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研究生:葉淑芳
研究生(外文):Shu-Fang Yen
論文名稱:SpatialFAR(1)model應用於台北地區地表臭氧濃度之時空變異分析
指導教授:徐南蓉徐南蓉引用關係
指導教授(外文):Nan-Jung Hsu
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立清華大學
系所名稱:統計學研究所
學門:數學及統計學門
學類:統計學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2002
畢業學年度:90
語文別:中文
論文頁數:37
中文關鍵詞:臭氧時空模型functional-coefficient AR modeltime-varying AR model
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本篇論文以三種不同型式的非平穩autoregressive(AR)models,分別
為dynamic linear model,random coefficient AR模式和functional-
coefficient AR (FAR)模式,來描述1999年台北地區大氣測站的地表臭氧濃度變化情形,並利用FAR時空模型來描述多測站臭氧濃度的時空動態變化,模式中亦考慮氣象變數對臭氧濃度變化的影響。
圖表目錄 II
第一章 前言 1
第二章 資料描述 5
2.1 地形概況與氣候特徵 5
2.2 平均趨勢 6
第三章 模型配適 11
3.1 單測站模型配適 11
3.1.1 模型介紹 11
3.1.2 參數估計 19
3.2 多測站模型配適 23
3.2.1 模型介紹 23
3.2.2 參數估計 25
3.3 模型診斷 28
第四章 資料預測 31
第五章 結論 33
參考文獻 35
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