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研究生:許偉麟
研究生(外文):Hsu, William
論文名稱:1980年代美國聯邦預算與貿易雙赤字議題之研究
論文名稱(外文):A Study On The Twin Deficits Issue In the 1980s
指導教授:柯大衛柯大衛引用關係
指導教授(外文):David Kleykamp
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:淡江大學
系所名稱:美國研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:區域研究學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:1997
畢業學年度:85
語文別:中文
論文頁數:117
中文關鍵詞:預算赤字貿易赤字雙赤字美國英文外交學
外文關鍵詞:budget deficittrade deficittwin deficitsU.S.A.ENGLISHDIPLOMACY
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Some economists in the 1980s thought that the main cause of the
trade deficitwas the federal budget deficit, which was growing
enormously and continuously.Due to the expanding fiscal policy
adopted by the federal government pushed upthe interest rates,
therefore, contributing to the appreciation of U.S.
international exchange rate, and thus creating an unfavorable
environment for the U.S. exporters, then the unprecedented trade
deficit ensued. It israther reasonable but not correct
when the conventional wisdom is tested underthe Mundell-Fleming
IS-LM model, for the lack of the monetary policy impact upon the
interest rate and exchange rate.The recession in the early 1980s
was even the most prominent evidence. The conventional wisdom
didn't seem to emphasize the saving and investment gap, which
was the main concern of the twin deficit linkage,for the budget
deficit doesn't per se cause the trade deficit.Foreign economic
policies also played important roles in contributing to
Japan, Taiwan and South Korea, as well as the Latin American
countries after the Debt Crisis. Economists still couldn't come
to a conclusion about the impact of the twindeficits upon the
long term economic growth of the U.S. This thesis also focuses
on exploring into the possibility whether the U.S. would suffer
the"Hard Landing" crisis,the effectiveness of the "Strategic
Trade Policy" adoptedby the Clinton Administration that was
eager to solve the trade deficit and improve the competition of
the U.S. in the 1990s.

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