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研究生:蕭玄岡
研究生(外文):Hsuan-Kang Hsiao
論文名稱:中國海權發展對美日海權地位之挑戰-以權力轉移理論探討
論文名稱(外文):The Challenge of China’s Seapower Development to U.S- Japan Seapower–Viewed from the Perspective of Power Transition Theory
指導教授:蔡明彥蔡明彥引用關係
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立中興大學
系所名稱:國際政治研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:政治學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2008
畢業學年度:96
語文別:中文
論文頁數:171
中文關鍵詞:中國海權發展權力轉移美日中海權競爭
外文關鍵詞:China’s Seapower DevelopmentPower TransitionU.S.-Japan-PRC seapower Competition
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:1
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  • 下載下載:0
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:1
1980年代之後隨著中國經濟的快速成長,也帶動了中國的海權發展,並開始對亞太地區現有的海上強權造成一定程度的影響,本研究採取權力轉移理論做為研究途徑,內容主要探討中國海權發展對美日海權地位造成的挑戰。
研究內容主要分成四個部分;第一部分探討中國海權發展的背景與現況,說明中國成為亞太地區新興海上強權的過程;第二部分則是對於中國目前海權現狀的滿意度做分析,並解釋中國對於現狀的不滿意如何影響中國的海權發展;第三部分說明中國因為海權實力提升後,對美日兩國的海權地位所進行挑戰的動作;在第四部分則是討論美日兩國對中國海權發展所採取的反應。
在研究中發現中國因為不滿意目前的海權現狀,隨著中國的海權發展也已對美日兩國的海權地位造成挑戰,美日兩國也透過嚇阻、結盟及提升滿意度等手段來確保在東亞地區的海權地位。
In accordance with its rapid economic growth since 1980s, China has made a great advancement in its seapower. As a result, it has put an impact on the existing seapowers in the Asian-Pacific region. This research deals with the investigation of China’s seapower development and its challenges to U.S- Japan seapower, through the perspective of power transition theory.
The context is divided into four parts: Firstly, the background and current state of seapower development of China is studied. It explains how China has become a country of newly developed seapower; Secondly, the degree of satisfaction of current seapower by China is assessed. Thirdly, China’s challenge to U.S.-Japan seapower by China after it has made a great advancement in its seapower is reported; Lastly, U.S.-Japan reactions to China’s seapower development is discussed.
In this study, it has found that China is dissatisfied with the current state of seapower and thus starts to challenge U.S.-Japan seapower status. Accordingly, the U.S. and Japan has employed various actions, such as deterrence, alliance and raising satisfaction, to maintain their status of seapower in Asian-Pacific region.
第一章 緒論 …………………………………………………………01
第一節 研究動機與目的 ……………………………………………01
壹 研究動機 ………………………………………………………01
貳 研究目的 ………………………………………………………02
第二節 研究途徑、架構及方法 ……………………………………03
壹 研究途徑 ………………………………………………………03
貳 研究架構 ………………………………………………………14
參 研究方法 ………………………………………………………15
第三節 研究範圍與研究限制 ………………………………………17
壹 研究範圍 ………………………………………………………17
貳 研究限制 ………………………………………………………19
第四節 相關文獻探討 ………………………………………………20
第五節 章節安排 ……………………………………………………26
第二章 中國海權發展的背景與現況 ………………………………29
第一節 中國的海權概念 ……………………………………………29
第二節 中國海權發展的背景 ………………………………………34
壹 改革開放前的中國海權發展 …………………………………35
貳 改革開放後的中國海權發展 …………………………………38
第三節 中國海權發展的現況 ………………………………………42
壹 兵種組成 ………………………………………………………43
貳 艦隊組織的架構 ………………………………………………48
參 中國海軍的遠航行動 …………………………………………50
第三章 中國海權現況的滿意度分析 ………………………………55
第一節 中國對海權現狀的滿意度評估 ……………………………55
壹 領土爭端 ………………………………………………………56
貳 軍備擴張 ………………………………………………………60
參 對國際秩序的不滿 ……………………………………………65
肆 反霸權的態度 …………………………………………………67
第二節 美日對中國海權發展的滿意度評估 ………………………69
壹 美國對中國海權發展的滿意度評估 …………………………70
貳 日本對中國海權發展的滿意度評估 …………………………74
第三節 相對滿意度對中國海權發展的影響 ………………………78
第四章 中國海權發展對美日的挑戰 ………………………………83
第一節 美日在東亞地區的海權現況 ………………………………84
壹 美國在東亞的海權現況 ………………………………………84
貳 日本的海權現況 ………………………………………………89
第二節 中國海軍現代化造成的挑戰 ………………………………92
壹 對美國在東亞海權地位的挑戰 ………………………………93
貳 對日本的挑戰…………………………………………………105
第三節 中國海上軍事活動對美日的挑戰…………………………108
壹 中國海上軍事活動對美國的挑戰……………………………108
貳 中國海上軍事活動對日本的挑戰……………………………111
第五章 美日對中國海權發展的反應………………………………115
第一節 嚇阻–美日在亞太地區海權戰略的調整…………………116
壹 美國在亞太地區的戰略調整…………………………………117
貳 日本防衛計畫的調整…………………………………………124
第二節 結盟–美日海上同盟關係的強化…………………………127
壹 美日防衛協定的強化…………………………………………128
貳 美日海上軍事力量的加強……………………………………130
參 美日聯合海上軍事演習………………………………………131
肆 加強在亞太地區的軍事同盟…………………………………132
第三節 提升滿意度–美日中海上軍事交流的擴大………………134
壹 美中海上軍事交流的擴大……………………………………134
貳 日中海上軍事交流……………………………………………137
第六章 結論…………………………………………………………139
第一節 研究發現……………………………………………………139
壹 中國海軍持續強化「海上遏阻」的能力……………………139
貳 中國對海權現狀呈現「不滿意」的狀態……………………140
參 中國海權發展「挑戰」美日海權地位………………………141
肆 美日對中國海權發展之因應:嚇阻、結盟與提升滿意度…142
第二節 未來發展……………………………………………………144
參考書目 146
壹、中文部分
一、書籍
丁樹範。1996年。《中共軍事思想的發展》。台北:唐山出版社。
木津徹。2005年。《中國/台灣海軍軍力手冊》。台北:星光出版社。
亓樂義。民國88年。《從河殤到海權–21世紀中華海權》。台北:雲皓出版社。
向駿主編。民國95年。《2050中國第一?權力轉移理論下的美中臺關係之迷思》。台北:國家政策研究中心。
朱听昌主編。2002年。《中國周邊安全環境與安全戰略》。北京:時事出版社。
西原正(Nishihara Masashi)。國防部史政編譯室譯印。2000年。《美日聯盟的新挑戰》。台北:國防部史政編譯室。
佛蘭納根(Stephen .J. Flanagan)、馬提(Michael E. Marti)主編。國防部史政編譯室譯印。2005年。《人民解放軍與變動的中國》。台北:國防部史政編譯室。
吳心伯。2006年。《太平洋上不太平–後冷戰時代的美國亞太安全戰略》。上海:復旦大學出版社。
吳純光。1998年。《太平洋上的較量–當代中國海洋戰略問題》。北京:今日中國出版社。
金德基(Duk-Ki Kim)。國防部史政編譯室譯印。2004年。《東北亞海軍戰略》。台北:國防部史政編譯室。
美國國防大學國家戰略研究所(National Defense University)。國防部史政編譯室譯印。2001年。《中共崛起構成的挑戰:亞洲觀點》。台北:國防部史政編譯室。
紐曼(W. Lawrence Neuman)。王佳煌、潘中道等譯。民國91年。《當代社會研究法–質化與量化研究途徑》台北:學富出版社。
馬漢(A.T.Mahan )。安常容、成忠勤譯。2004年。《海權對歷史的影響》。北京:解放軍出版社。
─── 蔡鴻幹、田常吉譯。2003年。《海軍戰略》。北京:商務印書館。
─── 蕭傳中、梅然譯。1997年。《海權論》。北京:言實出版社。
高希可夫(S. G Gorshkov)著。朱成祥譯。民國94年。《國家海權論》。台北,黎明文化。
張文木。2000年。《中國新世紀安全戰略》。濟南:山東人民出版社。
張明睿。民國92年。《解放軍戰略決策的辯證》。台北:黎明文化。
張建邦主編。民國87年。《二○一○中共軍力評估》。台北:麥田出版。
張萬年。1999年。《當代世界軍事與中國國防》。北京:中共中央黨校出版社。
郭崑謨、林泉源。2002年。《論文及報告寫作概要》。台北:五南文化廣場。
陳東龍。民國92年。《新世代解放軍》。台北:黎明文化
維尼.伯特(Wayne Bert)。國防部史政編譯室譯印。2005年。《孰者勝出:美國與中國在東南亞之爭》。台北:國防部政史編譯室。
翟文中。民國88年。《台灣生存與海權發展–我國海軍如何因應跨世紀中共海軍擴張》。台北:麥田出版。
劉華清。2004年。《劉華清回憶錄》。北京,解放軍出版社。
蔡明彥。民國94年。《中共軍力現代化的發展與挑戰–從武獲政策分析》。台北:鼎茂出版社。
黎安友(Andrew J. Nathan )、陸伯彬(Robert S. Ross)。何大明譯。1998年。《長城與空城計》。台北:麥田出版社。
閻學通、孫學峰。2001年。《國際關係研究實用方法》。北京:人民出版社
鞠海龍。2007年。《亞洲海權地緣格局論》。北京:中國社會科學出版社。
譚傳毅。民國88年。《中國人民解放軍之攻與防》。台北:時英出版社。

二、論文
李小華。1999年。〈權力轉移與國際體系的穩定–兼析中國威脅論〉。《世界經濟與政治》,1999年第5期,頁41-74。
李世勤。民國96年。〈強國海軍-日本海上自衛隊〉。《海軍學術雙月刊》,第41卷1期,頁61-71。
周林貴。1996年。〈人民海軍創建時期作戰思想初探〉。《軍事歷史》,第4期,頁22-24。
胡錦山。2003年。〈1996年台海危機對美國海軍戰略的影響〉。《世界經濟研究》,第3期,頁48-52。
國民黨政策委員會編印。民國96年。〈美日「二加二」會議的戰略趨勢〉。《大陸情勢雙周報》,第1506期,頁15。
張文木。2003年。〈論中國海權〉。《世界經濟與政治》,第10期,頁8-14。
張雅君。1998年。〈中共與美、日的亞太海權競爭:潛在的衝突與制度性競爭機制〉。《中國大陸研究》,第41卷5期,頁5-19。
張耀光。1996年。〈中國的海疆與我國海洋地緣政治戰略〉。《人文地理》,第11卷第2期,頁43-46。
陳永康,翟文中。1999年。〈中共海軍現代化對亞太安全之影響〉。《中國大陸研究》,第42卷7期,頁1-24。
曾光強、馮江源。2006年。〈略論日本海洋戰略及其對中國的影響〉。《日本問題研究》,第2期,頁40-44。
楊肅剛。2006年。〈解放軍對付美國航艦的不對稱戰法–彈道飛彈反航艦〉。《全球防衛雜誌》,267期,頁43-46。
葉自成,慕新海。2005年。〈對中國海權發展戰略的幾點思考〉。《國際政治研究》,第3期,頁5-17。
翟文中。2005年。〈中共與美國簽署「加強海上軍事安全磋商機制協定」之研究〉。《國防政策評論》,第5卷1期,頁6-21。
趙輝。2000年。〈美國海軍第7艦隊實力與軍事活動掃描〉。《國際展望》,第1期,頁72。
劉中民。2007年。〈理性處理中國海權問題(上)〉。《海洋世界》,第7期,頁30-37。
─── 2007年。〈理性處理中國海權問題(下)〉。《海洋世界》,第8期,頁36-41。
─── 2006年。〈海權問題與中美關係述論〉。《東北亞論壇》,第15卷第5期,頁69-75。
─── 2005年。〈中國海權發展戰略問題的若干思考〉。《外交學院學報》,第80期,頁69-74。
劉中民、黎興亞。2005年。〈中美關係中的海權問題及對策〉。《世界經濟與政治》,第8期,頁40-42。
劉志清。2006年。〈俄羅斯海軍:在輝煌與困頓中起舞〉。《世界知識》,第18期,頁58-59。
劉陽。2004年。〈蘇聯的馬漢–高希可夫〉。《當代海軍》,11卷6期,頁56-58。
劉新華。2001年。〈試論中國海權發展的戰略〉。《復旦學報(社會科學版)》,第6期,頁68-72。
鄭宏,蔡霞,〈美軍亞太軍事調整〉。《當代海軍》,2003年8期,頁23。
關朝江。2004年。〈日本海上自衛隊全接觸〉。《艦載武器》,第4期,頁49-54。

三、未出版論文
吳尚書。2007年。《中國海軍海上遏阻戰略研究》。台北:台灣大學碩士論文。
吳芳豪。2005年。《中國海權發展—建構主義分析途徑》。高雄:中山大學碩士論文。
張雨寧。2004年。《崛起中的中共―以權力轉移理論為核心的探討》。台北:國防管理學院國防決策科學研究所碩士論文。

四、報紙報導與專文
〈中美海軍首次舉行海上聯合搜救演習〉。《新華社》。2006年09月22日。
〈中美將就兩國國部直通電話問題盡早簽署議〉。《新華社》。2007年11月6日。
〈中美舉行海上軍事安全磋商機制年度會晤〉。《新華社》。2008年2月27日。
〈中國人民解放軍海軍〉。《新華社》。2004年7月20日。
〈中國軍艦首次訪問日本,開啟中日防務交流新篇章〉。《新華社》。2007年11月21日。
〈中國海軍頻穿第一島鏈只是例行訓練〉。《中國評論通訊社》。2007年8月31日。
〈中國海軍艦艇出訪大事記〉。《新華社》。2007年11月21日。
〈中國國防預算增長17.8%達到3509.21億元〉。《人民網》。2007年3月4日。
〈中艦隊穿行台海,台全程掌控〉。《大紀元》。2007年8月29日。
〈日本把中國軍力作為自衛隊防衛力量調整依據〉。《新華社》,2008年4月27日。
〈日自衛隊軍艦訪華團將與中方互相參觀對方艦艇〉。《新華社》。2008年6月25日。
〈日防衛重心移至西南方〉。《大紀元》。2007年10月10日。
〈美日軍事整合要害所在:鬆綁日本遏制中國〉。《新華社》。2006年5月30日。
〈美日舉行鐵拳奪島軍演〉。《人民網》。2006年1月13日。
〈胡錦濤:推動海軍建設又好又快發展〉。《中國軍網》。2008年4月11日。
〈胡錦濤強調鍛造適應歷史使命要求的強大人民海軍〉。《新華社》。2006年12月27日。
〈關島歷來最大規模軍演 美兵力投射圖不見台灣〉。《中國時報》。民國96年8月7日。

五、官方文書
中華人民共和國國務院新聞辦公室。2006年12月。《2006年中國的國防》。北京。
中華人民共和國國務院新聞辦公室。2004年12月。《2004年中國的國防》。北京。

六、參考網站
《人民日報》。http://www.peopledaily.cn/
《解放軍報》。http://www.chinamil.com.cn/
《新華社》。http://www.xinhua.org/
《文匯報》。http://www.wenweipo.com/
《中國社會科學院》。http://www.cass.net.cn/
《中國海軍網》。http://www.c801.com/index.htm
《中國國際戰略研究網》。http://www.chinaiiss.org/
《中國國際問題研究所》。http://www.ciis.org.cn/
《遠景基金會》。http://www.future-china org.tw/
《中華民國國防部》。http://www.mnd.gov.tw/

貳、外文部分
一、書籍
Brown, Michael E., Owen R. Cote, Sean M. Lynn-Jones, and Steven E. Miller. The Rise of China. Cambridge: MIT Press, 2000.
Burkitt, Laurie, Andrew Scobel, and Larry M. Wortzel. The Lessons of History: The Chinese People’s Liberation Army at 75. Carlisle: U.S. Army War College, 2003.
Chanlett-Avery, Emma, and Bruce Vaughn. Emerging Trends in the Security Architecture in Asia: Bilateral and Multilateral Ties Among the Uniteds States, Japan, Australia, and India. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2007.
Chanlett-Avery, Emma, Mark E. Manyin, and William H. Cooper. Japan-U.S. Relations: Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2007.
Chanlett-Avery, Emma. The Changing U.S.-Japan Alliance: Implications for U.S. Interests. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2008.
Cliff, Roger, and David A. Shlapak. U.S.–China Relations After Resolution of Taiwan’s Status. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2007.
Cliff, Roger, Mark Burles, Michael S. Chase, Drek Eaton, and Kevin L. Pollpeter. Entering the Dragon’s Lair – Chinese Antiaccess Strategies and Their Implications for the United States. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2007.
Cole, Bernard D. Taiwan’s Security: History and Prospects. New York: Routledge, 2005.
─── The Great Wall at Sea: China''s Navy Enters the Twenty-first Century. Annapolis: Naval Institute Press, 2001.
Cordesman, Anthony H., and Martin Kleiber. The Asian Conventional Military Balance in 2006: Total and Sub-Regional Balances: Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and South Asia. Washington D.C.: Center for Strategy and International Studies, 2006.
Craig, Susan L. Chinese Perceptions of Traditional and Nontraditional Security Threats. Carlisle: Strategic Studies Institute of the Army War College, 2007.
Crithlow, Robert D. U.S. Military Overseas Basing: New Developments and Oversight Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2005.
Howarth, Peter. China''s Rising Sea Power: The PLA Navy’s Submarine Challenge. London: Taylor & Francis, 2007.
Kan, Shirley A., and Larry A. Niksch. Guam: U.S. Defense Deployments. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2008.
Kan, Shirley A. China’s Foreign Conventional Arms Acquisitions: Background and Analysis. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2007.
─── U.S-China Military Contacts: Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2005.
─── U.S-China Military Contacts: Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2008.
Khalizad, Zalmay. The United States and Asia-Toward a New U.S. Strategy and Force Posture. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2001.
Klaus, Jon D. U.S. Military Overseas Basing: Background and Oversight Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2004.
Lord, Carnes ed. Reposturing the Force: U.S. Overseas Presence in the Twenty-First Century. Newport: U.S. Naval War College, 2006.
Medeiros, Evan S. Analyzing China’s Defense Industries and the Implications for Chinese Military Modernization. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2004.
Midlarsky, Manus I. ed. Handbook of War Studies. Boston: Umwin Hyman, 1989.
Mulvenon, James C., Murray Scot Tanner, Michael S. Chase, David Frelinger, David C. Gompert, and Martin C. Libicki, Chinese Responses to U.S. Military Transformation and Implications for the Department of Defense. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2006.
Mulvenon, James C., Richard H. Yang. The People’s Liberation Army in the Information Age. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 1999.
Nanto, Dick K. East Asian Regional Architecture: New Economic and Security Arrangements and U.S. Policy. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2008.
O’Rourke, Ronald. China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities- Background and Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2008.
─── China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities- Background and Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2006.
─── China Naval Modernization: Implications for U.S. Navy Capabilities- Background and Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2005.
─── Naval Transformation: Background and Issues for Congress Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2006.
─── Navy Ship Developments: New Approaches-Backround and Issues for Congress. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2006.
Odgaard, Liselotte. Maritime Security Between China and Southeast Asia-Conflict and Cooperation in the Making of Regional Order. Hampshire: Ashgate Publishing, 2002.
Organski, A. F. K., and Jacek Kugler. The War Ledger. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1980.
Organski, A. F. K. World politics. New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1958.
Pehrson, Christopher J. String of Pearls: Meeting the Challenge of China’s Rising Power Across the Asian Littoral. Carlisle: Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S. Army War College, 2006.
Pollack, Jonathan D., Richard H. Yang. Chinese Military Power and American Security Interests. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2000.
Prabhaka, Lawrence. The Evolving Maritime Balance of Power in the Asia-Pacific: Maritime Doctrines and Nuclear Weapons at Sea. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing Company, 2006.
Puska, Susan M. People’s Liberation Army After Next. Carlisle: U.S. Army War College, 2000.
Scobell, Andrew, and Larry M. Wortzel. Chinese National Security Decisionmaking Under Stress. Carlisle: Strategic Studies Institute of the Army War College, 2005.
─── China''s Growing Military Power: Perspectives on Security, Ballistic Missiles, and Conventional Capabilities. Carlisle: Strategic Studies Institute of the Army War College, 2002.
─── Shaping China’s Security Environment: the Role of the People’s Liberation Army. Carlisle: Strategic Studies Institute of the Army War College, 2006.
Shambaugh, David. Modernizing China''s military: progress, problems, and prospects, Berkeley: Berkeley University of California Press, 2002.
Sokolsky, Richard, Angel Rabasa, and C. R. Neu. The Role of Southeast Asia in U.S. Strategy Toward China. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2000.
Swaine, Michael D., and Ashley J. Tellis. Interpreting China''s Grand Strategy: Past, Present, and Future. Santa Monica, CA: Rand. 2000.
Tammen, Ronald L., Jacek Kugler, Douglas Lemke, Allan C. Stam Ⅲ, Mark Abdollahian, Carole Alsharabti, Brian Efird, and A. F. K. Organski. Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century, New York: Chathm House Publishers of Seven Bridge Press, 2000.
Vaughn, Bruce. China-Southeast Asia Relations: Trends, Issues, and Implications for the United States. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2006.
─── U.S. Strategic and Defense Relationships in the Asia-Pacific Region. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2007.
Lum, Thomas, and Bruce Vaughn. The Southwest Pacific: U.S. Interests and China’s Growing Influence. Washington D.C.: CRS Report for Congress, 2007.
Wilson, Lee, Robert M. Hathaway, and William M.Wise. U.S. Strategy in the Asia-Pacific Region. Washington D.C.: Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. 2003.

二、論文
Ahrari, M. Ehsan. “U.S. Military Strategic Perspectives on the PRC: New Frontiers of Information-Based War.” Asian Survey 37, no.12 (1997): 1163-1180.
Ball, Desmond. “Arms and Affluence: Military Acquisitions in the Asia-Pacific Region.” International Security 18, no.3 (1993-1994): 78-112.
Christensen, Thomas J. “China, the U.S.-Japan Alliance, and the Security Dilemma in East Asia.” International Security 23, no.4 (1999): 49-80.
─── “Posing Problems without Catching up: China’s Rise and the Challenge for American Security.” International Security 25, no.4 (2001): 5-40.
─── “China, the U.S.-Japan Alliance, and the Security Dilemma in East Asia.” International Security 23, no.4 (1999):49-80.
Colaresi, Michael. “Shocks to the System: Great Power Rivalry and the Leadership Long Cycle.” The Journal of Conflict Resolution 45, no.5 (2001): 569-593.
Cole, Bernard D. “Beijing’s Strategy of Sea Denial.” China Brief 6, no.23 (2006): 2-4.
─── “The PLA Navy''s Developing Strategy.” China Brief 6, no.21 (2006): 4-6.
Economy, Elizabeth. “China’s Rise in Southeast Asia: Implications for the United States.” Journal of Contemporary China 14, no.44 (2005): 409-425.
Erickson, Andrew S. “New U.S. Maritime Strategy: Initial Chinese Responses.” China Security 3, no.4 (2007): 40-61.
Erickson, Andrew S., and Justin Mikolay. “Anchoring America’s Asian Assets: Why Washington Must Strengthen Guam.” Comparative Strategy 24, (2005): 153–171.
Friedberg, Aaron L. “The Future of U.S.-China Relations: Is Conflict Inevitable.” International Security 30, no.2 (2005): 7-45.
Garrett, Banning, and Bonnie Glaser. “Chinese Apprehensions about Revitalization of the U.S.-Japan Alliance.” Asian Survey 37, no.4 (1997): 383-402.
Godwin, Paul H. B. “From Continent to Periphery: PLA Doctrine, Strategy and Capabilities towards 2000.” The China Quarterly, no.146 (1996): 464-487.
Heginbotham, Eric. “The Fall and Rise of Navies in East Asia: Military Oganizations, Domestic Politics, and Grand Strategy.” International Security 27, no.2 (2002): 86-125.
Holmes, James R. and Toshi Yoshihara. “The Influence of Mahan upon China’s Maritime Strategy.” Comparative Strategy, no.24 (2005): 23-51.
Johnstone, Christopher B. “Japan''s China Policy: Implications for U.S.-Japan Relations.” Asian Survey 38, no.11 (1998): 1067-1085.
Kasza, Gregory J. “War and Walfare Policy in Japan.” The Journal of Asian Studies 61, no.2 (2002): 417-435.
Kitfield, James. “Dragon, Eagle and Rising Sun.” Air Force Magazine 88, no.6 (2005): 62-66.
Lai To, Lee. “East Asian Assessments of China''s Security Policy.” International Affairs 73, no.2 (1997): 251-262.
Layne, Christopher, and Benjamin Schwarz. “American Hegemony: Without an Enemy.” Foreign Policy, no.92 (1993): 5-23.
Lemke, Douglas. “Power Transition Theory and the Rise of China.” International Interactions 29, no.4 (2003): 269-271.
Lind, Jennifer M., and Thomas J. Christensen. “Spirals, Security, and Stability in East Asia.” International Security 24, no.4 (2000): 190-200.
Masaru Tamamoto. ”How Japan Imagines China and Sees Itself ?.” World Policy Journal, no.4 (2005-2006): 55-62.
McVadon, Eric. “China and the United States on the High Seas.” China Security 3, no.4 (2007): 3-28.
Medeiros, Evan S. “Strategic Hedging and the Future of Asia-Pacific Stability.” The Washington Quarterly 29, no.1 (2005-06): 145–167.
Midford, Paul. “China Views the Revised U.S.-Japan Defense Guidelines: Popping the Cork?.” International Relations of the Asia-Pacific 4, (2004): 113-145.
Mockli, Daniel. “The Rise of China: Regional and global power shifts.” Center for Security Studies Analyses in Security Policy 2, no.8 (2007): 1-3.
Nan, Li. “The PLA''s Evolving Warfighting Doctrine, Strategy and Tactics, 1985-95: A Chinese Perspective.” The China Quarterly, no.146 (1996): 443-463.
O''Hanlon, Michael. “Why China Cannot Conquer Taiwan?.” International Security 25, no.2 (2000): 51-86.
Ott, Marvin C. “Southeast Asian Security Challenges: America’s Response?.” Strategic Forum, no.222 (2006): 1-8.
Peng Er, Lam. “Japan and the Spratlys Dispute: Aspirations and Limitations.” Asian Survey 36, no.10 (1996): 995-1010.
Prueher, Josephw. “Shaping Our Future in the Asia-Pacific.” Joint Force Quarterly, no.17 (1997-98): 55-61.
Rapkin, David. “Power Transition, Challenge and the (Re)mergence of China.” International Interactions 29, no.4 (2003): 315-342.
Roach, J. Ashley. “The Law of Naval Warfare at the Turn of Two Centuries.” The American Journal of International Law 94, no.1 (2000): 64-77.
Ross, Robert S. “Geography of Peace: East Asia in the Twenty-First Century.” International Security 23, no.4 (1999): 81-118.
─── “Navigating the Taiwan Strait: Deterrence, Escalation Dominance, and U.S.-China Relations.” International Security 27, no.2 (2002): 48-85.
─── “The 1995-96 Taiwan Strait Confrontation Coercion, Credibility, and the Use of Force.” International Security 25, no.2 (2000): 87-123.
Rowan, Joshua P. “The U.S.-Japan Security Alliance, ASEAN, and the South China Sea Dispute.” Asian Survey 45, no.3 (2005): 414-436.
Rozman, Gilbert, and Noah Rozman. “The United States and Asia in 2002: Needing Help against "Evil".” Asian Survey 43, no.1 (2003): 1-14.
Sandler, Todd. “Alliance Formation, Alliance Expansion, and the Core.” The Journal of Conflict Resolution 43, no.6 (1999): 727-747.
Saunders, Phillip C. S. “A Virual Alliance for Asian Security.” Oribs 43, no.2 (1999): 237-256.
Schoff, James L. “Transformation of the U.S.-Japan Alliance.” The Fletcher Forum of World Affairs 31, no.1 (2007): 85-101.
Segal, Gerald. “East Asia and the Constrainment of China.” International Security 20. no.4 (1996): 107-135.
Shambauhg, David. “China’s Military Views the World.” International Security 24, no.3 (Winter 1999/2000): 52-79.
─── “China’s New Diplomacy in Asia.” Foreign Service Journal 82, no.5 (2005): 30-38.
Sutter, Robert. “China and Japan: trouble ahead?.” The Washington Quarterly 25, no.4 (2002): 37-49.
Tammen, Ronald L., and Jacek Kugler, “Power Transition and China-U.S. Conflicts.” Chinese Journal of International Politics 1, no.1 (2006): 35-55.
Urayama, Kori J. “Chinese Perspectives on Theater Missile Defense: Policy Implications for Japan.” Asian Survey 40, no.4 (2000): 599-621.
Valencia, Mark J. “Asia, the Law of the Sea and International Relations.” International Affairs 73, no.2 (1997): 263-282.
─── “The East China Sea Dispute: Context, Claims, Issues, and Possible Solutions.” Asian Perspective 31, no.1 (2007): 127-167.
Whiting, Allen S. “The PLA and China’s Threat Perception.” The China Quarterly 146, no.6 (1996): 596-615.
Wright Bruce A., and Mark O. Hague. “The U.S.-Japan Alliance: Sustaining the Transformation.” Joint Force Quarterly 44, no.1 (2007): 59-64.
Xinbo, Wu. “The Security Dimension of Sino-Japanese Relations: Warily Watching One Another.” Asian Survey 40, no.2 (2000): 296-310.
Xu Qi, “Maritime Geostrategy and the Development of the Chinese Navy in the Early Twenty-First Century.” Naval War College Review 59, no.4 (2006): 46-67.

三、未出版論文
Acharya, Amitav. “Seeking Security in the Dragon’s Shadow: China and Southeast Asia in the Emerging Asian Order.” Singapore: Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies,March 2003.
Bracken, Paul. “Maritime Strategy and Grand Strategy.” Singapore: Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies, September 2006.
Bradford, John F. “The Growing Prospects for Maritime Security Cooporation in Southeast Asia.” Newport: Naval War College Review 58, no.3, 2005.
Cole, Bernard D. “Chinese Naval Modernization and Energy Security.” Peper Prepared for the Institute for National Strategic Studies National Defense University, 2006 Pacific Symposium, Washington D.C., 2006.
Eland, Ivan. “The China-Taiwan Military Balance Implications for the United States.” Foreign Policy Briefing, no.74, 2003.
Emmers, Ralf. “The De-escalation of the Spratly Dispute in Sino-Southeast Asian Relations.” Singapore: Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies, no.129, 2007.
Geeraerts, Gustaaf. “China’s Rise and Northeast Asian Security: A European Perspective.” Department of Political Science Free University Brussels (VUB), 2005.
Glaser, Bonnie. ”U.S.-China Relations: Old and New Challenges: ASAT Test, Taiwan and Trade.” Pacific Forum CSIS, 2007.
─── ”U.S.-China Relations: Dialogue Boosts Ties, Even Without Results.” Pacific Forum CSIS, 2007.
Howard, Russell D. “The Chinese People’s Liberation Army: Shortarms and Slow Legs.” Institute for National Security Studies Occasional Paper 28. USAF Academy, September 1999.
James C., Hsiung. “Sea Power, Law of the Sea, and China-Japan East China Sea.” Resource War.” New York: New York University, 2005.
Liss, Carolin. “The Privatisation of Maritime Security- Maritime Security in Southeast Asia: Between a rock and a hard place?.” Asia Research Center, Working Paper no.141, 2007.
Nakahata, Yasuki. “For the Security of Sea Lanes: Multinational Maritime Operations by China, Japan and the United States.” Stimson Center, 2006.
Pillsbury, Michael. “China’s Military Strategy Toward the U.S.” U.S-China Economic and Security Review Commission, 2001.
Speed, Elizabeth. “Chinese Naval Power and East Asian Security.” Peper Presented at Ctnter of Internations, Vancuber, Working Paper no.11, 1995.
Stokes, Mark A. “China’s Strategic Modernization: Implications for the United States.” Strategic Studies Institute of the U.S., September 1999.
Tkacik, John J. Jr. “A Chinese Military Superpower?.” The Heritage Foundation, no.1389, 2007.
─── “China’s Quest for a Superpower Military.” The Heritage Foundation, no.2036, 2007.
─── “Hedging Against China.” The Heritage Foundation, no.1925, 2006.
You Ji. “The Evolution of China’s Maritime Combat Doctrines and Models: 1949-2001.” Peper Presented at Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies, Singapore, 2002.

四、網路資料來源
Armitage, Richard L. “The United States and Japan: Advancing Toward a Mature Partnership.” Institute for National Strategic Studies National Defense University, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/strforum/SR_01/SR_Japan.htm (October, 2000)
Brookes, Peter. “Pacific Power Play: China''s Naval Expansionism.” Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/Press/Commentary/ed032007a.cfm (March 19, 2007)
Chipman, Donald. “Admiral Gorshkov and the Soviet Navy.” Air and Space Power Journal, http://www.airpower.maxwell.af.mil/airchronicles/aureview/1982/jul-aug/chipman.html (July-August, 1982)
Fisher, Richard D. “2005: A Turning Point for China Aircraft Carrier Amibitions.” International Assessment and Strategy Center, http://www.strategycenter.net/research/pubID.87/pub_detail.asp (January 8, 2006 )
─── “China’s Naval Secrets.” The Wall Street Journal, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120994205702565995.html (May 5, 2008)
─── “Growing Asymmetries in the China-Japan Naval Balance.” International assessment and strategy center, http://www.strategycenter.net/research/pubID.83/pub_detail.asp (November 22, 2005)
Hickley, Matthew. “The uninvited guest: Chinese sub pops up in middle of U.S. Navy exercise, leaving military chiefs red-faced.” Daily Mail, http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-492804/The-uninvited-guest-Chinese-sub-pops-middle-U-S-Navy-exercise-leaving-military-chiefs-red-faced.html (November 11, 2007)
Kaplan, Robert D. “How we would Fight China?.” The Atlantic Monthly, http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200506/kaplan (June, 2005)
McDevitt, Michael. “The Future of the United States Navy.” American Enterprise Institute for Public Research, http://www.aei.org/events/filter.,eventID.1051/transcript.asp (June 20, 2005)
Nagahara, Shin. “Yomiuri Shimbun: Safety at sea requires global cooperation.” Center for a New American Security, http://www.cnas.org/en/art/?441 (March 25, 2008)
Pubby, Manu. “China’s New N-submarine Base Sets off Alarm Bells.” The Indian Express, http://www.indianexpress.com/story/304797.html (May 3, 2008)
Sieff, Martin. “Defense Focus: Carrier Strategy-Part 1.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/03/25/Defense_Focus_Carrier_strategy_--_Part_1/UPI-46101206486400/ (March 25, 2008 )
─── “Defense Focus: Carrier Strategy-Part 2.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/03/26/Defense_Focus_Carrier_strategy_--_Part_2/UPI-89991206570717/ (March 26, 2008 )
─── “Defense Focus: Carrier Strategy-Part 3.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/03/28/Defense_Focus_Carrier_strategy_--_Part_3/UPI-18141206720299/ (March 28, 2008 )
─── “Defense Focus: Carrier Strategy-Part 4.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/03/31/Defense_Focus_Carrier_strategy_--_Part_4/UPI-14131206980533/ (March 31, 2008)
─── “Defense Focus: Carrier Strategy-Part 5.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/04/01/Defense_Focus_Carrier_strategy_--_Part_5/UPI-97571207062497/ (April 1, 2008 )
─── “Defense Focus: Subs vs. Carriers-Part 1.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/04/08/Defense_Focus_Subs_vs_carriers_--_Part_1/UPI-23171207694602/ (April 8, 2008)
─── “Defense Focus: Subs vs. Carriers-Part 2.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/International_Security/Industry/Analysis/2008/04/09/defense_focus_subs_vs_carriers_--_part_2/4677/ (April 9, 2008)
─── “Defense Focus: Subs vs. Carriers-Part 3.” United Press International, http://www.upi.com/Security_Industry/2008/04/10/Defense_Focus_Subs_vs_carriers_--_Part_3/UPI-27611207855048/ (April 10, 2008)
Tkacik, John J. Jr. “China’s Submarine Challenge.” Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/wm1001.cfm (March 1, 2006)
U.S Department of Defense. “USS George Washington to Replace USS Kitty Hawk as U.S. Navys Forward Deployed Carrier.” http://www.defenselink.mil/releases/release.aspx?releaseid=9128 (December 12, 2005)

五、官方文書
Japan, Ministry of Defense. Defense of Japan 2006, 2006.
─── Defense of Japan 2007, 2007.
Japan, The National Institute for Defense Studies. East Asian Strategic Review 2006, 2006.
─── East Asian Strategic Review 2007, 2007.
─── East Asian Strategic Review 2008, 2008.
Office of Naval Intelligence. China’s Navy 2007. 2007.
U.S. Department of Defense. Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2008. 2008.
─── Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2007. 2007.
─── Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2006. 2006.
─── Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2005. 2005.
─── Strengthening U.S. Global Defense Posture. 2004.
─── Quadrennial Defense Review Report. 2006.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan. The Guidelines for Japan-U.S. Defense Cooperation. 2005.
─── U.S.-Japan Alliance: Transformation and Realignment for the Future. 2005.
The White House. The National Strategy for Maritime Security. 2005.
Prime Minister of Japan and His Cabinet. National Defense Program Guideline. 2005.

六、參考網站
American Enterprise Institute. http://www.aei.org/
Asia-Pacific Defense Forum. http://forum.apan-info.net/
Australian Strategic Policy Institute. http://www.aspi.org.au/
Belfer Center for Science and Intional Affairs. http://bcsia.ksg.harvard.edu/
Center for Defense Information. http://www.cdi.org/index.cfm
Center for International Security and Cooperation. http://cisac.stanford.edu/
Center for Strategic and International Studies. http://www.csis.org/
Center of International Relations. http://www.iir.ubc.ca/index.html
China Security. http://www.wsichina.org
Council on Foreign Relations. http://www.cfr.org/
Foreign Affairs. http://www.foreignaffairs.org/
Foreign Policy. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/
Global Security. http://www.globalsecurity.org/index.html
Institute for defense analysis. http://www.ida.org/
Institute for International Policy Studies. http://www.iips.org
Institute for National Strategic Studies. http://www.ndu.edu/inss/
International Studies Association. http://www.isanet.org/
Japan Department of Foreign Affairs. http://www.mofa.gov.jp/
Journal of Contemporary China. http://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/routledg/cjcc
National Defense University. http://www.ndu.edu/inss/
Navy League of the United States. http://www.navyleague.org/
Office of Naval Intelligence. http://www.fas.org/irp/agency/oni/
Stimson Center. http://www.stimson.org/
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. http://www.sipri.org/
The Brookings Institution. http://www.brookings.edu/
The Heritage Foundation. http://www.heritage.org/
The International Institute for Strategic Studies. http://www.iiss.org/
The National War College. http://www.ndu.edu/nwc/index.htm
The U.S. Navy. http://www.navy.mil/
The United States Navy. http://www.navy.mil/
The Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies (IDSS). http://studies.agentura.ru/english/centres/idss/
U.S. Army War College. http://carlisle-www.army.mil/
U.S. Congress Library. http://thomas.loc.gov/
U.S. Department of Defense. http://www.defenselink.mil/
U.S. House of Senate. http://www.senate.gov/
U.S. National Security Council. http://www.whitehouse.gov/nsc/
World Security Institute. http://www.worldsecurityinstitute.org/
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