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研究生:雷思雅
研究生(外文):Anastasia Rekida
論文名稱:依資源稟賦估計總要素生產力與貿易型態:以俄羅斯托木斯科區為例
論文名稱(外文):Estimation of TFP and trade pattern based on factors endowment of Tomsk region in Russia
指導教授:楊 明 憲
指導教授(外文):Min-Hsien Yang
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:逢甲大學
系所名稱:國際貿易所
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:貿易學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2012
畢業學年度:100
語文別:英文
論文頁數:55
中文關鍵詞:貿易模式要素稟賦托木斯克地區
外文關鍵詞:trade patternTomsk regionfactors endowment
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現今台灣和俄羅斯托木斯克地區積極拓展合作關係,特別是在科技和貿易領域,因為該區域擁有豐富的教育及自然資源,提升台灣商界及科學界對於投資該區域的興趣,做為一提供台資投入的選項。 因此,本碩士論文集中在托木斯克地區的經濟分析和估計其要素禀賦及貿易模式,以幫助雙方找到新的合作點。
這些研究根據技術變化、資本的因素,以及該區域至目前為止所為人知的相對貿易優勢,主要基於兩個模型:柯布 - 道格拉斯生產函數 (Cobb-Douglas production function)和相對貿易優勢模型。
Nowadays Taiwan and Tomsk region of the Russian Federation actively develop mutual cooperation, especially in science and trade spheres. Taiwan business and scientific circles are very interested in this region as a place which is rich of educational and natural resources, but also as a place for the Taiwanese investments. Therefore this master thesis concentrates on the analysis of Tomsk region economy and estimations of its factors endowment and trade pattern in order to help both sides to find new points for cooperation. The estimations are mostly based on two models: Cobb-Douglas production function and Relative Trade Advantage model, due to which the contribution of technology changes (TFP) and capital, and the comparative trade advantage of the region have been revealed.
CONTENTS
CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Background of the study 1
1.2 Motivation 2
1.3 Purpose of the study 3
1.4 Limitations of the study 3
CHAPTER 2. RELATED LITERATURE REVIEW 4
2.1 Factors of productivity research papers 4
2.2 Studies of TFP for Russian economy 6
2.3 Trade pattern research papers 7
2.4 Tomsk region economy papers 8
CHAPTER 3. ESTIMATION OF TOMSK REGION ECONOMY 10
3.1 Review of Tomsk region economy background 10
3.2 Methodology and data for estimation 23
3.3 Estimation of the production function 25
CHAPTER 4. TOMSK REGION PATTERN OF TRADE 32
4.1 Review of Tomsk region trade relations 32
4.2 Methodology and data for estimation 36
4.3 Estimation results 39
CHAPTER 5. CONCLUSION 43
REFERENCES 45
INTERNET RESOURCES 47
APPENDIXES 48
REFERENCES
[1] Ahmad J. (1989) “ South-south trade in manufactures: a modified Heckscher-Ohlin model of bilateral trade and some preliminary estimates”, International economic journal, vol.3, No 1, 1989, 35-48
[2] Balassa B. (1965) “Trade liberalization and revealed comparative advantage”, The Manchester School of Economics and Social Sciences, 33, 92-123
[3] Bernatonyte D., Normantiene A. (2009) “Estimation of trade specialization: the case of the Baltic States”, Economics of Engineering Decisions, vol.2, 2009, 7-17
[4] Beveren V. (2010) “Total Factor Productivity estimation: a practical review”, Journal of economic survey, vol.26, 2012, 98-128
[5] Clements M. (2007) “The Extended Heckscher-Ohlin Model: Patterns of Trade between the U.S. and China”, Undergraduate economic review, vol. 3, 2007, 1-20
[6] Chan K. K., Nugent J.B. (1998) “Factor endowments, trade liberalization and the future of APEC trade patterns”, Contemporary Economic Policy, vol.17, 1999, 517-529
[7] Comin D. (2006) “Total factor productivity”, http://www.people.hbs.edu/dcomin/def.pdf
[8] Fu. X. (2005) “Exports, technical progress and productivity growth in a transition economy: a nonparametric approach for China”, Applied Economics, 37, 2005, 25-39
[9] Kong C. and Tongzon. J. (2006) “Estimating Total Factor Productivity growth in Singapore at sectoral level using data envelopment analysis” Applied Economics, 38, 2006
[10] Krugman P. (1980) “Scale Economies, Product Differentiation, and the Pattern of Trade”, The American Economic Review, vol. 70, No. 5, 1980, 950-959
[11] Kuboniwa M. (2012) “Russian Growth Path and TFP Changes in Light of the Estimation of Production Function using Quarterly Data”, RRC Working Paper Series, 30, 2012, http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/rrc/RRC_WP_No30.pdf
[12] Lipsey R.G., Carlaw K. (2001) “What does the Total Factor Productivity measure”, http://www.csls.ca/ipm/1/lipsey-e.pdf
[13] Marrocu E., Paci R., Pala R. (2000) “Estimation of Total Factor Productivity for regions and sectors in Italy. A Panel Cointegration Approach”, Centre for North South Economic Research, 2000
[14] Mihailov V. (2012) “Six economic problems of Tomsk region”, http://obzor.tomsk.ru
[15] Miller S., Limam Y. (2004) “Explaining economic growth: factor accumulation, total factor productivity growth and production efficiency improvement”, Economics Working Papers, http://digitalcommons.uconn.edu/econ_wpapers/200420
[16] Obstfeld M., Rogoff K. (1996) “Foundations of International Macroeconomics”, http://www.scribd.com/juanherrr/d/22229741-Obstfeld-Rogoff-Foundations-of-International-Macroeconomics
[17] Rojas (1998) “ The Poverty of International Trade Theory”, http://www.rrojasdatabank.info/capital5.htm
[18] Simon J. (2010) “Technical Progress and its Factors of Russia’s economy”, Economic Annals, vol. LV-186, 7-41
[19] Singh N., Trieu H. (1996) “The Role of R&D in Explaining Total Factor Productivity Growth in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan”, http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.200.9362&rep=rep1&type=pdf
[20] Smirnova T. (2008) “Competitiveness of Tomsk region economy”, www.rae.ru/use/?section=content&op=show_article&article_id=7783441
[21] Solow R.M. (1956) “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 70, No. 1 , 65-94

[22] Tan B. (2008) “Cobb-Douglas Production Function”, http://docentes.fe.unl.pt/~jamador/Macro/cobb-douglas.pdf
[23] Utkulu U., Seymen D. (2004) “Revealed Comparative Advantage and Competitiveness
Evidence for Turkey vis-à-vis the EU/15”, European Trade Study Group 6th Annual Conference, http://www.etsg.org/ETSG2004/Papers/seymen.pdf

INTERNET RESOURCES:
[1] http://investintomsk.com/, Investment passport of the Tomsk oblast (2011).
[2] http://investintomsk.com/en/gla1/tomskaya_oblast/obwie_svedeniya/, Tomsk region overview (2010)
[3] http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTRUSSIANFEDERATION/Resources/Chap2.pdf/ Russian economic report (2007),World Bank.
[4] http://tmsk.gks.ru/digital/default.aspx/ ,Statistical yearbook of Tomsk region (2011), Department of Tomsk statistics
[5] http://www.marketcenter.ru/content/file.asp?r=%7BAF23E26E-F7B5-4579-A771-B82A03575198%7D / Passport of Tomsk region (2010) ,Tomsk region Administration.
[6] http://www.een.si/files/Tomsk_Region.pdf / ,Tomsk region fact sheet (2009)
[7] http://www.gks.ru/perepis/2010/vnp2010.html /, Preliminary results of the national census (2010), Russian Federal State Statistics Service
[8]http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/connect/rosstat/rosstatsite/main/publishing/catalog/statisticCollections/doc_1138623506156 / ,Regions of Russia. The main indicators of the Russian Federation (2011), Russian Federal State Statistics Service
[9] http://www-personal.umich.edu/~alandear/glossary/ ,Deardorff’s glossary of international economics (2012)
[10] http://www.tomsk.gov.ru/ ,The official site of Tomsk region Administration (2011)
[11] http://www.tomsk.gov.ru/ ,“Tomsk region: results and perspectives for development” (2011), Tomsk region Administration
[12]http://unctadstat.unctad.org/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx?sRF_ActivePath=p.15912&sRF_Expanded=.p.15912 / ,UNCTAD Statistics Database.
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