臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

邁入21世紀的今天，陸、海、空三軍作戰的成敗關鍵仍繫於後勤整備的完善與否。對於航空機隊而言，後勤管理的指標在於裝備妥善率，主要的重點在於如何整合各項資源以達成戰備支援之最佳化，發揮機隊最大可用效能。
本研究以系統動態學因果環路圖方法論進行現況分析，確認影響機隊妥善的關鍵因素後，界定修護排程作業與備料籌補程序為本次研究之主要範圍，輔以質性研究方法論，蒐整現行機隊管理規定與修護管制人員作業模式，作為機隊妥善率維持系統動態模型建構之基礎，藉以完成下列研究目的：
1.建構機隊妥善率維持之系統動態模型，表達各關聯因素間之因果關係。
2.探究執行機隊妥善率管理有關之排程、料件供補等相關系統行為，俾藉以洞悉目前妥善率維持相關作法。
3.剖析現行作業方式衍生但尚未被發現的缺陷，藉以評估與改善現有系統之執行成效。
研究發現，修管人員為達部頒妥善率的要求，現行所採行的作業模式，例如：管制飛行派遣、零件拆移等措施，不僅無法全然支援飛行訓練任務之達成，也無法持續維持妥善率在部頒水準之上。模型驗證顯示，修護管制單位應併同瞭解後勤的限制因素，在風險控管前題下修增每日飛行時數、提高每月飛行天數、或調整部分訓練任務於模擬機實施，才能使其計畫合理可行。由於目前對臨機性損壞之耗料需求仍無法全然掌控，修管人員唯有積極突破料件採購前置期程限制有效提高撥補率，並充分適時支應檢修需求，始能長期有效維持機隊妥善並充分支援飛行訓練任務之達成。

The objective of this paper is to present a concept-based module that helps a fleet’s planner in army to comprehend the complex decision-making by trade-off effects between required readiness and flight training hours.
Based on the causal relationship found in process contains two major factors – Maintenance Scheduling and Logistics as scope. And to associate with the qualitative research approach and to construct system dynamics model accordingly. Subsequently analyze the simulation outcomes in cope with the pre-defined objectives. Three objectives could be accomplished through the above process:
1.Establish model for maintenance of fleet readiness with System Dynamics.
2.Visualize the behavior of selected factors within maintenance scheduling process.
3.Improve the working quality of planning activity on fleet’s readiness.
By validation process, new knowledge was gained from anti-intuition system behavior demonstrated by SD model. Restraining the flight mission as PMC (Partial Mission Capable) or adopting cannibalization as FMC (Fully Mission Capable), those traditional methods apparently doesn’t work out to retain the required readiness all the way to end, not mention to support the scheduled flight mission. Instead, changing the current planning fashion by increasing aviation hours and adopting a better mechanism in respect of supply chain management will bring things back on track.
Through this study, we realized system dynamic approach can actually help army to improve their long- term integral effectiveness on fleet’s maintenance and simulation can be used to enforce motivation for changes as well.

摘要 i
目次 iii
表次 v
圖次 vi
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機 1
第二節 現況分析 2
第三節 研究範圍 9
第四節 研究目的 10
第五節 研究程序 11
第二章 文獻探討 14
第一節 機隊妥善率 14
第二節 修護排程 17
第三節 料件供補 21
第三章 研究方法與模式建構 24
第一節 研究方法 24
第二節 系統行為說明 30
第三節 模式構建 33
第四節 模式結構測試 51
第四章 模式驗證 55
第一節 基本模型分析 55
第二節 模式修正 60
第三節 情境模擬案例 65
第四節 案例驗證 70
第五章 研究結論與建議 76
第一節 研究限制 76
第二節 研究結論 77
第三節 研究建議 77
參考文獻 81
附錄Ａ 基本模型之行為方程式 84

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