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研究生:陳立業
論文名稱:考慮政黨支持者之政治模型:正面及負面競選
論文名稱(外文):A Signaling Model on Positive and Negative Campaigns with Partisans
指導教授:張企
指導教授(外文):Chih Chang
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立清華大學
系所名稱:數學系
學門:數學及統計學門
學類:數學學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2004
畢業學年度:92
語文別:英文
論文頁數:41
中文關鍵詞:傳訊賽局正面競選負面競選競爭死忠支持者序貫均衡
外文關鍵詞:Signaling gamePositive campaignNegative campaignCompetitionPartisanSequential equilibrium
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:1
  • 點閱點閱:255
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:44
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:1
In this article, we present an electoral model containing positive campaign, negative campaign and partisans. Under the framework of signaling game, we analyze our model with the concept sequential equilibrium. Due to the competition of two senders, we can find some equilibria which are informative. But if there exists some positive proportion of partisans for one of the candidates, the informative equiilibria will not exist. Besides, the numbers of partisans will determine whether one candidate will adopt untruthful attack.
Contents
1.Introduction
2.Banks' Model
3.Harrington and Hess' model
4.A Signaling Model on Positive and Negative Campaigns with Partisans
5.Conclusion
6.Comparison with Banks' and Harrington and Hess' work
References
Alesina, A. (1988), Credibility and Policy Convergence in a Two-Party System with Rational Voters, American Economic Review.78, 796-805.
Banks, J. (1986), "Signaling Games: Theory and Applications." Ph.D. Thesis, California Institute of Technology.
Banks, J. S. (1990), A model of electoral competition with incomplete information. Journal of Economic Theory, 50, 309-325.
Cho, I. K. and Sobel, J. (1990), Strategic stability and uniqueness in signaling games, Journal of Economic Theory, 50, 381-413.
Cho, I. K. and Kreps, D. M. (1987), Signaling games and stable equilibria, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 102 , 179-221.
Davis, M. L. and Ferrrantino, M. (1996), Towards a positive theory of political rhetoric:Why do politicians lie? Public choice, 88: 1-13.
Garramone, G. M. (1984), Voter responses to negative political ads, Journalism quarterly, 61, 250-259.
Harrington, J. E. and Hess, G. D. (1996), A spatial theory of positive and negative campaigning, Games and Economic behavior, 17, 209-229.
Kahn, K. F. and Kenney, P. J. (1999), Do negative campaigns mobilize or suppress turnout? Clarifying the relationship between negativity and participation, The American Political Science Review, Menasha, 93, 877-890.
Kreps, D. M. and Wilson, R. (1982), Sequential equilibria, Econometrica, 50 , 863-894.
Mcpherson, J. (1987), The battle cry of freedom, New York: Oxford University Press.
Runkel, D. R. (1989), Campaign for President: The managers Look at '88, Dover, MA: Auburn House.
Stamland, T. (1999), Partially Informative Signaling, Journal of Economic Theory, 89, 148-161
Surlin, S. H. and Gordon, T. F. (1977), How values affect attitudes toward direct reference political advertising, Journalism Quarterly, 54, 89-98.
Samuelson, L. (1984), Electoral Equilibria with restricted Strategies, Public Choice 43, 307-327.
Tullock, G. (1967), Toward a mathematics of politics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
West, D. M. (1997), Air Wars: Television Advertising in Election Campaigns, 1952-1966. Washington, DC: Congressional Quarterly Press.
Weiss, W. (1985), Effects of the Mass Media of Communication, in Graduer Lindzey and Elliot Aronson (eds), Handbook of Social Psychology, 2nd, Ed., Rending , MA: Addison Wesley, 169, 77-195.
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