(18.210.12.229) 您好!臺灣時間:2021/03/03 17:04
字體大小: 字級放大   字級縮小   預設字形  
回查詢結果

詳目顯示:::

我願授權國圖
: 
twitterline
研究生:黃明正
研究生(外文):Ming-Cheng Huang
論文名稱:區域經濟整合、經濟相似性與雙邊貿易流量
論文名稱(外文):Regional Economic Integration, Economic Similarity and Bilateral Trade Flows
指導教授:鄭義暉鄭義暉引用關係
指導教授(外文):I-Hui Cheng
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立高雄大學
系所名稱:應用經濟學系碩士班
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:經濟學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2010
畢業學年度:98
語文別:中文
論文頁數:87
中文關鍵詞:雙邊貿易引力模型區域經濟整合經濟體相似度產業內貿易
外文關鍵詞:Bilateral tradeGravity modelRegional economic integrationEconomic similarityIntra-industry trade index
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:3
  • 點閱點閱:438
  • 評分評分:系統版面圖檔系統版面圖檔系統版面圖檔系統版面圖檔系統版面圖檔
  • 下載下載:89
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:2
區域經濟整合為國際間貿易的趨勢,各國透過簽訂自由貿易的相關協定,冀藉以消除人為貿易障礙,降低彼此間之交易成本,進而提升各國之社會福利。本研究利用1986-2007年雙邊貿易資料,以四種常見類型的貿易引力模型來探討影響雙邊貿易流量差異之因素,本文並利用模型選擇AIC和BIC之判斷標準,來比較其模型之解釋力。在區域經濟整合體虛擬變數方面,本文選取北美自由貿易區、歐盟、歐元區、東南亞自由貿易區及南方共同市場,並考量雙邊貿易國家之經濟發展程度、經濟體相似度及產業內貿易指數等,將國家劃分為不同群組予以分析。本研究中使用模型包括:傳統的跨部門綜合資料(PCS)模型、三邊固定效果(FE3)、雙邊固定效果(FE2)模型和一般化固定效果(FEG)模型,實證結果若以模型選擇的方法加以判斷,則以FE2及FEG模型最具解釋力。
The main purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of regional economic integration and economic similarity on bilateral trade flows, using various types of the gravity model of trade. For the purpose of comparison, the study focuses on the most commonly included regional trade agreement (RTAs) in the literature, i.e. EU, EURO, NAFTA, AFTA and MERCOSUR. Different levels of economic development of countries, economic similarity and intra-industry trade index between countries are also considered. By comparing the results from estimating the pooled cross section (PCS), three-way fixed effects (FE3), two-way fixed effects (FE2) and generalization fixed effects (FEG) models, and judging by the use of AIC and BIC information criteria, models FE2 and FEG are preferred.
中文摘要 i
英文摘要 ii
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機 1
第二節 研究目的 14
第三節 整體研究架構流程 15
第二章 文獻回顧 17
第一節 引力模型發展的歷史沿革 17
第二節 引力模型理論基礎 19
第三節 引力模型實證發展 21
第三章 實證模型與資料處理 26
第一節 實證模型架構 28
一、 跨部門綜合資料(PCS)模型 28
二、 三邊固定效果(FE3)模型 30
三、 雙邊固定效果(FE2)模型 31
四、 一般化固定效果(FEG)模型 32
第二節 資料來源與處理 33
第四章 實證結果分析 36
第一節 雙邊貿易流量分析-已開發與開發中國家之差異 36
一、 出口國為已開發國家對進口國為已開發國家 36
二、 出口國為開發中國家對進口國為開發中國家 41
第二節 雙邊貿易流量分析-經濟體相似度高與低之差異 46
一、 經濟體的相似度高和產業內貿易指數高之估計結果 46
二、 經濟體的相似度低和產業內貿易指數低之估計結果 51
第三節 區域經濟整合對雙邊貿易影響之綜合分析 56
第五章 結論與建議 71
參考文獻 75
資料附錄 81
Aitken, N. D., (1973) “The Effect of the EEC and EFTA on European Trade: A
Temporal Cross-Section Analysis,” American Economic Review, 63, 881-892.
Anderson, J. E., (1979) “A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation,”
American Economic Review, 69, 1, 106-116.
Anderson, J. E. and Van Wincoop, E., (2003) “Gravity with Gravitas: A
Solution to the Border Puzzle,” American Economic Review, 93, 1, 170-192.
Baier, S. L. and Bergstrand, J. H., (2007) “Do Free Trade Agreements Actually
Increase Members’ International Trade?” Journal of International Economics,
71, 72-95.
Bergstrand, J. H., (1985) “The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some
Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence,” Review of Economics and
Statistics, 67, 474-481.
Bergstrand, J. H., (1989) “The Generalized Gravity Equation, Monopolistic
Competition, and the Factor-Proportions: Theory of International Trade,”
Review of Economics and Statistics, 71, 143-153.
Brada, J. C. and Mendez, J. A., (1983) “Regional Economic Integration and the
Volume of Intra-Regional Trade: A Comparison of Developed and Developing
Country Experience,” Kyklos, 36, 589-603.
Brada, J. C. and Mendez, J. A., (1985) “Economic Integration Among Developed,
Developing and Centrally Planned Economies: A Comparative Analysis,” Review
of Economics and Statistics, 67, 4, 549-556.
Cheng, I. H. and Wall, H. J., (2005) “Controlling for Trading-Pair
Heterogeneity in Gravity Models of Trade and Integration,” The Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 87, 1, 49-63.
Cheng, I. H. and Tsai, Y. Y., (2008) “Estimating the Staged Effects of
Regional Economic Intergration on Trade Volumes,” Applied Economics, 40,383-
393.
Deardorff, A.V., (1998) “Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work
in a Neoclassical World.” in Frankel, J. A., Ed., The Regionalization of the
World Economy, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Egger, P., (2000) “A Note on the Proper Econometric Specification of the
Gravity Equation,” Economics Letters, 66, 25-31.
Egger, P., (2004) “Estimating Regional Trading Block Effects with Panel
Data,” Review of World Economics, 140, 1, 151-166.
Egger, P. and Pfaffermayr, M., (2003) “The Proper Panel Econometric
Specification of the Gravity Equation: A Three-way Model with Bilateral
Interaction Effects,” Empirical Economics, 28, 3, 571-80.
Eichengreen, B. and Irwin, D. A., (1995) “Trade Blocs, Currency Blocs and the
Reorientation of World Trade in the 1930s,” Review of World Economics, 140,
1, 151-160.
Eichengreen, B. and Irwin, D. A., (1998) “The Role of History in Bilateral
Trade Flows,” in Frankel, J. A. Ed., The Regionalization of the World
Economy, Chicago: The University of Chicago Press.
Filippini, C. and Molini, V., (2003) “The Determinants of East Asian Trade
Flows: A Gravity Equation Approach,” Journal of Asian Economics, 14, 695-711.
Frankel, J. A. and Rose, A., (2002) “An Estimate of the Effect of Currency
Unions on Trade and Growth,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, 437-466.
Frankel, J. A. and Wei, S., (1993) “Trading Blocs and Currency Blocs,” NBER
Working Paper No. 4335.
Frankel, J. A., Stein, E. and Wei, S., (1995) “Trading Blocs and Americas:
The Natural, the Unnatural, and the Super-Natural,” Journal of Development
Economics, 47, 61-95.
Frankel, J. A., (1997) Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System.
Institute for International Economics, Washington DC.
Frankel, J. A. and Wei, S. J., (1998) “Regionalization of World Trade and
Currencies: Economics and Politics,” The Regionalization of the World
Economy, Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 189-219.
Guo, R., (2004) “How Culture Influences Foreign Trade: Evidence from The U.S.
and China,” Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, 6, 785-812.
Harrigan, J., (2001) “Specialization and Volume of Trade: Do the Data Obey
the Law?” in Harrigan, J. and Choi, K. Eds., The Handbook of International
Trade.
Helpman, E. and Krugman, P., (1985) “Market Structure and Foreign Trade
Increasing Returns, Imperfect Competition, and International Trade,”
Cambridge: The MIT Press.
Hummels, D. and Levinsohn, J., (1995) “Monopolistic Competition and
International Trade: Reconsidering the Evidence,” The Quarterly Journal of
Economics, 110, No.3, pp. 799-836.
Jones, R. W., Kierzkowski, H. and Gregory, L., (2002) “Fragmentation and
Intra-Industry Trade,” Frontiers of Research on Intra-Industry Trade,
London: The Palgrave, 67-87.
Jugurnath, B., Stewart, M. and Brooks, R., (2007) “Asia/Pacific Regional
Trade Agreements: An Empirical Study,” Journal of Asian Economics, 18, 974-
987.
Kowalczyk, C., (2000) “Welfare and Integration,” International Economic
Review, 41, 483-494.
Krugman, P., (1987) “Is Free trade Passé?” Journal of Economic Perspectives,
1, 131-144.
Krugman, P., (1991) “The Move to Free Trade Zones,” in Policy Implications
of Trade and Currency Zones, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, 7-41.
Linnemann, H., (1966) “An Econometric Study of International Trade Flows,”
Amsterdam: The North-Holland Publishing Company.
Magee, S. P., (2008) “New Measures of Trade Creation and Trade Diversion,”
Journal of Integration Economic, 75, 349-362.
Mátyás, L., (1997) “Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Model,”
The World Economy, 20, 363-368.
Mátyás, L., (1998) “The Gravity Model: Some Econometric Consideration,” The
World Economy, 20, 3, 397-401.
Mansfield, E. D. and Bronson, R., (1997) ”Alliances, Preferential Trading
Arrangements, and International Trade,” The American Political Science
Review, 91, 1, 94-107.
Mayes, D. G., (1978) “The Effects of Economic Integration on Trade,” Journal
of Common Market Studies, 17, 1, 1-25.
McCallum, J., (1995) “National Bordera Matter: Canada-U.S Regional Trade
Patterns,” American Economic Review, 85, 3, 615-623.
Nitsch, V., (2000) “National Borders and International Trade: Evidence from
the European Union,” Canadian Journal of Economics 33, pp. 1091-1105.
Oguledo, V. I. and MacPhee, C. R., (1994) “Gravity Model: A Reformulation and
an Application to Discriminatory Trade Arrangements,” Applied Economics, 26,
107-120.
Pöyhönen, P., (1963) “A Tentative Model for the Volume of Trade Between
Countries,” The Weltwirtschaftliches Archive, 90, 93-100.
Rauch, J. E., (1999) “Networks Versus Markets in International Trade,”
Journal of International Economic, 48, 1, 7-35.
Soloaga, I. and Winters, L. A., (2001) “Regionalism in the Nineties: What
Effect on Trade,” The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 12,
1, 1-29.
Stone, S. F. and Jeon, B. N., (2000), “Foreign Direct Investment and Trade in
the Asia-Pacific Region: Complementary, Distance and Regional Economic
Integration,” Journal of Integration Economic, Vol. 15, No. 3, September,
pp. 460-485.
Subramanian, A. and Wei, S. J., (2007), “The WTO Promotes Trade, Strongly but
Unevenly,” Journal of Integration Economic, 72, 151-175.
Tang, D., (2003) “The Effect of European Integration on Trade with the APEC
Countries: 1981-2000,” Journal of Economic and Finance, 27, 2, 262-278.
Thursby, J. G. and Thursy, M. C., (1987) “Bilateral Trade Flows, the Linder
Hypothesis, and Exchange Risk,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 69,
3, 488-495.
Tinbergen, J., (1962) Shaping the World Economy: Suggestions for an
International Economic Policy, New York: The Twentieth Century Fund.
Viner, J., (1950) “The Economics of Customs Unions,” The Customs Union
Issue, New York: The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Winters, L. A., (1992) “Bilateral Trade Elasticities for Exploring the
Effects of ‘1992’,” in Winters, L. A. Ed., Trade Flows and Trade Policy
after ‘1992’, London: The Cambridge University Press.
QRCODE
 
 
 
 
 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
系統版面圖檔 系統版面圖檔