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研究生:呂宗懋
研究生(外文):Tsung-Mao Lu
論文名稱:公共工程標價與標案規模之實證研究-以橋樑工程為例
論文名稱(外文):Empirical Study of Both Bidding Price and Project Scale — The case of Bridge Projects
指導教授:羅維羅維引用關係
指導教授(外文):Wei Lo
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立高雄第一科技大學
系所名稱:營建工程所
學門:工程學門
學類:土木工程學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2004
畢業學年度:92
語文別:中文
論文頁數:111
中文關鍵詞:工程標價標案規模多元迴歸分析
外文關鍵詞:Bid PriceProject ScaleMultiple Regression Analysis
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:19
  • 點閱點閱:214
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:39
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:1
影響工程標價之因素眾多,而標案規模為其中最重要因素之一,然而因為缺少實際數據,過去鮮少有研究以實際案例分析予以佐證。本研究藉由蒐集國內第二高速公路25個以「支撐先進工法」與23個以「場撐工法」施工的工程案例,以多元迴歸分析探討標案規模對工程標價的影響。
本研究首先透過專家訪談以及文獻回顧,確定出橋樑工程之規模因子,分有「橋樑全長」、「橋樑總面積」及「橋樑跨徑」等三項,另加上足以反應市場競爭情況之「競標廠商家數」,共計四項因子當作自變數,再以橋樑工程上部結構之合約單價為依變數進行探討。本研究經過迴歸係數判定﹙R2﹚、t檢定、F總檢定量檢測及共線性檢定,建立出「支撐先進工法」與「場撐工法」之迴歸模型,並依之推論出工程標案規模的大型化,可降低工程標價,而且競標家數的多寡,對於工程標價亦有顯著的影響。
Many factors that affect the bid price level have been identified previously and among these, project scale is recognized as one of the most important factors. However, few empirical studies have been made due to lack of study samples. This research is designed to study the effect of project scale on the bid price. Conclusions were made based on the multiple regression analysis of data collected from 25 projects adopting “Advanced Shoring Construction Method” and 23 projects adopting “Scaffolding Construction Method” of Taiwan Second Freeway.
Through literature reviews and interviews with experts, three independent variables that represent project scale such as “length of bridge”, “span of bridge”, and “total deck area of bridge” were selected. “Bidder number” which represents the competition level of market situation was further considered as the fourth independent variable in the multiple regression analysis. The bid price of bridge upper structure was used as dependent variable. A model was established according to the statistical results and it appears that the level of the bid price is highly associated with the project scale and the number of bidders.
中文摘要.............................................................................................................. I
英文摘要............................................................................................................. II
誌謝............................................................................................................ III
目錄............................................................................................................IV
表目錄...........................................................................................................VII
圖目錄............................................................................................................IX
第一章緒論........................................................................................................ 1
1.1 研究動機................................................................................................ 1
1.2 研究目的................................................................................................ 2
1.3 研究範圍與限制..................................................................................... 2
1.4 研究方法與流程..................................................................................... 3
1.5 論文架構................................................................................................ 5
第二章文獻回顧................................................................................................ 6
2.1 投標決策過程﹙bidding decision making process﹚ .............................. 6
2.1.1 是否參與投標階段﹙Bid / No bid decision﹚................................ 7
2.1.2 毛利潤率抉擇階段﹙The percent markup selection﹚ ............... 15
2.2 工程標價之影響因素﹙Factors﹚ ......................................................... 30
2.3 本章小結.............................................................................................. 31
第三章實證案例介紹....................................................................................... 32
3.1 第二高速公路後續計劃西湖大甲段︰ ................................................... 32
3.2 第二高速公路後續計劃九如林邊段︰ ................................................... 34
3.3 北宜高速公路頭城蘇澳段︰ ................................................................. 37
3.4 東西向快速公路彰濱台中線彰濱快官段︰............................................ 40
第四章橋樑工程案例分析與探討..................................................................... 42
4.1 資料分析方法....................................................................................... 43
4.2 標價影響因子之解釋與討論................................................................. 45
4.2.1 橋樑工程規模因子..................................................................... 48
4.2.2 工程標價影響因子所有組合....................................................... 49
4.3 案例資料數據之整理............................................................................ 50
4.4 迴歸模式建構....................................................................................... 54
4.4.1 剔除差異過大之游離數據........................................................... 54
4.4.2 變數選取.................................................................................... 60
4.4.3 多元迴歸分析............................................................................. 60
4.4.4 模式之評估................................................................................ 67
4.5 迴歸模型之驗證................................................................................... 71
4.5.1 迴歸模型之自變數組合驗證....................................................... 71
第五章結論與建議........................................................................................... 74
5.1 結論..................................................................................................... 74
5.2 後續研究方向建議................................................................................ 75
參考文獻........................................................................................................... 76
附錄一營建業物價指數表.............................................................................. 80
附錄二案例迴歸結果..................................................................................... 81
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