THREE ........................................................................................................ 18
METHODOLOGY ......................................................................................................... 18
3.1 Research Design...................................................................................... 18
3.2 Grey Forecasting ..................................................................................... 19
3.3 Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory ................................ 22
CHAPTER FOUR .......................................................................................................... 25
DATA ANALYSIS AND RESEARCH FINDINGS ..................................................... 25
4.1 Data Analysis .......................................................................................... 25
4.2 Grey Forecasting Finding ....................................................................... 26
4.2 DEMATEL Finding .................................................................................. 28
CHAPTER FIVE ............................................................................................................ 32
CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION ............................................................................ 32
5.1 Conclusion .............................................................................................. 32
5.2 Discussion ............................................................................................... 33
REFERENCES ............................................................................................................... 36
BIOGRAPHY ................................................................................................................. 42
APPENDIX .................................................................................................................... 43
APPENDED PAPERS .................................................................................................... 62

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