中文部份
內政部(1951∼2000)中華民國台閩地區人口統計,內政部編印。
王德睦(1993)台灣地區未來人口組成之推計,台北市:行政院國科會科資中心。
行政院經建會(1996)中華民國台灣地區民國84年至民國125年人口推計,行政院經建會編印。
行政院經建會(2002)中華民國台灣地區民國91年至民國140年人口推計,行政院經建會編印。
呂文慧(1996)台灣地區高齡化的預估與其對醫療影響之研究,政治大學風險管理所。
余清祥(1977)修勻-統計再保險的應用,雙葉書廊有限公司。
李美玲(1990)生育步調與生育轉型:台灣地區總生育率之分析,東海大學社會所。
張正鵬(1999)臺灣地區高齡人口死亡率之預測,政治大學統計所。孫得雄(1989)人口學與家庭計畫,空中大學用書。
曾奕翔(2002)台灣地區死亡率推估的實證方法研究,台灣人口學會。
英文部份
Bell, W. R. (1997) Comparing and assessing time series methods for forecasting age-specific fertility and mortality rates, Journal of Official Statistics, 13(3): 279-303.
Becker, G. S. and Lewis, H. G. (1974) Interaction between quantity and quality of children, Economics of the family, 81-90.
Booth, H. (1984) Transforming Gompertz’s function for fertility analysis: the development of a standard for the relational Gompertz function, Population Studies, 38(3): 495-506.
Brass, W. (1974) Perspectives in population prediction :Illustrated by the Statistics of England and Wales, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, A, 137(4): 532-583.
Brown, R. L. (1991) Introduction to the Mathematics of Demography, ACTEX Publications, Inc.
Efron, B. and Tibshirani, R. J. (1993) An Introduction to the bootstrap, Chapman and Hall.
Heligman, L. and Pollard, J. H. (1980) The Age Pattern of Mortality, Journal of the Institute of Actuaries, Vol. 107: 49-75.
Hoem, J. M., Madsen, D., Jorgen, L. N., Else-Marie, O. and Hans, O. H. (1981) Experiment in modeling recent Danish fertility curves, Demography, 18(2)
Lee, R. D. (2000) The Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality, with various extensions and applications. North American Actuarial Journal, 4(1): 80-93.
Lee, R. D. and Carter, L. R. (1992) Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87(419): 659-675.
Lewis, C. D. (1982) Industrial and business forecasting methods, London: Butterworths. 40-42.
Long, J. F. (1984) U.S. national population projections methods: A view from four forecasting traditions, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 3, 231-239.
Martin, M. P. D. (1967) Une application des fonctions de Gompertz a l''etude de la fecondite d''une cohorte, Population, 22: 1085-1096.
Murphy, E. M. and Nagnur, D. N. (1972) A Gompertz fit that fits: applications to Canadian fertility patterns, Demography, 9(1): 35-50.
Neupert, R. F. (1992) Population projections for Mongolia: 1989-2019, Asia-Pacific Population Journal, 7(4): 61-80.
Pollard, J. H. (1987) Projection of age-specific mortality rates, Population Bulletin of the United Nations, 21(22): 55-69.
Pritchett, L. (1994) Mr. Demeny''s Journal, March.
Stoto, M.A. (1983) The accuracy of population projeciotns, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 78(381): 13-20.
Tsai, Y. M. and Yi, C.C. (1987) Persistence and changes in Chinese family values, 張苙雲、呂玉瑕、王甫昌主編,九○年代的台灣社會(下),中央研究院社會學研究所,123-170.
Tuljapurkar, S. and Boe, C. (1998) Mortality Change and Forecasting: How Much and How Little Do We Know? North American Actuarial Journal, 2(4): 13-47.
Whelpton, P. K. (1947) Forecasts of the population of the United States, 1947-1975,
U.S. Bureau of Census, Washington.
Wilmoth, J. R. (1993) Computational methods for fitting and extrapolation the Lee-Carter model of mortality change, National Institute on Aging, #1: 1-19.
Wilmoth, J. R. (1996) Mortality projections for Japan: a comparison of four methods, Health and Mortality Among Elderly Populations, 266-287.
Wunsch, G. (1966) Courbes de Gompertz et perspectives de fecondite, Recherches Economiques de Louvain, 32: 457-468.
Yue, J. C., Hu Y. W. and Chang C. P. (2001) A ratio method for old mortality projection based on incomplete data: the case in Taiwan, Journal of population studies, 22: 1-18.