臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

協同規劃/預測/補貨為日益複雜之供應鏈網路提出新的解決之道，透過整體性考量供應鏈各協同夥伴的運作模式，將供應與需求的不確定性降低，以提升產業之競爭力。然而協同規劃/預測/補貨機制之運行，實有賴於一套能捨棄過往評選單一廠商，而能作整體供應鏈體系內各協同夥伴績效分析之機制。而此機制端賴能真正反映體系之協同供應商績效分析模式，方能有效及正確的運作，並作訂單規劃之協定依據。
本研究在及時化與公開化的資訊溝通環境下，藉由透過分析影響協同品質之因素，並加以考量協同夥伴特性及資源限制（廠商類別/廠家數/產能限制)之供應鏈協同品質模式，評量整體供應鏈表現並發展啟發式演算法解決訂單規劃問題，在最短時間內提供訂單分配之最佳組合供決策者參考，以期在電子化採購趨勢下，有效提昇同供應鏈體系的整體效益。

CPFR(Collaborative planning, forecasting and replenishment) provides a new method to solve the problem of supply chain network which is getting more and more complicated nowadays. By considering thoroughly of the collaborative supply chain network with operate models of collaborative partners, it can decrease the uncertainty of (the relationship between) supply and demand to increase the competition in business. However, the operation of CPFR system can function the best when deserting the old way of evaluating on a single collaborative partner, instead of a mechanism which can evaluate all collaborative partners’ performance of whole collaborative supply chain network. Further, the mechanism depends on an analysis model which can actually reflect the performance of supply chain network, so that it can function effectively, correctly and finally become the collaborative base for order planning.
This research evaluates the performance of the whole collaborative supply chain network and develops a algorithm to solve the problem of order planning under the environment of prompt and transparent information sharing which considers the factors that might affect collaborative qualities through analysis. More considerations are added to characteristics of the collaborative partners and the limit of resource, including the model of collaborative quality. It offers the best combination of order distribution as decision-makers’ reference in the shortest time. Therefore, it is expected that can effectively promote the whole beneficial results of supply chain network under the trend of electronic procurement.

摘要 I
Abstract II
誌謝 III
目錄 IV
圖目錄 VI
表目錄 VII
第1章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 3
1.3 研究範圍 4
1.4 研究方法 5
第2章 文獻與學理探討 6
2.1 長鞭效應 6
2.2 供應商管理 8
2.2.1 協同合作 8
2.2.2 供應商評估準則 10
2.3 協同供應鏈模式 13
2.3.1 符號定義 13
2.3.2 生產流程分析 15
2.3.3 協同品質模式 17
2.4 文獻綜合評述 22
第3章 研究方法 23
3.1 研究範圍與假設 23
3.2 求解法分析與選擇 26
3.3 演算法分析與構建 28
3.3.1 決策因子及法則分析 28
3.3.2 啟發式演算法構建 31
第4章 決策支援系統之建構 34
4.1 模擬工具 34
4.2 決策支援系統介面設計 34
4.3 案例驗證與分析 37
第5章 結論與未來發展 40
5.1 結論 40
5.2 未來發展 40
參考文獻 42
附錄I 案例測試結果 47

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