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研究生:謝政昇
論文名稱:農產品價格目標區之經濟穩定性:聯立隨機微分方程之應用
指導教授:方中柔方中柔引用關係
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立政治大學
系所名稱:經濟學系
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:經濟學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2001
畢業學年度:89
語文別:中文
論文頁數:58
中文關鍵詞:目標區農產品價格蜜月效果
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農產品價格目標區政策乃是政府為了避免農產品價格大幅波動,造成「榖賤傷農,榖貴傷民」的情況產生。採用對農產品價格設定一個合理的波動範圍,意即當農產品價格處在上限價格 與下限價格 之間時,政府並不多加干預,允許自由波動。但若發生外在的重大干擾事項,諸如天災、戰爭等,造成農產品價格超出農產品價格目標區時,政府則時透過平準基金等進行干預,將農產品價格維持在原先所制定的目標區內。本文延續Frankel (1986)與Lai, Hu and Wang (1996)的模型,目的在討論當農產品價格為瞬時調整,非農產品價格為緩慢調整時,政府宣告實施農產品價格目標區政策將會對人民的預期產生何種影響,進而對農產品價格產生改變。並討論實施固定農產品價格政策、農產品價格目標區政策和農產品價格浮動政策對非農產品價格產生何種影響。
第一章 研究動機及目的…………………………………………..1
第二章 文獻回顧……………………………………………………3
第三章 理論架構……………………………………………………8
第四章 農產品價格目標區的推導與其經濟穩定性…………11
第一節 非隨機動態路徑………………………………………..11
第二節 隨機動態路徑…………………………………………..17
第三節 農產品價格目標區的宣告與其影響…………………..30
第四節 農產品價格浮動、固定與目標區政策效果分析………35
第五章 結論……...……………………………………………...….45
附錄……………………………….……………………………………48
參考文獻…………………………………...………………………….53
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