臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

隨著多國籍企業的跨國直接投資活動日益興盛，如今，中國是台灣海外投資的主要對象，尤電子電器製造業之投資額最多；因此，政府應該如何幫助台商在中國市場卡位、進行全球佈局，同時避免外溢效果產生？
本研究採用多階段賽局分析政府政策下多國籍企業（MNEs）的策略，研究工具則利用「Mathematica 5.1」程式設計軟體，處理本研究理論模型下Cournot產量競爭的繁雜數學運算，再根據該軟體精準的圖形分析MNEs策略和政府政策。
研究發現：母國（台灣）政府制定對於本國MNEs較有影響力的「管制政策」，而非獎勵政策。而MNEs可選擇「出口策略」或「海外直接投資（FDI）策略」；發生外溢效果時，地主國（中國）的廠商有機會取得專業技術，甚至以更低的成本進入市場、分食利潤。另外，當MNEs陷入囚犯困境，政府可實施「管制出口政策」協助之，便可迫使他們採取FDI策略，以達柏拉圖最適。

MNEs’ foreign direct investments are being done daily. China has become an important place to produce IT and 3C products. Taiwan’s investments in China exceed 2/3 of all oversea, especial electronic apparatus manufacturing industry. Therefore, how can the government help Taiwan MNEs to carry on the global overall arrangement, to get a ticket into China, and prevent spillover effect?
This paper adopts the game theory to research MNEs’ strategy under government policy. And use a design program software “Mathematica 5.1” to deal with the model (ie. Cournot quantity competition). According to the function & figures to analyze government policy and MNEs’ strategy.
This research discovered: The government of home country, Taiwan, makes one powerful “control policy” toward MNEs’, but not a reward policy. When the government adopts “semi-control policy of FDI or export”, MNEs’ investment causes technology spillover effect. Giving those firms of host country, China, a chance to enter the market and share the profit. In addition, when MNEs fall into the prisoner dilemma between FDI and spillover. The government could implement a “control export policy” to force firms choose the FDI strategy, then reach Pareto optimality.

第一章　緒論 …………………………………………… 1
第一節　研究動機與背景 ………………………… 1
第二節　研究方法與目的 …………………………… 2
第三節　研究架構 …………………………………… 3
第二章　文獻探討 ……………………………………… 5
第三章　理論模型 ……………………………………… 10
第一節　前提假設 …………………………………… 10
第二節　推導過程 …………………………………… 13
第三節　繪圖分析 …………………………………… 17
第四節　模型發現 …………………………………… 20
第四章 政府政策 ……………………………………… 25
第一節　出口政策 …………………………………… 25
第二節　國外直接投資政策 ………………………… 29
第三節　獎勵政策與管制政策 ……………………… 33
第五章　總結 …………………………………………… 36
第一節　結論 ………………………………………… 36
第二節　未來展望 …………………………………… 39
參考文獻 ………………………………………………… 41
附錄ㄧ Cournot Model ………………………… 45
附錄二 廠商在第三階段的利潤 ……………………47
附錄三 不等式圖形在等利潤曲線的方位 ………… 51

一、中文
（一）期刊文章：
王建全。2005。台灣高科技產業代工模式的省思。「經濟前瞻」，第九十
九期：65~69。
任耀廷。2005。兩岸與日美經濟競爭力結構的演變(1980-2002)。「台灣
經濟金融月刊」，第四十一卷第七期：67~88。
洪友芳。2005。誰是偷跑者？晶圓雙雄口角。「自由時報」，八月五日：
C2版。
張順教、呂承恩。2005。半導體晶片學習效果分析。「產業論壇」，第七
卷第二期：47~65。
陳更生。1999。「內生貿易整合：不完全競爭、規模經濟與政治經濟之影
響」。國立台灣大學經濟學研究所。博士論文。
黃鈞銘。2005。透視中國在全球半導體產業的角色。「園區生活」，第八
十八期：26~28。
鄭琪芳。2005。貿易好轉：產業外移導致出口成長趨緩，預估今年出超僅
10多億美元，恐創20多年來新低。「自由時報」，八月九日：C2版。

（二）專書：
James Miller，戴至中譯。2003。「洞悉商場賽局（Game theory at work:
how to outthink and outmaneuver your competition）」。臺北
市：McGraw-Hill。
Warren J. Keegan，吳克振校訂，黃瑞芬等編譯。2002。「國際行銷管
理(Global Marketing Management)」。臺北市：華泰。
成方。2000。「Mathematica入門與進階」。臺北市：全華。
吳青松。2002。「國際企業管理-理論與實務」。臺北市：智勝。
周宜魁。1995。「國際貿易理論與政策」。臺北市：三民。
施錫銓。2004。「博奕論」。上海：上海財經大學。
洪維恩。1997。「Mathematica 3.0版入門指引」。臺北市：松崗。
屠名正。2003。「Mathematica程式設計入門」。臺北縣：高立。
戴國良。2004。「策略管理-策略分析與本土個案實務」。臺北市：鼎茂。
謝識予。2004。「經濟博奕論」。上海：復旦大學。

（三）網際網路：
大陸台商經貿網www.chinabiz.org.tw
財團法人國家政策研究基金會www.npf.org.tw
財團法人國際合作發展基金會www.icdf.org.tw
國際貿易局cweb.trade.gov.tw
經濟部www.moea.gov.tw

二、英文
（一）PERIODICALS
Arora, A., Fosfuri, A., Gambardella, A., Specialized technology
suppliers, international spillovers and investment: evidence
from the chemical industry. Journal of Development Economics
Vol. 65 (2001) 31–54.
Arora, A., Fosfuri, A., Licensing the market for technology.
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Vol. 52 (2003)
277–295.
Baldwin, R. E., Ottaviano, G. I. P., Multiproduct multinationals
and reciprocal FDI dumping. Journal of International Economics
54 (2001) 429–448.
Blomstrom, M., Sjoholm, F., Foreign Direct Investment Technology
transfer and spillovers: Does local participation with
multinationals matter? European Economic Review 43 (1999)
915– 923.
Cheung, K., Lin, P., Spillover effects of FDI on innovation in
China: Evidence from the provincial data. China Economic
Review 15 (2004) 25–44.
Co, C. Y., Trade, foreign direct investment and industry
performance. International Journal of Industrial Organization
19 (2001) 163–183.
Damijan, J. P., Knell, M., Majcen, B., Rojec, M., The role of FDI,
R&D accumulation and trade in transferring technology to
transition countries: evidence from firm panel data for eight
transition countries. Economic Systems 27 (2003) 189–204
Dehejia, V. H., Weichenrieder, A. J. Tariff jumping foreign
investment and capital taxation. Journal of International
Economics 53 (2001) 223–230.
Fosfuri, A., Determinants of international activity: evidence from
the chemical processing industry. Research Policy 33 (2004)
1599–1614.
Fosfuri, A., Motta, M., Multinationals without Advantages.
Scandinavian Journal of Economics 101 No. 4 (1999) 617–630.
Fosfuri, A., Motta, M., Rønde, T., Foreign direct investment and
spillovers through workers' mobility. Journal of
International Economics 53 (2001) 205–222.
Fosfuri, A., Rønde, T., High-tech clusters, technology spillovers,
and trade secret laws. International Journal of Industrial
Organization 22 (2004) 45–65.
Fumagalli, C., On the welfare effects of competition for foreign
direct investments. European Economic Review 47 (2003)
963–983.
Glass, A. J., Saggi, K., FDI policies under shared factor markets.
Journal of International Economics 49 (1999) 309–332.
Glass, A. J., Saggi, K., Intellectual property rights and foreign
direct investment. Journal of International Economics 56
(2002) 387–410.
Glass, A. J., Saggi, K., International technology transfer and the
technology gap. Journal of Development Economics 55 (1998)
369–398.
Glass, A. J., Substitution in R&D across countries. Japan and the
World Economy 15 (2003) 373–390.
Goh, A., Olivier, J., Learning by doing, trade in capital goods
and growth. Journal of International Economics 56 (2002)
411–444.
Konishi, H., Saggi, K., Weber, S., Endogenous trade policy under
foreign direct investment. Journal of International Economics
49 (1999) 289–308.
Kolev, D. R., Prusa, T. J., Tariff policy for a monopolist in a
signaling game. Journal of International Economics 49 (1999)
51–76.
Levy, S., Nolan, S., Trade and foreign investment policies under
imperfect competition. Journal of Development Economics 37
(1999) 31–62.
Li, X., Liu, X., Parker, D., Foreign direct investment and
productivity spillovers in the Chinese manufacturing sector.
Economic Systems 25 (2001) 305–321.
Markusen, J. R., Contracts, intellectual property right, and
multinational investment in developing countries. Journal of
International Economics 53 (2001) 189–204.
Norback, P., firms, M., Technology and location. Journal of
International Economics 54 (2001) 449–469.
Norback, P., Persson, L., Privatization and foreign competition.
Journal of International Economics 62 (2004) 409–416.
Olsen, T. E., Osmundsen, P., Spillovers and international
competition for investments. Journal of International
Economics 59 (2003) 211–238.
Olsen, T. E., Osmundsen, P., Strategic tax competition;
implications of national ownership. Journal of Public
Economics 81 (2001) 253–277.
Sadik, A. T., Bolbol, A. A., Capital flows, FDI, and technology
spillovers: evidence from arab countries. World Development
Vol. 29 No. 12 (2001) 2111–2125.

（二）BOOKS
Abell, M. L., Braselton, J. P., 1994. Mathematica By Example.
Academic Press, Inc.
Johansson, J. K., 2003. Global Marketing: Foreign Entry, Local
Marketing & Global Management. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.
Wolfram, S., 1988. Mathematica: REFERENCE GUIDE. Addison-Wesley
Publishing Company.
Wolfram, S., 1991. Mathematica: A System for Doing Mathematics by
Computer. Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.

（三）INTERNET
www.eiu.com
www.imf.org
www.un.org
www.worldbank.org
www.wto.org