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研究生:張家瑋
論文名稱:負盈餘公司之評價-盈餘及帳面價值觀點
論文名稱(外文):Valuation of Negative-earnings Firms: Earnings V.S. Book Value
指導教授:陳錦烽陳錦烽引用關係
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立政治大學
系所名稱:會計研究所
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:會計學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2007
畢業學年度:95
語文別:中文
論文頁數:84
中文關鍵詞:負盈餘暫時性負盈餘持續性負盈餘
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:8
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本研究旨在探討負盈餘公司的評價,而以財務報表兩大會計數字:盈餘及帳面價值為主要研究項目。本文參考Joos and Plesko(2005),將研究樣本分類為暫時性及持續性負盈餘公司。實證結果顯示,營業活動現金流量對電子業之負盈餘公司較具價值攸關性,尤以暫時性負盈餘公司最為顯著;帳面價值之拆解項目則對非電子業之負盈餘公司及暫時性負盈餘公司較具攸關價值,其中非電子業暫時性負盈餘公司之攸關性最高。
在敏感性分析中,本研究另以實際發生負盈餘的持續度進行暫時性及持續性負盈餘的分類,並考慮公司規模因素。實證結果顯示,帳面價值拆解項目對於公司負盈餘之暫時性或持續性,並無明顯的評價差異;盈餘資訊之攸關性則有限。就規模因素而言,暫時性負盈餘公司及持續性負盈餘公司的盈餘拆解項目大多不具攸關價值,而帳面價值對於持續性負盈餘公司較具攸關價值。若按照電子業及非電子業分類,營業活動現金流量對於評價暫時性負盈餘公司具攸關價值,且較應計項目高;帳面價值拆解項目則無明顯之價值攸關性差異。
This paper investigates the evaluation of negative-earnings firms by their earnings and book values, which are two of the most important accounting figures in financial statements. Following Joos and Plesko (2005), we classify the sample firms into two categories: transitory negative earnings and persistent negative earnings. The empirical results show that cash flows from operating activities are more value relevant for the negative-earnings firms in electronics industry, especially for those with transitory negative earnings. For the non-electronic industry, decomposed book values are more value relevant for those firms with transitory negative earnings.
In performing sensitive analyses, this study further classifies negatives-earnings firms with the actual persistence of their negative earnings as well as the firm size. For the actual persistence of negative earnings, decomposed book values demonstrate no significant difference in the valuation of transitory negative earnings firms and persistent negative earnings firms, and decomposed earnings show little value relevance in either group. When considering the size effect, decomposed earnings aren’t value relevant in transitory and persistent negative earnings firms and decomposed book values are more value relevant for the firms with persistent negative earnings. We also test the industry effect by dividing the sample firms into electronics and non-electronics. The results show that net cash flows from operating activities are more value relevant for transitory negative earnings firms and their relevance is higher than accruals. And decomposed book values show no significant difference in value relevance for both groups.
第壹章 前言 1
一、研究動機與目的 1
二、研究問題 4
三、論文架構 5
第貮章 文獻探討 7
一、盈餘與股價、股價報酬的關係 7
二、帳面價值與股價、股價報酬的關係 14
三、盈餘、帳面價值與股價的關係 17
第參章 研究方法 27
一、研究假說 27
二、研究模型、變數定義及衡量 29
三、資料來源與處理 34
第肆章 實證結果 35
一、正、負盈餘公司之評價 35
二、暫時性、持續性損失公司之評價 52
三、敏感性分析 58
第伍章 結論與建議 64
一、研究結論 64
二、研究限制 65
三、後續研究建議 65
參考文獻 66
一、中文部分 66
二、英文部分 67
附錄 72

表1-1 投資人類別交易比重 3
圖1-1 論文架構 6
表4-1 全部樣本公司發生負盈餘之家數 35
表4-2 正、負盈餘樣本公司各變數敘述性統計量 36
表4-3 正盈餘樣本公司各變數敘述統 37
表4-4 負盈餘樣本公司各變數敘述統計 37
表4-5 全部樣本公司各變數SPEARMAN相關係數 38
表4-6 正盈餘樣本公司各變數SPEARMAN相關係數 39
表4-7 負盈餘樣本公司各變數SPEARMAN相關係數 40
表4-8 正、負盈餘樣本公司之評價 42
表4-9 正、負盈餘公司之評價 44
表4-10 各年度負盈餘樣本公司之評價 47
表4-11 各年度負盈餘樣本公司之評價—拆解項目 48
表4-12 負盈餘樣本公司之評價—電子業及非電子業 51
表4-13 暫時性、持續性負盈餘樣本公司之評價 55
表4-14 暫時性、持續性負盈餘公司之評價—電子及非電子業分類 56
表4-15 暫時性、持續性負盈餘樣本公司之評價(按實際發生負盈餘分類)60
表4-16 暫時性、持續性負盈餘樣本公司之評價(控制規模因素) 61
表4-17 暫時性、持續性負盈餘公司之評價—電子、非電子業分類(控制規模因素) 62
附表4-8 正、負盈餘樣本公司之評價 72
附表4-9 正、負盈餘公司之評價 73
附表4-10 各年度負盈餘樣本公司之評價 74
附表4-11 各年度負盈餘樣本公司之評價—拆解項目 75
附表4-12 負盈餘樣本公司之評價—電子業及非電子業 77
附表4-13 暫時性、持續性負盈餘樣本公司之評價 78
附表4-14 暫時性、持續性負盈餘公司之評價—電子及非電子業分類 79
附表4-15 暫時性、持續性負盈餘樣本公司之評價(按實際發生負盈餘分類) 81
附表4-16 暫時性、持續性負盈餘樣本公司之評價(控制規模因素) 82
附表4-17 暫時性、持續性負盈餘公司之評價—電子、非電子業分類(控制規模因素) 83
一、中文部分
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林凱鴻,2000,盈餘、帳面價值攸關性研究—考慮規模效果—,國立臺灣大學會計學系碩士論文。
侯寶龍,2003,負盈餘公司之盈餘品質及資產品質對公司股價之影響,國立台北大學會計學系碩士論文。
陳沂爭,2000,負盈餘公司評價之問題,私立輔仁大學會計學系碩士論文。
游淑婷,2005,應計項目評價分析—區分正負盈餘樣本,國立中山大學財務管理學系碩士論文。
張君玉,2002,負盈餘資訊內涵—以負盈餘持續性觀之,國立台北大學會計學系碩士論文。
黃正誠,1998,負盈餘研究—以資訊觀點與衡量觀點分析,國立臺灣大學會計學系碩士論文。
彭火樹,2005,股價與盈餘關係之研究:盈餘與帳面價值定式問題之再考量,會計評論,第40期(1月):70-90。
楊淑萍,2001,企業財務健全度影響盈餘與帳面價值在評價模式中相對重要性之研究,國立成功大學會計學系碩士論文。
楊婉菁,1998,以選擇賣權模式探討公司價值,國立中央大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
趙正源,2004,應計項目組成與股票報酬之關聯性,私立輔仁大學會計學系碩士論文。
蘇俊誠,1995,全額交割股盈餘與股價關聯性之研究,國立台灣大學會計學系碩士論文。

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