跳到主要內容

臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

(18.97.14.86) 您好!臺灣時間:2025/02/15 07:57
字體大小: 字級放大   字級縮小   預設字形  
回查詢結果 :::

詳目顯示

: 
twitterline
研究生:楊映暉
研究生(外文):Ying-hui Yang
論文名稱:貪污對經濟成長之影響-以新興市場經濟為例
論文名稱(外文):The Impact of Corruption on Economic Growth: The Case of Emerging Market Economies
指導教授:謝文真謝文真引用關係
指導教授(外文):Wen-jen Hsieh
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:政治經濟學研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:經濟學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2007
畢業學年度:95
語文別:中文
論文頁數:82
中文關鍵詞:固定效果模型追蹤資料貪污經濟成長新興市場經濟
外文關鍵詞:Fixed Effect ModelPanel DataCorruptionEconomic GrowthEmerging Market Economies
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:28
  • 點閱點閱:2417
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:329
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:4
本研究主要探討在新興市場經濟(emerging market economies, EMEs)中貪污對於國家經濟成長所扮演的角色。當世界觀點一致強調貪污將為國家經濟發展帶來嚴酷的成本與後果之同時,新興市場經濟卻以高速成長且貪污程度普遍猖獗之雙重面向展現於世人。因此本文擬透過實證分析,以國際透明組織的貪污印象指數(corruption perceptions index, CPI)作為貪污變數,並加入其他可能影響經濟成長的因素,包括實質國內固定資本形成毛額成長率、就業人數成長率、教育水準和政治不穩定程度等經濟政治變數,探究在23個新興國家中,貪污對經濟成長之影響程度。
在研究方法上,由於各國時間序列資料有限,故採用追蹤資料(panel data);並於Hausman Test檢驗下,以固定效果模型(fixed effect model)對1996至2004年的年資料進行實證迴歸分析。除了針對整體23個新興市場經濟進行分析外,基於各國之崛起背景和持續成長結構不盡相同,本文再將各國以區域特質分為三組,分別為亞洲國家、拉丁美洲國家和歐洲國家,探究在不同區域的新興國家當中,貪污與經濟成長的關係是否存有異質性。
實證分析結果顯示,整體而言,在新興市場經濟中貪污將為經濟成長帶來正面助益,然而在各區域分組之間則有所差異。其中亞洲國家為不顯著的正相關;而經濟水準較低的拉丁美洲國家,貪污對其經濟成長則為顯著的正向關係;相對而言,在近年來經濟成長較為穩定快速的新興歐洲國家中,貪污對成長之影響則已轉為顯著的負向關係,亦即貪污將對經濟成長帶來負面損害。此結果暗示在經濟成長過程中,貪污也許可以作為政經體制的潤滑劑,為新興市場的經濟活動注入部分成長動力,但此助益將無法持久,甚或在國家經濟水準達到一定程度後,貪污將反而成為這些國家持續成長之絆腳石。
This paper intends to investigate the role of corruption in economic growth in 23 emerging market economies (EMEs). While the world’s viewpoint on corruption points out that it brings cruel cost and consequence to economic development of a country, EMEs also demonstrate the combination of rapid growth and serious corruption. Hence, this study examines the impact of corruption on economic growth in EMEs. The corruption perceptions index (CPI) of the Transparency International and other economic and political variables, which include the growth rate of gross fixed capital formation, the growth rate of employment, the enrollment ratio of tertiary education, and the index of political instability, are employed to determine the economic growth.
Subject to the time series of data available, this paper adopts the panel data of 23 countries from 1996 to 2004 to a fixed effect model. Furthermore, due to the differences in the emerging background and the structures of growth among countries, three regional models (Asia, Latin America, and Europe) are established in addition to the model of the whole 23 EMEs. This thesis tries to probe into the fact of whether there are diverse relationships to economic growth and corruption in different regions.
The empirical results suggest that corruption is positively associated with economic growth in EMEs. However, there are differences among regions. Among them, the influence of corruption on growth is positive but insignificant in the Asian model. However, corruption brings forth significantly positive effect on the growth of Latin American over all where the economic level is comparatively lower. On the contrary, the impact of corruption on EMEs in Europe, where the growth rates of countries are more stable and faster, is negative and significant.
The results imply that corruption may grease the political and economic system and infuse some motive power into the economic activities of EMEs during the processes of growth; nevertheless, the infusion will not be sustained. Moreover, corruption may turn to become an obstacle to the continuing growth of economy to these countries.
第一章 緒 論 1
第一節 研究動機 2
第二節 研究目的 5
第三節 研究架構 6
第二章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 貪污之定義與衡量 7
第二節 貪污之相關理論 12
第三節 實證文獻回顧 18
第三章 新興市場經濟之簡述 29
第一節 新興市場經濟之界定 29
第二節 新興市場經濟之現況 31
第四章 模型架構與變數說明 45
第一節 理論模型之介紹 45
第二節 理論模型之修正與變數說明 47
第三節 統計方法 52
第五章 實證分析 59
第一節 敘述統計 59
第二節 統計檢定 63
第三節 迴歸結果分析 65
第六章 結論 74
第一節 研究限制 74
第二節 結論 75
參考文獻 77
一、中文部分
1. Huntington, Samuel P. 原著,張岱云等譯:《變動社會的政治秩序》(Political Order in Changing Societies)(台北:時報文化,1994年)。
2. Schumpeter, Joseph A., 原著,何畏、易家詳等:《經濟發展理論:對於利潤、資本、信用、利息和景氣循環的考察》 (The Theory of Economic Development: An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest, and the Business Cycle)(台北:貓頭鷹,2001年)。
3. 沈耀華、楊少強、賀先蕙:〈半世紀內六大經濟體洗牌〉,《商業周刊》第901期(2005年),頁100-106。
4. 邱志淳、游國鑌:〈兩岸廉政及肅貪之困境與展望〉,《中國大陸研究》第47卷2期(2004年),頁143-168。
5. 洪美蘭:《經濟激進轉型策略-中東歐之經驗與啟示》(台北:翰蘆圖書,2002年)。
6. 徐同申:〈回歸國際社會後的新南非〉,《輸出入金融雙月刊》,第93期(2001年),頁48-70。
7. 徐同申:〈南錐之星-巴西〉,《輸出入金融雙月刊》,第94期(2001年),頁34-50。
8. 商業周刊編輯部:《金磚四國關鍵報告》(台北:商智文化,2005年)。
9. 趙建民:《威權政治》(台北:幼獅文化,1994年)。
10. Hill, R. Carter, William E. Griffiths, and George G. Judge原著,蔡建樹:《初級計量經濟學》(Undergraduate Econometrics)(台北:台灣西書出版社,第二版,2002年)。

二、西文部分
1. Baltagi, Badi H., Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (Chichester New York: John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2nd Edition, 2001).
2. Bardhan, Pranab, “Corruption and Development: A Review of Issues,” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 35 (1997), pp. 1320-1346.
3. Barreto, Raul A., “Endogenous Corruption in a Neoclassical Growth Model,” European Economic Review, Vol. 44 (2000), pp. 35-60.
4. Barreto, Raul A., “Endogenous Corruption, Inequality and Growth: Econometric Evidence,” School of Economics, Adelaide University, Working Paper 01-2 (2001).
5. Barro, Robert J., “Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, No. 5, part 2 (1990), pp. S103–S125.
6. Barro, Robert J., “Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106 (1991), pp. 408-443.
7. Barro, Robert J., and X. Sala-i-Martin, “Convergence across States and Regions,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol. 1 (1991), pp. 107–182.
8. Barro, Robert J., and X. Sala-i-Martin, “Convergence,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 100 (1992), pp. 223-251.
9. Benhabib, Jess, and Mark M. Spiegel, “The Role of Human Capital in Economic Development: Evidence from Aggregate Cross-Country Data,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 34, No. 2 (1994), pp. 143-173.
10. De Long, J. Bradford, and Lawrence Summers, “Equipment Investment and Growth,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 106 (1991), pp. 455-502.
11. Easterly, W., and R. Levine, “It’s Not Factor Accumulation: Stylized Facts and Growth Models,” World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 15, No. 2 (2001), pp. 177-221.
12. Elrich, I., and Francis T. Lui, “Bureaucratic Corruption and Endogenous Economic Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 107 (1999), pp. 270-293.
13. Enders, Walter, Applied Econometric Time Series, (NJ: John Wiley and Sons, 2nd Edition, 2004).
14. Gaduh, Arya B., “Properties of Fixed Effects Dynamic Panel Data Estimators for a Typical Growth Dataset,” CSIS Economics Working Paper Series, No. WEP 062 (2002).
15. Goldman Sachs Financial Workbench, “Dreaming With BRICs: The Path to 2050,” Global Economics Paper, No.99 (2003).
16. Greene, William H., Econometric Analysis (New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 2003), pp. 360-362.
17. Gujarati, Damodar, Essentials of Econometrics (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2nd Edition, 1999).
18. Gyimah-Brempong, K., and S. M. de Camacho, “Corruption, Growth, and Income Distribution: Are there Regional Differences?” Economics of Governance, Vol. 7 (2006), pp. 245-269.
19. Hadri, Kaddour, “Testing for Stationarity in Heterogeneous Panel Data,” The Econometrics Journal, Vol. 3, No. 2 (2000), pp. 148-161.
20. Hsiao, Cheng, Analysis of Panel Data (UK: Cambridge University Press, 2nd Edition, 2003).
21. Im, Kyung So, M. Hashem Pesaran, and Yongcheol Shin, “Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 115 (2003), pp. 53-74.
22. International Institute for Management Development, World Competitiveness Yearbook (Switzerland: IMD, various years).
23. International Monetary Fund, Global Financial Stability Report: Market Developments and Issues 2006 (Washington, D. C: International Monetary Fund, April 2006).
24. Jain, Arvind K., “Corruption: A Review,” Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 15, No. 1 (2001), pp. 71-121.
25. Judson, Ruth A., and Ann L. Owen, “Estimating Dynamic Panel Data Models: A Practical Guide for Macroeconomists,” Economics Letters, Vol. 65, No. 1 (1999), pp. 9-15.
26. Kaufmann, Daniel, and Aart Kraay, “Growth without Governance,” Economia, Vol. 3, No.1 (2002), pp. 169-229.
27. Kaufmann, Daniel, Aart Kraay, and P. Zoido-Lobaton, “Governance Matters,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2196 (1999).
28. Kennedy, Peter, A Guide to Econometrics (Cambridge: MIT Press, 4th Edition, 1998).
29. Kleinrock, Leonard, “Optimum Bribing for Queue Position,” Operations Research, Vol. 15 (1967), pp. 304-318.
30. Knack, Steven, “Measuring Corruption in Eastern Europe and Central Asia: A Critique of the Cross-Country Indicators,” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 3968.
31. Knack, Stephen, and Philip Keefer, “Institutions and Economic Performance: Cross-Country Tests Using Alternative Institutional Measures,” Economics and Politics, Vol. 7 (1995), pp. 207-227.
32. Kormendi, R.C., and P. G. Meguire, “Macroeconomic Determinants of Growth: Cross Country Evidence,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 16 (1985), pp. 141–163.
33. Krueger, A., “The Political Economy of the Rent-Seeking Society,” American Economic Review, Vol. 64, No. 3 (1974), pp. 291-303.
34. Krugman, Paul, “The Myth of Asia’s Miracle,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 6 (1994), pp. 62-78.
35. Layard, Richard, “Why So Much Pain? An Overview,” in Peter Boone, Stanislaw Gomulka and Richard Layard (eds.), Emerging from Communism: Lesson from Russia, China and Eastern Europe (London: The MIT Press, 1998), pp. 1-11.
36. Leff, Natbaniel H., “Economic Development Through Bureaucratic Corruption,” The American Behavioral Scientist Vol. 8, No.3 (1964), pp. 8-14, in Robert Williams (Ed.) Explaining Corruption (Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 2000).
37. Levin, Andrew, and Chien-Fu Lin, “Unit Root Tests in Panel data: A New Result,” University of California at San Diego, Discussion Paper, (1993), pp.56-93.
38. Levin, Andrew, Chien-Fu Lin, and Chia-Shang Chu, “Unit Root Tests in Panel data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 108 (2002), pp.1-24.
39. Levine, Ross, and David Renelt, “A Sensitivity Analysis of Cross-Country Growth Regressions,” American Economic Review, Vol. 1032 (1992), pp. 942-963.
40. Lui, Francis T., “An Equilibrium Queuing Model of Bribery,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 93, No.4 (1985), pp. 760-781.
41. Mankiw, N. Gregory, Macroeconomics (NY: Worth Publishers, 4th Edition, 2000).
42. Mankiw, N. Gregory, David Romer, and David N. Weil, “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107 (1992), pp. 407–437.
43. Mauro, Paolo, “Corruption and Growth,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 110, No. 3 (1995), pp. 681-712.
44. Mauro, Paolo, “Corruption and the Composition of Government Expenditure,” Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 69 (1998), pp. 263-279.
45. Mauro, Paolo, “The Persistence of Corruption and Slow Economic Growth,” IMF Working Paper, No. 02/213 (2002).
46. Mencinger, Jože, “Does Foreign Direct Investment Always Enhance Economic Growth,” Kyklos, Vol. 56 (2003), pp.491-508.
47. Méndez, Fabio, and Facundo Sepúlveda, “Corruption, Growth and Political Regimes: Cross Country Evidence,” European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 22 (2006), pp. 82-98.
48. Méon, P., and Khalid Sekkat, “Does Corruption Grease or Sand the Wheels of Growth?” Public Choice, Vol. 122 (2005), pp. 69-97.
49. Mironov, Maxim, “Bad Corruption, Good Corruption and Growth,” Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, November 2005.
50. Mo, Pak Hung, “Corruption and Economic Growth,” Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 29 (2001), pp. 66-79.
51. Monte, A. Del, and Erasmo Papagni, “Public Expenditure, Corruption, and Economic Growth: The Case of Italy,” European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 17, No. 1 (2001), pp. 1-16.
52. Murphy, K. M., A. Shleifer, and R. W. Vishny, “Why Is Rent-Seeking So Costly to Growth?” American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 83, No. 2 (1993), pp. 409–414.
53. Myrdal, Gunnar, Asian Drama: An Inquiry into the Poverty of Nations (New York: Pantheon, 1968).
54. Nickell, S., “Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects,” Econometrica, Vol. 49, No. 6 (1981), pp. 1417-1426.
55. Ram, Rati, and Kevin Honglin Zhang, “Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: Evidence from Cross-Country Data for the 1990s,” Economic Development and Cultural Change, Vol. 51 (2002), pp. 205-216.
56. Rock, Michael T., and Heidi Bonnett, “The Comparative Politics of Corruption: Accounting for the East Asian Paradox in Empirical Studies of Corruption, Growth and Investment,” World Development, Vol. 32, No. 6 (2004), pp. 999-1017.
57. Romer, Paul, “New Goods, Old Theory, and the Welfare Costs of Trade Restrictions,” Journal of Development Economic, Vol. 43, No. 1 (1994), pp. 5-38.
58. Shleifer, A., and Vishny, R. W. “Corruption,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 108, No. 3 (1993), pp. 599-618.
59. Solow, Robert M., “Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function,” Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 39 (1957), pp. 312-320.
60. Studenmund, A. H., Using Econometrics: A Practical Guide (Boston: Addison Wesley Pearson, 5th Edition, 2006).
61. Tanzi, Vito, “Corruption around the World: Cause, Consequences, Scope, and Cures,” IMF Staff Paper, Vol. 45, No. 4 (1998), pp. 559-594.
62. Transparency International, Global Corruption Report 2001 (Berlin: Transparency International, 2001).
63. Transparency International, Global Corruption Report 2006 (Berlin: Transparency International, 2006).
64. Verbeek, Marno, A Guide to Modern Econometrics, (England: 2nd Edition, 2004), pp. 348-351.
65. Wedeman, A., “Development and Corruption: the East Asian Paradox,” in E. T. Gomez, Ed., Political Business in East Asia (New York: Routledge, 2002), pp. 34-61.
66. Wei, Shang-Jin, “Corruption in Economic Development: Beneficial Grease, Minor Annoyance, or Major Obstacle?” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, No. 2048 (1999).
67. Whitehead, Laurence, “High-Level Political Corruption In Latin America: A Transitional Phenomenon?” in Joseph S. Tulchin, and Ralph H. Espach, Eds., Combating Corruption In Latin America (Washington, D.C.: Woodrow Wilson Center Press, 2000), pp. 107-130.
68. World Bank, Global Development Finance 2005 (New York: Oxford University Press, 2005).
69. World Bank, World Development Report 2005: A Better Investment Climate for Everyone (New York: Oxford University Press, 2005).
70. United Nations, World Economic Situation and Prospects 2006 (NY: United Nations, 2006).

三、網頁資料
1. 中華民國外交部:〈國家與地區〉,網址:http://www.mofa.gov.tw/webapp/mp (瀏覽日期:2006年5月15日)。
2. 中華民國統計資料網,網址:http://www1.stat.gov.tw/(瀏覽日期:2006年5月8日)。
3. 中華民國國際貿易局:〈全球商情〉,網址:http://ekm92.trade.gov.tw/BOFT/web/report_detail.jsp?data_base_id=DB009&category_id=CAT1874&report_id=95522 (瀏覽日期:2006年5月27)。
4. Economist Intelligence Union, “Country Briefing.” Website: http://economist.com/countries/ (viewed on January 2, 2007).
5. Freedom House, “Freedom in the World.” Website: http://www.freedomhouse. org/template.cfm?page=15&year=2005 (viewed on May 8, 2006).
6. Heston, Alan, Robert Summers and Bettina Aten, “Penn World Table.” Website: http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/php_site/pwt_index.php (viewed on October 4, 2006).
7. International Monetary Fund, “International Financial Statistics” Website: http://ifs.apdi.net/imf/ (viewed on August 23, 2006).
8. International Monetary Fund, ”Publication.” Website: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/about.htm (viewed on December 20, 2006).
9. Loayza, Norman, Pablo Fajnzylber, and César Calderón, “Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean: Stylized Facts, Explanations, and Forecasts,” Central Bank of Chile Working Papers, No. 265 (2004). Website: http://www.bcentral.cl/esp/estpub/estudios/dtbc/pdf/dtbc265.pdf (viewed on May 15, 2006).
10. Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, “Turkey.” Website: http://www.oecd.org/turkey (viewed on May 10, 2006).
11. Standard & Poor’s, The S&P Emerging Market Indices Methodology, Definitions, and Practices, (New York: Standard & Poor’s, 2000). Website: http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/index/method.pdf (viewed on November 19, 2006).
12. Transparency International, “Corruption Perceptions Index.” Website: http://www.transparency.org/policy_and_research/surveys_indices/cpi/ (viewed on November 7, 2006).
13. United Nations, “Statistics Division.” Website: http://unstats.un.org/unsd/snaama/selectionbasicFast.asp (viewed on September 10, 2006).
14. World Bank, “Countries and Regions.” Website: http://web.worldbank.org/countries (viewed on January 2, 2007).
15. World Bank, “Country Classification, Data and Statistic.” Website: http://www.worldbank.org/data (viewed on November 13, 2006).
16. World Bank, “Database of Education Statistics” (EdStats). Website: http://www1.worldbank.org/education/edstats/ (viewed on September 10, 2006).
17. World Bank, “Governance and Anti-Corruption.” Website: http://www. worldbank.org/wbi/governance/data.html (viewed on March 13, 2006).
18. World Bank, “Governance Indicators.” Website: http://www.worldbank.org/wbi/governance/govdata (viewed on September 20, 2006).
連結至畢業學校之論文網頁點我開啟連結
註: 此連結為研究生畢業學校所提供,不一定有電子全文可供下載,若連結有誤,請點選上方之〝勘誤回報〞功能,我們會盡快修正,謝謝!
QRCODE
 
 
 
 
 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top