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研究生:林坤正
研究生(外文):Kun-cheng Lin
論文名稱:智慧型多重代理人建構電子市集中之自動協商機制
論文名稱(外文):Using Intelligent Multi-Agent Approach in Constructing the Automated Negotiation Mechanism for e-Marketplace
指導教授:詹智強詹智強引用關係
指導教授(外文):Chu-Chai Chan
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:朝陽科技大學
系所名稱:工業工程與管理系碩士班
學門:工程學門
學類:工業工程學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2003
畢業學年度:91
語文別:中文
論文頁數:82
中文關鍵詞:模糊理論協商配對模式電子市集
外文關鍵詞:NegotiationFuzzy TheoryMatching Modele-Marketplace
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:20
  • 點閱點閱:294
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:28
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:2
根據Garnet Group預測,全世界線上交易到2004年將達70兆美元,其中將近40%的交易是透過電子市集完成。電子市集「主要在匯集買賣雙方於同一交易平台上,進行電子化商品採購及貨物售出之過程。」供應商及買家的互動模式分為一對多(One to Many)及多對多(Many to Many)的方式,電子市集本身扮演中介者角色,提供買賣雙方所需要的服務機制。對買方而言,可以有效降低採購及內部運作成本並縮短採購時程;對供應商而言,能強化產品的推廣效益、降低內部運作成本。

真實情況中,市場屬於多個買方與多個賣方的交易模式且談判為多議題之協商模式。以此觀點,本研究提出一個符合多對多且多議題的交易情況,以電子市集中立第三仲介者為運作基礎,從多個買方以及多個賣方的提案中,由配對模式找出相似度較高之提案,再經由買賣雙方相似度高者進行協商。在協商的過程中,雙方代理人皆能事先分享彼此對於議題的認知資訊,並運用模糊理論與互惠合作策略來達成合作式之協商。結合配對模式中相似度較高與協商模式中互惠合作策略的方式以提高電子市集中買賣雙方交易的可能性及雙方之滿意度。
According to a forecast report by Garnet Group, the amount of on-line transaction is going to reach about 70 million US dollars in 2004.Forty percentage of these transactions has been taken place in e-marketplace. E-marketplace is the place where sellers and buyers trade each other electronically. The ways of the suppliers and buyers can operate business in two kinds model “One to Many” and “Many to Many.” The role of e-Marketplace is intermediary to provide the services for both sellers and buyers. For buyers, the E-marketplace can offer a lower-price merchandise the effective promotion for the supplier and reduced operating cost.

In most real situating, buyers and sellers in the market negotiate each other with multiple issues. This research focuses on discussing “Many to Many” and Multiple issues. The trading in online negotiation is base on operating by third party that matches cases with high similarity and make a deal with each other. During the process of negotiation, both sides can share information with each other, and use “Fuzzy Theory” to adopt “Horsetrading” strategy to reach success by cooperation. The strategy in the research using the concept of similarity that can increase the satisfaction for both buyers and sellers, and the high percentage of success rate for matched deals.
摘要 I
Abstract II
誌謝 III
目 錄 IV
表目錄 VI
圖目錄 VII
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 2
1.3 研究步驟與流程 3
1.4 論文結構 3
第二章 文獻探討 5
2.1 電子市集 5
2.2 智慧型代理人 11
2.3 談判協商相關理論 15
2.4 模糊理論 23
第三章 研究架構與方法 29
3.1 系統架構 29
3.2 效用函數 30
3.3 配對模式 33
3.4 協商模式 35
3.5系統實作 50
第四章 實驗設計與結果分析 55
4.1 實驗設計 55
4.2 實驗一:各別買賣雙方之協商 56
4.3 實驗二:多個買方與多個賣方下之協商 61
第五章 結論與建議 66
5.1 研究結論 66
5.2 研究限制 66
5.3 未來研究建議與方向 67
參考文獻 68
1.英文部分
[1]Bakos, J.Y., “The Emerging Role of Electronic Marketplaces on the Internet,” Communication of ACM, Vol. 41, 8,pp.35-42(1998).
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[8]Gebauer, J., “Electronic markets from an economic perspective,” Ermatingen/Switzerland, Electronic Markets(2)(1996).
[9]Guttman, R.H., Moukas, A.G.& Maes, P., “Agents as Mediators in Electronic Commerce,” Electronic Markets, 8(1), pp.22-27(1998).
[10]Hands, J., Bessonov, M., Patel, A. and Smith, R., “An Inclusive and Extensible Architecture for Electronic Brokerage,” Proceedings of the 32nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences(1999).
[11]Huhns, M. N. and Larry M. S., “Multiagent Systems and Societies of Agents,” Multiagent Systems: A Modern Approach to Distributed Artificial Intelligence, Gerhard Weiss(ed.), The MIT, pp.79-120(1999).
[12]Jennings N.R., K. Sycara and M. Wooldridge, “A Roadmap of Agent Research and Development,” Autonomous agents and Multi-agent Systems, Vol.1, pp.7-38(1998).
[13]Kaplan, S. and Sawhney, M., “E-Hubs: The New B2B Marketplace,” Harvard Business Review(2000).
[14]Lai, H., A Theoretical Basis for Negotiation Support Systems, Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of Purdue(1989).
[15]Leebaert, D. (Editor), The Future of the Electronic Marketplace, MIT Press(1998).
[16]Lindemann, M. A. and Schmid, B. F., “Framework for Specifying, Building, and Operating Electronic Markets,” International Journal of Electronic Commerce, Vol.3, No.2, pp.7-21(1998-99).
[17]Maes, P., Guttman, R.H. and Moukas, A.G., “Agents that Buy and Sell: Transforming Commerce as We Know It,” Communications of the ACM, Vol.42, No. 3, pp.81-91(1999).
[18]Mumpower, J.L., “The Judgment Policies of Negotiators and the Structure of Negotiation Problems,” Management Science, Vol.37, No.10, pp.1304-1324(1991).
[19]Nishimura, R., “Foreign and Domestic Trend in the e-Marketplace,” ECOM Journal(2001).
[20]Nissen, M.E, “Knowledge-Based Reengineering: From Mysterious Art to Learning Craft,” CITM 96-WP- 1012, Fisher Center for Information Technology and Management, University of California at Berkeley(1996).
[21]Oliver, J.R., “A Machine-Learning Approach to Automated Negotiation and Prospects for Electronic Commerce,” Journal of Management Information Systems, Vol. 13, No. 3, pp. 83-112(1996-97).
[22]Oliver, J. R., ”On artificial agents for negotiation in electronic commerce,” System Sciences, Proceedings of the Twenty-Ninth Hawaii International Conference on , Vol. 4, pp. 337-346(1996).
[23]P. Faratin, C. Sierra, and N.R. Jennings, “Negotiation Decision Functions for Autonomous Agents,” Robotics and Autonomous Systems, Vol. 24, pp. 159-182(1998).
[24]P. Maes., “Agents that Reduce Work and Information Overload,” Communications of the ACM, Vol. 37, No.7, pp. 31-40(1994).
[25]Peter R. Wurman, Michael P. Wellman and William E. Walsh, “The Michigan Internet AuctionBot:A Configurable Auction Server for Human and Software Agents,” ACM Autonomous Agents, pp. 301-308 (1998).
[26]San, M., “Intelligent agents on the Internet and Web,” TENCON ’98. IEEE Region 10 International Conference on GlobalConnectivity in Engery, Computer, Communication and Control,Vol.1, pp. 97-102(1998).
[27]Stern,L.W. and El-Ansary, A.I., Marketing Channels, Prentice Hall International, Inc., 4thed(1992).
[28]Sycara, K., A. Pannu, M. Williamson and Zeng, D., “Distributed Intelligent Agents,” IEEE Expert(1996).
[29]Turban, E., Lee, J., King, D.H., and Chung, M., Electronic Commerce: A Managerial Perspective, Prentice Hall, pp.202-298 (2000).
[30]Weller, T. C., ”BtoB eCommerce - The Rise of e-Marketplaces,” Legg Mason Equity Research, pp.8(2000).
[31]Zeng, D., and K. Sycara., ”Bayesian Learning in Negotiation,” Working Notes of the AAAI 1996 Stanford Spring Symposium Series on Adaptation, Co-evolution, and Learning in Multiagent Systems(1996).

2.中文部分
[32]Deloitte Consulting,「電子市集的發展模式與趨勢」,電子化企業經理人報告第十三期,第12-21頁(2000)。
[33]IBM,「業務整合服務;e-Marketplace:B2B電子市集」, http://www-901.ibm.com/tw/services/bis/market.html(2001)。
[34]John Benson, Gavin Keenedy and John McMillian (Managing Negotiations),蔡宗楊譯,談判技巧手冊,遠流出版事業股份有限公司(1992)。
[35]數位時代雜誌,「人聲鼎沸的B2B市集,我們來打造」,第10 號,第127-132頁(2000)。
[36]顏家彬,「具對手喜好預測能力之有效率協商支援系統」,碩士論文,淡江大學資訊管理研究所,台北(2002)。
[37]蘇木春、張孝德,機器學習:類神經網路、模糊系統以及基因演算法,全華科技圖書,第6.2-8.58頁(1991)。
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