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研究生:白嘉娜
研究生(外文):Pastukhova, Galina
論文名稱:俄羅斯防擴散政策:伊朗核危機的戰略和經濟因素析 (2002-2010)
論文名稱(外文):Russian non-proliferation policy: strategic and economic considerations in Iran’s Nuclear Crisis (2002-2010)
指導教授:袁易袁易引用關係
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立政治大學
系所名稱:外交研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:國際事務學類
論文種類:學術論文
畢業學年度:100
語文別:英文
論文頁數:113
中文關鍵詞:俄罗斯伊朗核危机防擴散政策能源合作战略核合作
相關次數:
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俄羅斯防擴散政策:伊朗核危機的戰略和經濟因素析 (2002-2010)

The goal for this master thesis is to estimate the effectiveness of Russian non-proliferation policy during the nuclear crisis of Iran and explore the main factors (economic or strategic), that influence Russian policy in this dimension.
1. Introduction 1
1.1. Significance of the research 1
1.2. The research goal, objectives and methodology 5
1.3. Literature and materials review 9
1.4. Thesis structure 19
2. Iran’s Nuclear Crisis 22
2.1. Contemporary non-proliferation regime 22
2.2. Nuclear program of Iran 27
2.3. Nuclear crisis of Iran 31
2.4. Regime of sanctions 37
3.Non-proliferation policy of the Russian Federation 40
3.1. Development of non-proliferation policy 40
3.2. Legal framework of -proliferation policy of the Russian Federation 45
3.3. Decision-making process: institutions, actors and interests 54
4. Russian-Iranian Nuclear Cooperation 62
4.1. Political Dimension 62
4.2. Nuclear Power Plant Construction 67
5.Politics of Russia and the Nuclear Crisis of Iran 74
6. Conclusions and Political Implications 87
6.1 Russia – the Middle East 88
6.2 Russia – the European Union 90
6.3 Russia – the United States 92
6.4 Russia - China 94
7. Bibliography 100

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Literature in English
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97. У ядерного порога: уроки ядерных кризисов Северной Кореи и Ирана для режима нераспространения. Nuclear threshold: the lessons of North Korean and Iranian nuclear crisis for non-proliferation regime. 2007. Moscow: Carnegie Endowment.
98. Фролов, Андрей. Иран: для чего ему ракеты? Frolov, Andrew. Iran: Why does it Need Missiles? Security Index, 13(2): 55-74. http://www.pircenter.org/data/resources/Frolov_Iran_SI82.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
99. Хлопков, Антон. Иранская ядерная программа в российско-американских отношениях. Khlopkov, Anton. 2001. Iranian Nuclear Program in Russian-American relations. Moscow: Center for Policy Studies. http://www.pircenter.org/data/publications/nz18.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
100. Хлопков, Антон. Лата, Василий. Иран: ракетно-ядерная загадка для России. Khlopkova, Anton. Lata, Vasilyi. 2003. Iran: Missile and Nuclear Puzzle for Russia. Nuclear Control, 9(2): 39-57. http://www.pircenter.org/data/publications/yk2-2003.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
101. Хронология российско-иранского сотрудничества 1989-2010. Chronology of Russian-Iranian Relations 1989-2010. Moscow: Center for Policy Studies. http://www.pircenter.org/kosdata/page_doc/p2056_1.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
102. Цыганков, А. Российская наука международных отношений: новый направления. Tzygankov, A. 2005. Russian Studies on International Relations: New Approaches. Moscow
103. Цыганков, П. Внешняя политика: вопросы теории и практики. Tzygankov, P. 2009. Foreign Policy: Theory and Practice. Moscow
104. Ядерное нераспространение: краткая энциклопедия. Nuclear non-proliferation: book of reference. 2009. Moscow: PIR Center

Media in English
105. Interview of the Russian Federation Ambassador extraordinary and plenipotentiary to the USA, S. Kislyak. Fall 2009. Monterey Center for Nonproliferation Studies. http://pircenter.org/data/publications/sirus3-09/011-016_interv_kisl.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
106. Iran tries a “nuclear-first” foreign policy. The Guardian, 8 December 2010. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/julian-borger-global-security-blog/2010/dec/13/iran-nuclear-weapons (accessed February 29, 2012)
107. Iran-China trade volume reaches 38 bn dollars. Alexander Gas and Oil Connections, February 2011. http://www.gasandoil.com/oilaround/economy/27ef10447716399a55ff510d44e061f2?b_start=120 (accessed February 29, 2012)
108. Russia’s Ryabkov on US-Russia’s Relations: “We can offer tangible results and we can do more in the future. Washington Post, January 2011. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/31/AR2011013105212.html?wprss=rss_world/asia (accessed February 29, 2012)
109. U.S. is seeking a range of sanctions against Iran. The New York Times, September 27, 2009. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/28/world/middleeast/28iran.html (accessed February 29, 2012)

Media in Russian

110. Артемьев, Александр. Сходятся на СНВ и разошлись на Бушере. Agree on START and Disagree on Busher. 2010. Gazeta.ru, March 18, http://www.gazeta.ru/politics/2010/03/18_a_3340133.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
111. Бушерская АЭС: российские эксперты обсуждают опыт сотрудничества. Busher Nuclear Plant: Russian Experts Discuss the Experience of Cooperation. 2010. Iran Russian Radio, August 30. http://russian.irib.ir/analitika/reportazh/item/117631-%D0%B1%D1%83%D1%88%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F-%D0%B0%D1%8D%D1%81-%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B9%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B5-%D1%8D%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%BF%D0%B5%D1%80%D1%82%D1%8B-%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%81%D1%83%D0%B6%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%8E%D1%82-%D0%BE%D0%BF%D1%8B%D1%82-%D1%81%D0%BE%D1%82%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B0 (accessed February 29, 2012)
112. Горностаев, Дмитрий. Коротченко, Игорь. Сделка Гор-Черномырдин: ущерб России – 4 миллиарда? Gore-Chernomyrdin Agreement: Lost for Russia – 4 billions? 2000. Independent Newspaper, October 19. http://www.ng.ru/world/2000-10-19/1_deal.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
113. Евсеев, В. Иран: курс на конфронтацию – это всерьез? Iran: whether the Path to Confrontation is serious? 2009. RIA Novosti, December 1. http://www.rian.ru/analytics/20091201/196416109.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
114. Евстафьев, Геннадий. Иранская ядерная программа и ДНЯО. Evstafyev, Gennadiy. Iranian Nuclear Program and NPT. 2005. RIA Novosti, March. http://www.pircenter.org/data/resources/31-03-05DNYAO-IRAN.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
115. Запрет на передачу Ирану С-300 связан с национальной безопасностью России. Ban on supplying C-300 missile systems is connected with Russian national security. Permanent Mission of Russian federation in NATO, 23d of September 2010 http://natomission.ru/security/article/security/artnews/144/?PHPSESSID=afe963febab94993b1c91e7f41b8a7b2 (accessed February 29, 2012)
116. Злобин А. Иран вызвали на ковер. Время новостей. Iran was called on the carpet. 2005. Vremya, September 20. http://www.vremya.ru/print/134740.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
117. Иванов: нестабильность на Ближнем Востоке – угроза интересам Российской Федерации. РИА Новости. Ivanov: Instability in the Middle East bears a threat to the Russian Federation interests. 2011. RIA Novosti, April 6. http://ria.ru/politics/20110406/361515688.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
118. Иранские военные учения: взгляд из Москвы. Iranian Military Training: from Moscow Perspective. 2009. News.com, 2009. http://www.voanews.com/russian/news/russia/Iran-Military-Russian-Reaction-2009-11-23-71949112.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
119. Ирану не грозит паралич. Россия и Китай защитили свои экономические интересы. Iran is not going to be paralyzed. Russia and China defend their economic interests. 2010. Vremya Novostei, June 7. http://www.vremya.ru/2010/97/5/255467.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
120. Лукьянов, Федор. Ядерный полюс. Nuclear Pole. 2007. Gazeta.ru, October 18, http://www.gazeta.ru/column/lukyanov/2248200.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
121. Медведев и Меркель обсудили иранскую ядерную проблему и вопросы изменения климата. Medvedev and Merkel discussed Iranian nuclear crisis and climate change. Deautche Welle. http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5287574,00.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
122. Мигранян, А. Внешняя политика России: испытание Ираном. Russian Foreign Policy: Temptations by Iran. 2001. Independent Newspaper, March 15. http://www.ng.ru/world/2001-03-15/1_probation.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
123. МИД: Россия соблюдает обязательства по сотрудничеству с Ираном. MFA: Russia Fulfills its Obligations in Cooperation with Iran. 2009. Gazeta.ru, November 17, http://www.gazeta.ru/news/lenta/2009/11/17/n_1425634.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
124. Не все потеряно. Nothing has been lost. 2010. Vzglyad, September 23. http://vz.ru/politics/2010/9/23/434638.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
125. Основные направления ВТС России и Ирана. Main Trends in Military-technical Cooperation between Russia and Iran. 2009. Arms-TASS Agency, February. http://arms-tass.su/?page=article&aid=66765&cid=25 (accessed February 29, 2012)
126. Перезагрузка с иранской нагрузкой. Reset with Iranian Burden. 2010. Vzglyad, June 25. http://www.vz.ru/politics/2010/6/25/413508.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
127. Пресс-конференция «Перспективы решения иранского кризиса». Press Conference “Prospects to Solve Iranian Nuclear Issue. 2005. RIA Novosti, September 6. http://www.pircenter.org/data/resources/FederalNewsService.pdf (accessed February 29, 2012)
128. Продажа российского оружия за рубеж. Радио Эхо Москвы. Russian arms export. 2006. Echo of Moscow radio station, May 31, http://www.echo.msk.ru/programs/razvorot/43853/ (accessed February 29, 2012)
129. Птичук, Сергей. Иран хочет закупить 100 гражданских самолетов в России Iran Wishes to Buy 100 Aircrafts from Russia. 2008. Rossiiskaya Gazeta, March 5. http://www.rg.ru/2008/03/05/samolet.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
130. Ракеты не дадим. We are not Going to Give them Missiles. 2010. Vzglyad, September 22. http://www.vz.ru/politics/2010/9/22/434556.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
131. Российско-Израильские отношения. Справка РИА Новости. Russian-Israeli relations. 2010. RIA Novosti, February 16. http://ria.ru/spravka/20100216/209418584.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
132. Российско-иранские отношения упрочат совместным банком. Russian-Iranian Relations are Getting Closer due to Establishment of Common Bank. 2010. GZT.ru, January 13. http://www.gzt.ru/topnews/economics/281945.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
133. Россия критикует новые санкции США против Ирана. Russia criticizes the new US sanctions against Iran. 2011. Russkaya sluzhba BBC, June 24 http://www.bbc.co.uk/russian/international/2011/06/110624_russia_iran_sanctions.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
134. Россия не исключает возможности введения санкций против Ирана. Russia doesn’t Avoid the Possibility of Sanctions Implementation against Iran. 2010. RBC Daily, March 19. http://www.rbc.ru/rbcfreenews/20100319204523.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
135. Россия отказалась от отгрузки систем С-300 Ирану. Russia Refused to Ship S-300 Missile Systems to Iran. 2009. BBC Russian Service, October 22 http://www.bbc.co.uk/russian/international/2009/10/091022_s300_iran_contract_frozen.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
136. Саудовская Аравия создаст ядерное оружие вслед за Ираном. Saudi Arabia will create nuclear weapons following Iran. 2011. Rosbalt, June 30 http://www.rosbalt.ru/main/2011/06/30/864370.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
137. Сердюков, Анатолий. Оценки СМИ. Serdyukov, Anatolyi. Biography, Media Assesments. Vedomosti. http://www.vedomosti.ru/persons/2138/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%A1%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B4%D1%8E%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2 (accessed February 29, 2012)
138. США ввели санкции в отношении российской компании «Рособоронэкспорт». The U.S. Implemented Sanctions against Russian Company “Rosoboronexport”. 2008. Russian Newspaper, October 24 http://www.rg.ru/2008/10/24/rosoboronexport-anons.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
139. Сысоев, Геннадий. Цена вопроса. Sysoev, Gennadiy. 2005. The Value of the Matter. Kommersant, February 2. http://www.cargobay.ru/news/kommersant_/2005/2/2/id_63280.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
140. Топалов А. «Газпром» вступил в соединение с Ираном. “Gazprom” Merged with Iran. 2007. Gazeta.ru, December 13, http://www.gazeta.ru/business/2007/12/13/2424073.shtml (accessed February 29, 2012)
141. ШОС на распутье. Shanghay Cooperation Organization at the crossroad. 2006. Independent Newspaper, June 15. http://www.ng.ru/world/2006-06-15/10_shos.html (accessed February 29, 2012)
142. Ядерные технологии попали в Иран из США. Nuclear technologies came to Iran from the US. 2010. Vzglyad, April 15. http://www.vz.ru/politics/2010/4/15/393357.html (accessed February 29, 2012)

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