臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

近年來由於國內風機數量的快速增加，且風能發展遠比過去更加複雜的情形下，風場設置後的可能影響及民眾對於風力發電之感受和認知情形，應是能源業者於風力發電場設置前需要釐清的重要事宜。
本研究探討風力發電場設置時所應考慮的因素，同時瞭解不同屬性的產業對於設置評估因素之差異。本研究以安全與品質、經濟與效益、社會觀感、環境與生態、法規及政策之六個構面及28個評估準則來找出設置因素間彼此的影響關聯，並利用決策實驗室分析法(Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory, DEMATEL)找出各項構面之間的關聯結構，並利用分析網路程序法(Analytic Network Process, ANP)來找出準則之間的權重關係。研究結果發現安全與品質及環境與生態是兩大最主要的影響構面。而準則權重方面，業界看法對於安全設置距離是最為重視的，學界則對於環境生態的監測最為看重。
評估的結果可提昇民眾對於風力發電的了解、提供國內能源策略及有意投資風力發電之民間業者參考，以便將有限的資源做最佳的分配，達到最高的效益，有助於國內能源多元化與自主。

Subject to the rapid increase of installation of wind turbine electricity generators and wind electricity generatin demonstrating increasingly complications far more than ever domestically, the top priority issue for the wind electricity enterprises could be achieving full grasping of local neighborhood residents’ perceptive and recognition toward the installation of such the wind turbine electricity geneators prior to decision of the aforesaid wind electricity system installation location.
This reserac is created for intending to explor the factors that shall be required for deicision of the wind electricity generator installation location and also to achive a comprehensive understanding the differences of adopting variables for making evaluation among various industries. The metric measurement of this research adopts 6 aspect, including safety and quality, economy and efficiency, social perception, environment protection and ecology, legal stiplations, and government policies, and also 28 assessment criteria for making judgment on the counteracting relevancy among all individual elements for decision of an installation location and also utilizes the Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) for searching the associated relevancy structure among all aspects in conjuction of applying Analytic Network Process (ANP) for determinants of the mutual weight average ratios among all assessment criteria. The results show that safety and quality and environment and ecology are the two major influential constructs. Business circle puts the most emphasis on the distance of safety setting; however, academic circle stresses most on the monitor of environment ecology.
Hopefully, the assessement results of this research can promote the social public’s understanding of wind electricity generation, provide refereces for domestic energy policies and the enterprises that are interested at making such an investment for serving the purpose of making the optimal distribution of limited resources, achieving the best efficiency and benefiting the domestic energy source diversification and self-domination.

目錄

封面內頁
簽名頁
中文摘要 ...............iii
ABSTRACT...............iv
誌謝....................vi
目錄....................vii
圖目錄..................x
表目錄..................xi

第一章 緒論..............1
1.1 研究背景與動機.........1
1.2 研究目的..............4
1.3 研究流程..............5
第二章 文獻探討...........7
2.1 再生能源定義與發展......7
2.2 風力發電概述...........9
2.2.1 風力發電簡介.........9
2.2.2 風力發電現況及效益....11
2.2.3 國內風力發電現況......14
2.3風力發電場設置決策評估準則....17
2.3.1 決策評估..............17
2.3.2 決策準則..............18
2.4 度量指標方法論(GQM)......25
2.5 決策實驗室分析法(DEMATEL).....27
2.6 分析網路程序法(ANP).......31
第三章 研究方法與設計.........36
3.1 研究架構.................36
3.2 問卷調查流程..............40
3.3 問卷設計內容及對象.........42
3.3.1 問卷發放對象............44
3.3.2 第一階段問卷內容設計 .....44
3.3.3 第二階段問卷內容設計 .....46
3.4資料分析方法與步驟..........46
3.4.1 FDEMATEL運算及步驟......46
3.4.2 ANP步驟及運算...........50
第四章 研究結果分析與討論.......55
4.1 決策實驗室分析法分析結果....55
4.1.1 回收問卷樣本分析.........55
4.1.2 樣本結構分析.............56
4.2各構面及準則分析之結果........57
4.3網路程序分析法結果...........73
4.3.1發展網路架構模型...........73
4.3.2決定成偶比較矩陣...........75
4.3.3回收樣本分析 ..............75
4.3.4樣本結構分析 ..............76
4.3.5專家偏好及檢定一致性 ......77
4.4 ANP相依性成對比較結果 .......78
4.4.1 各構面影響下，成對比較矩陣建立.....78
4.4.2 各次準則影響下，相互之依賴關係.....79
4.4.3 超級矩陣形成與分析........80
4.4.4 選擇最適決策準則.........84
4.5討論.......................85
第五章 結論與建議 ..............88
5.1 研究結論...................88
5.1.1構面間之影響性探討.........88
5.1.2整體準則之探討.............89
5.2 研究貢獻...................90
5.2.1 學術上之貢獻..............90
5.2.2 實務上之貢獻..............91
5.3 研究限制與後續研究建議 .......91
附錄1 FDEMATEL問卷.............103
附錄2 ANP問卷..................110
附錄3 ANP相依成對比較矩陣結果(學術界)...124







圖目錄

圖1-1 本研究流程圖..................6
圖2-1 全球風力發電量趨勢圖 ..........12
圖2-2 全球風場發電量前10名 ...........13
圖2-3 AHP法與ANP法結構之差異圖........33
圖3-2 問卷設計調查流程圖..............41
圖3-3 三角模糊數對應之歸屬函數.........47
圖3.4 ANP運算步驟及流程圖 ............50
圖4-1 構面間之因果關聯圖...............60
圖4-4 社會觀感構面之因果關聯圖..........67
圖4-5 環境與生態構面之因果關聯圖........68
圖4-6 法規構面之因果關聯圖 .............70











表目錄

表2-1 風力發電設置相關文獻整理表........21
表2-2 決策準則整理表...................24
表2-3 DEMATEL相關文獻研究特性彙整表.....30
表2-4 ANP法相關研究之文獻 ...............35
表3-1 AHP與ANP差異分析表 ...............39
表3-2 風力發電場設置因素評估表.............43
表3-3 風力發電設置準則定義說明表............45
表3-4 語意尺度及對應之三角模糊數.............47
表3-5 ANP 比較尺度......................51
表3-6 隨機指標.........................53
表4-1 第一階段問卷回收情形表............55
表4-2 第一階段問卷樣本結構整理表.........56
表4-3 構面間之初始模糊直接關聯矩陣表.......58
表4-4 構面間之正規化模糊直接關聯矩陣表......58
表4-5 構面間之模糊總關聯矩陣表.............59
表4-6 解模糊化後之總關聯矩陣表.............59
表4-7 構面間之列行值整理表 ...............60
表4-8 安全與品質構面之總關聯矩陣表........62
表4-9 安全與品質構面列行值整理表..........62
表4-10 經濟與效益構面之總關聯矩陣表 .......64
表4-11 經濟與效益構面列行值整理表.........64
表4-12 社會觀感構面之總關聯矩陣表........66
表4-13 社會觀感構面列行值整理表.........66
表4-14 環境與生態構面之總關聯矩陣表 ......67
表4-15 環境與生態構面列行值整理表.........68
表4-16 法規構面之總關聯矩陣表............69
表4-17 法規構面列行值整理表..............69
表4-18 政策構面之總關聯矩陣表.............71
表4-19 政策構面列行值整理表...............71
表4-20 FDEMATEL刪除之準則彙整表.........73
表4-21 第一階段問卷回收情形表.............75
表4-22 第二階段問卷樣本結構整理表..........76
表4-23 決策準則之成對比較矩陣一致性檢定.....78
表4-24 以「安全與品質」構面為主要考量下之成對比較矩陣.....79
表4-25 環境與生態之次準則成對比較矩陣.........79
表4-26 未加權超級矩陣......................81
表4-27 加權超級矩陣.........................82
表4-28 極限超級矩陣.........................83
表4-29 ANP決策準則權重評估結果...............84
表4-30 分群比較ANP權重分析結果表..............85

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