臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

機電工程產業之中小型專案計畫執行時常面臨來自於不同方面之突發狀況，產生許多不確定性因素，增加專案管理上的困難度，而這些變化所產生的風險有可能影響整個專案計劃的成敗；於是風險管理成為各專案管理人在執行專案檢視績效時常討論的議題。
主動威脅與機會管理 (Active Threat and Opportunity Management) 的概念是以科學的手法採定性定量分析，將風險進行區分層級結構化建立一標準風險管理模式，在專案執行階段進行風險管理，將風險轉變為機會或將發生機率降至最低。
本研究透過實際案例建置機電工程專案風險管理系統，結合主動式風險管理的概念進行試行與評估。此個案研究顯示此主動式系統流程整合結構化分析、互動資料庫、與當責之組織管理；能對於專案執行過程中面臨風險時作出適當的回應，以及考慮如何解決，在發生前試圖影響風險，減少威脅，增加機會。此個案從執行各步驟的結果(時程、成本、品質)確認控管的成效，並將處理流程實務與經驗提供給機電工程專案風險管理與決策的參考。

There are frequently unexpected situations coming from different events resulting in many uncertainties which raise the difficulty in managing small and medium electrical &; mechanical projects. These risks caused by uncertainties may impact the whole project success. For this reason, risk management becomes a critical topic discussed by project managers during project performance evaluation.
The concept of active threat and opportunity management is a qualitative and quantitative analysis method to develop a standard risk management model that separates risk into varied levels and converts it as opportunity as well as reducing the probability of risk occurring during each stage of project implementation.
This thesis tries to build and evaluate a risk management system employing the concept of active threat and opportunity management via an electrical &; mechanical project case study. The study makes a case for the system; comprising an active process integrating multi-level risk analysis, interactive database, and accountable organization management; to prompt proper responses to risk and to consider for solutions that can reduce threat and raise opportunity before risk impacting on project. This thesis provides an example on the practices that produce active control performance (time, cost and quality) through the key stages of project progress, which could serve as a reference for the risk management in small and medium electrical &; mechanical projects.

中文摘要 I
Abstract II
目 錄 IV
圖目錄 VI
表目錄 VII
第壹章 緒 論 1
一、研究背景與動機 1
二、研究目的與議題 2
三、研究流程 2
第貳章 文獻探討 4
一、專案管理 4
二、風險管理 5
三、主動威脅與機會管理 10
第參章 研究方法 15
一、個案研究法 15
二、研究步驟 16
三、研究分析 17
四、研究範圍與限制 19
第肆章 個案分析 21
一、個案簡介 21
二、問題定義 23
三、個案公司專案風險管理流程分析 26
四、專案風險管理流程改善 29
五、建置風險管理系統 30
六、執行專案風險管理 33
七、綜合討論 47
1.ATOM及PMBOK風險管理流程比較 47
2.主動式風險管理架構建置及效益分析 49
(1) 主動式風險管理架構建置 49
(2) 案例效益分析 49
(3) 個案公司與客戶端效益分析 51
3.研究議題彙整討論 52
4.流程建置成功的關鍵 53
第伍章 結論與建議 55
一、研究結果與討論 55
二、後續研究及建議 56
參考文獻 57
附 錄 59
附錄一：風險登錄表(範例) 59
附錄二：風險分解結構RBS(範例) 60
附錄三：個案公司工程專案流程圖 61
附錄四：各階段結束之風險討論記錄(範例) 62
附錄五：施工計劃分項施工項目數量表(節錄) 66
附錄六：石門水庫增設取水工程風險登錄表(節錄) 69
附錄七：取水工閘閥及計量設施規劃(節錄) 70
附錄八：監控系統規劃(節錄) 73
附錄九：個案公司受訪人與訪談重點 78

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