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研究生:廖尉君
研究生(外文):Wei-Jiun Liao
論文名稱:東亞奇蹟或危機─發展國家與新古典理論的爭辯
指導教授:朱雲漢朱雲漢引用關係吳玉山吳玉山引用關係
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:政治學研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:政治學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2005
畢業學年度:93
語文別:中文
論文頁數:177
中文關鍵詞:東亞經濟發展發展型國家東亞發展模式新古典經濟學東亞金融危機發展思維華盛頓共識
外文關鍵詞:East AsiaEconomic DevelopmentDevelopmental Statethe East Asian ModelNeoclassical Economicsthe East Asian Financial CrisisDevelopment thoughtthe Washington Consensus
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本論文研究東亞經濟發展的政治經濟學之辯論脈絡。東亞經濟在二次戰後逐步獲得發展,新古典經濟學與發展型國家理論競相詮釋其成功的因素,隱約形成兩個理論典範競爭的格局。在經濟發展上,新古典經濟學認為經濟活動的主體乃是自由市場的運作,國家角色乃是必要之惡(necessary evil),而發展型國家理論則認同國家推動經濟發展的貢獻(pro-action state)。1997年金融危機爆發後,典範的競爭直接轉變為激烈的辯論,至今尚未產生共識或結論。由於這場辯論的核心為開發中國家的發展策略與理路,此一議題的整體圖像在地理上涵蓋全球的發展中國家,在理論上跨越政治學、經濟學,甚或涉及社會學的關懷。本論文聚焦於東亞新興工業化國家,以此區域的長期發展脈絡嵌入理論的爭辯,釐清實證上與理論上的演變。藉此檢視相關典範的理論價值與適用性、國家角色的變遷、新發展(development)典範之形成等重大新興議題。在東亞的辯論趨於沉澱之際,新古典經濟學與發展型國家理論又在中國大陸的經濟發展經驗上找到新戰場,開展出議題更廣泛複雜的辯論。新的辯論與理論演變將繼承長久以來辯論的脈絡,在偏向國家與偏向市場的兩端來回擺盪,體現經濟發展關懷的理論角力,而新發展思維的蘊釀,也在其中不斷被激發,試圖在理論的範疇中,尋求改善人類經濟生活的實踐與可能性。
第一章 緒論 / 1
  第一節 問題意識與研究目的 / 1
  第二節 文獻回顧與分析 / 4
    壹、新古典經濟學派典範的發展 / 4
一、亞當斯密與英美經濟哲學之基礎 / 4
二、新古典經濟學派典範的發展 / 7
三、新古典經濟學典範的挫敗與再起 / 9
四、市場理念的擴散與華盛頓共識 / 12
貳、後進工業化國家與發展理路的流變 / 14
一、後進工業化國家的追趕 / 14
二、經濟學界對發展問題的論述:發展經濟學 / 16
三、發展策略思維的流變 / 20
  第三節 研究方法與分析架構 / 24
    壹、研究方法 / 24
    貳、分析架構 / 25
第四節 章節安排 / 28

第二章 東亞奇蹟 / 30
第一節 二次戰後的東亞經濟發展 / 30
    壹、經濟成長 / 31
    貳、消滅貧窮與不均 / 33
    參、生活水準提昇 / 37
  第二節 新古典經濟學的詮釋 / 39
  第三節 發展型國家理論的興起 / 44
  第四節 關於東亞奇蹟的辯論 / 50
    壹、發展型國家理論與新古典經濟學的交鋒:國家創造經濟奇蹟? / 50
    貳、真假奇蹟─東亞總要素生產力的辯論 / 53
第五節 世界銀行詮釋下的《東亞奇蹟》 / 57
    壹、《東亞奇蹟》的誕生:世界銀行與日本的衝突與折衝 / 58
    貳、《東亞奇蹟》的最終內容 / 59
    參、對《東亞奇蹟》的評價 / 61

第三章 金融危機的衝擊 / 63
  第一節 東亞金融危機(1997-1999) / 63
  第二節 東亞模式危機? / 66
    壹、產業政策 / 67
    貳、金融體系 / 68
    參、國家與企業之關係─權貴資本主義(Crony Capitalism) / 71
    肆、成也國家,敗也國家? / 75
第三節 金融危機後之重大辯論 / 77
    壹、金融危機之起因 / 77
一、美國官方與國際經濟組織的看法:Fundamentals-Based Explanations / 79
二、國際金融恐慌與開發中國家的金融自由化:Financial-Panic-Based Explanations / 81
三、發展型國家論的觀點 / 87
    貳、對IMF措施與政策方針之批評 / 90
一、IMF的援助計畫 / 91
二、IMF:Dr. Death? / 93
三、馬來西亞─走自己的路 / 97
四、對IMF之政策方針與建制的批評 / 98

第四章 未完結的辯論 / 104
  第一節 發展型國家論的困境與出路 / 104
    壹、日本的困局 / 104
    貳、東亞再起─驚人的復甦步伐 / 109
    參、發展型國家理論的挑戰與回應 / 112
一、 發展型國家理論的挑戰:全球化與民主化 / 112
二、 回應挑戰 /114
  第二節 學術殿堂外的崎嶇─新古典經濟學的問題與挑戰 / 119
第三節 辯論的沉澱與再起 / 130
    壹、對辯論的觀察—回顧東亞回合 / 130
    貳、新辯論戰場—中國回合的展開 / 134
一、 關於中國經濟成長的重要辯論議題 / 134
二、 中國回合的辯論脈動:比較與評估 / 143

第五章 結論 / 148
   壹、東亞經濟發展與典範之爭 / 148
   貳、經濟發展思維的轉變與挑戰 / 152

參考文獻 / 155
中文參考文獻
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中文期刊、論文集
于宗先,1998,「東亞經濟奇蹟會成為歷史陳跡?」《東吳經濟商學學報》,23: 1-15。

王佳煌,1997,「東亞發展型國家──模範或特例?」《東亞季刊》,28(4): 1-38。

王振寰,2003,「全球化下後進國家的抉擇:以東亞的發展路徑為例」,台灣社會學年會卸任理事長演講。

朱雲漢,1999,「中國人與二十一世紀世界秩序」《二十一世紀雙月刊》,56: 20-21。

吳玉山,1999,「回顧中國大陸產權改革」《香港社會科學學報》,14: 175-199。

吳德榮,1993,「國家,市場,還是經濟管治?─從四本東亞研究論著談起」《香港社會科學學報》,1: 176-200。

康曉光,2003,「中國特殊論─對中國大陸25年改革經驗的反思」《戰略與管理》,59: 56-62。


楊雅惠,1999,「國際貨幣基金在亞洲金融風暴中之角色」《經濟前瞻》,62:58-62。

鄭京海、胡鞍鋼,2004,「中國改革時期省際生產率增長變化的實證分析」《國情研究中心工作論文系列》,No.1。

鄭為元,1999,「發展型『國家』或發展型國家『理論』的終結?」《台灣社會研究》,34: 1-68。

瞿宛文,2002,「自由開放有利於經濟發展?─如何看待中國加入世貿組織」《讀書》,276: 36-44。



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中外文網路
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System: http://www.federalreserve.gov/
Global Policy Forum: http://www.globalpolicy.org/
International Monetary Fund: http://www.imf.org/
Nouriel Roubini''s Global Macroeconomic and Financial Policy Site: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/globalmacro/
The Asian Crisis Home Page: http://faculty.washington.edu/karyiu/Asia/articles.htm
The Asian Economic Crisis: Points of View: http://russia.shaps.hawaii.edu/economic/asian-crisis.html
United States Department of the Treasury: http://www.ustreas.gov/
World Bank: http://www.worldbank.org/; http://www.worldbank.org.cn/


報章資料
Financial Times
International Herald Tribune
New York Times
The Wall Street Journal
Washington Post
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