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研究生:陳淵河
研究生(外文):Yuan-Ho Chen
論文名稱:運具與運量選擇之間斷性與連續性混合需求模式之研究
論文名稱(外文):A Study of The Joint Discrete and Continuous Choice Model of Mode and Shipment Size
指導教授:姜渝生姜渝生引用關係
指導教授(外文):Yu-Sheng Chiang
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:都市計劃研究所
學門:建築及都市規劃學門
學類:都市規劃學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:1993
畢業學年度:81
語文別:中文
論文頁數:86
中文關鍵詞:貨物運輸需求儲運成本運量間斷性連續性
外文關鍵詞:freight Demandlogistics costshipment Fcontinuous
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:3
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  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:1
貨物運輸需求分析早期之研究範疇為運具之競爭問題,探討有關貨物運輸
運量之分配問題,後來以存貨理論分析短期貨運需求問題之觀點漸受重視
及接受,貨運需求分析之研究範疇亦從單純之運具選擇擴充為運具與運量
選擇。根據國外之研究經驗,運具與運量選擇二者為接近於聯合決定,其
中運具選擇集合屬於間斷性集合,運量選擇集合屬於連續性集合,故建構
運具與運量選擇模式時應處理為間斷性與連續性之混合模式。間斷性與連
續性混合選擇模式應用於貨運需求分析仍處於初步發展階段,尚有許多問
題亟待突破,其中最須解決者為如何從儲運成本函數推導出合理且適於實
證分析之運輸需求函數。由於儲運成本函數為複雜之非線型函數,造成實
證分析的不方便,故一般研究者多以近似函數處理而將其簡化,因之所推
導出之運輸需求函數成為運具屬性變數之線型相加函數,失去了存貨理論
之基本精神。本研究利用廠商調查之貨物運輸儲運相關資料建立一基於存
貨理論、以儲運成本出發之運具與運量選擇之間斷性與連續性混合需求模
式, 其中運具選擇模式是採用二項普羅比模式, 然後以
Switching Regression Model 結合運量選擇模式, 兩者均處理為儲運成
本之函數。研究結果發現,運具與運量選擇確實為聯合選擇,且以儲運成
本出發建構間斷性與連續性混合模式為可行。
The earlier researches in the area of freight demand
were concentrated on the problem of mode competition.
Gradually the idea of analyzing the short-run freight demand
using inventory theory has been proposed and commonly
accepted. Since then, the research in freight demand analysis
has extended from only mode choice to the choice of mode as
well as shipment size. From the foreign experiences, the
choice of the mode and shipment size are decided in the
joint manner, where the choice of mode is a discrete choice,
and the choice of the shipment size is a continuous
one. Therefore, it would be useful to consider the choice of
mode and shipment size to be a joint discrete and
continuous process. The application of the joint discrete
and continuous choice model for the analysis of freight
demand is still in initial stage, there are still
many problems. Especially, how to derive the freight demand
function which is appropriate for empirical analysis is a
crucial one. Because the logistics cost function is a
complex non-linear function, it would be difficult to derive
a linear, additive demand function so that it can''t be apply to
empirical analysis. Therefore, most researchers must to
simplify the non-linear function, so that a linear model can
be developed. However, the resulting model becomes a
function of modal attributes and the basic
characteristics of the inventory theory has been ignored......
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