本研究探討以訂單式生產為主的供應鏈之產能規劃與供給管理決策問題。研究共分成兩個部份，第一部份為產業實證部份，使用因素分析與典型相關分析問卷資料，以釐清訂單式生產供應鏈在產能規劃與供給管理兩大構面因素之間的關聯。實證分析結果顯示訂單回應機制與配送對系統之績效影響最為顯著。本研究在第二部份提出兩階段之訂單回應機制分析模式，以進一步深入探討訂單回應機制對系統績效之影響。

The aim of this study is to investigate the problems of capacity planning and product supply in the make-to-order supply chains. The research is divided into two stages. First, an empirical study is implemented by questionnaires. The collected data is analyzed by the method of the factor analysis and canonical correlation in order to find the relationships between capacity planning and product supply. It is found that the ATP（available-to-promise）and product distribution are the two significant factors on system performance. Based on these results, this study proposes a two-stage ATP model for further investigating the problems of capacity planning and product supply decisions.

中文摘要-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------i
英文摘要------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ii
誌謝-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------iii
目錄------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------v
表目錄--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------vii
圖目錄-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------viii
第一章、緒 論-------------------------------------------------------------------------1
1.1研究背景與動機-------------------------------------------------------------------1
1.2研究目的----------------------------------------------------------------------------2
1.3研究限制與範圍-------------------------------------------------------------------2
1.4研究方法與流程-------------------------------------------------------------------3
第二章、文獻探討--------------------------------------------------------------------6
2.1訂單式生產管理-------------------------------------------------------------------6
2.2供應鏈產能規劃與供給管理----------------------------------------------------7
2.2.1產能規劃-------------------------------------------------------------------------8
2.2.2供給管理------------------------------------------------------------------------10
2.3因素分析--------------------------------------------------------------------------13
2.4典型相關分析--------------------------------------------------------------------15
2.5先進規劃與排程系統-----------------------------------------------------------16
2.5.1先進規劃與排程系統之意義與特色---------------------------------------17
2.5.2需求滿足------------------------------------------------------------------------19
2.6訂單回應機制（ATP）---------------------------------------------------------21
2.7系統模擬方法--------------------------------------------------------------------25
2.7.1系統模擬之定義--------------------------------------------------------------25
2.7.2系統模擬之優缺點-----------------------------------------------------------27
2.7.3系統模擬相關文獻探討------------------------------------------------------27
2.8模式建構方法-------------------------------------------------------------------29
第三章、供應鏈產能規劃與供給管理實證研究-----------------------------32
3.1研究變數的定義與衡量-------------------------------------------------------32
3.2抽樣樣本與問卷回收----------------------------------------------------------35
3.3資料分析-------------------------------------------------------------------------35
3.3.1因素分析----------------------------------------------------------------------35
3.3.1.1產能規劃之因素分析-----------------------------------------------------36
3.3.1.2供給作業管理之因素分析-----------------------------------------------37
3.3.2信度分析----------------------------------------------------------------------40
3.3.3典型相關分析----------------------------------------------------------------41
3.4實證結果說明------------------------------------------------------------------46
第四章、模式構建與模擬分析-------------------------------------------------49
4.1模式構建的概念與架構------------------------------------------------------49
4.1.1模式分析之研究步驟------------------------------------------------------50
4.2範例介紹與說明---------------------------------------------------------------52
4.3範例數學模式敘述與分析---------------------------------------------------54
4.3.1範例問題定義---------------------------------------------------------------55
4.3.2範例數學模式---------------------------------------------------------------55
4.3.3範例模式變數與符號說明------------------------------------------------55
4.3.4範例的求解流程------------------------------------------------------------58
4.4系統模擬分析-----------------------------------------------------------------61
4.4.1軟體之選擇及功能簡介--------------------------------------------------61
4.4.2模擬模型之建構-----------------------------------------------------------61
4.4.3驗證與確認之定義--------------------------------------------------------64
4.4.4模擬模式變數說明--------------------------------------------------------65
4.4.5模擬實驗設計與執行------------------------------------------------------67
4.4.6模擬結果分析---------------------------------------------------------------69
4.5小結------------------------------------------------------------------------------72
第五章、結論與建議-------------------------------------------------------------74
5.1結論-----------------------------------------------------------------------------74
5.2建議-----------------------------------------------------------------------------76
參考文獻---------------------------------------------------------------------------77
附錄一問卷資料------------------------------------------------------------------84
附錄二Hosang數學模式-------------------------------------------------------87
作者簡介---------------------------------------------------------------------------91

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