臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

本文實證探索1990~2010年全球化環境下，當國內環境改變，影響及於外人來臺從四種不同類別投資活動時，臺灣地區食品加工產業產出水準所受到的影響。實證估計分二個方向進行：首先檢視國內外環境絕對變動的影響，其次檢視相對環境變動的影響。本文同時估計食品加工產業對各種融通管道的依賴性。
實證估計果如下：首先，當國內環境改變，無論是屬於有利於吸引外人來臺從事直接投資、股權投資、債權投資或引進國外短期融通性資金時，本質上屬於內需型產業的食品加工產業並不會受到顯著的影響。其次，利用外資淨流入變數下，當相對環境變動改變不利於臺灣時，無論該變動層面是屬於實質面或貨幣面，其對國內食品加工業的影響皆屬輕微。最後，無論國內環境如何改變，食品加工產業對能否取得流動負債的依賴性最高，股權資金居次。

This thesis empirically examines the effects of domestic external environmental changes which in turn affect four types of foreign capitals inflow, on the output levels of the food processing industrial in Taiwan. We examine the effects of absolute changes as well as the relative changes in domestic environments. The dependences of running the food processing industry on various accommodations channels are also examined.
Our findings are as follow. First, when the domestic environment changes whether it creates favorable condition to attract foreign direct investment, stock investment, bond investment or other short rum accommodations, the essentially non-tradable food processing industry is not affected significantly. Second, using the net inflows as the explanatory variables, the estimated results show that whenever there is an unfavorable change in domestic environment, the effects are minimal irrespective to whether the changes involved are in the real sector or in the monetary sector. Finally, no matter what happened to the domestic environment, the ability to acquire liquid liability plays the most crucial role in running the food processing industry, while the issuance of stock shares the second.

目錄
目錄.............................................................................................................................. I
圖目錄 .......................................................................................................................... V
表目錄 ......................................................................................................................... VI
第一章 緒論 ............................................................................................................. 1
第一節 研究背景與動機...................................................................................... 1
第二節 全球化研究文獻回顧.............................................................................. 5
第三節 論文架構................................................................................................ 15
第二章 台灣地區食品產業發展現況分析 ........................................................... 16
第一節 台灣地區食品產業的起源與發展........................................................ 16
第二節 台灣地區食品產業的現況.................................................................... 24
第三節 台灣地區食品產業的國際化................................................................ 29
第三章 實證研究 ................................................................................................... 32
第一節 實證資料來源........................................................................................ 32
第二節 實證估計方法........................................................................................ 44
第三節 實證估計結果........................................................................................ 56
第四章 結論 ........................................................................................................... 64
參考資料 ..................................................................................................................... 66

圖目錄
圖1、金融國際化對開發中國家經濟成長的影響管道 ............................................ 9
圖2、1999-2008全球冷凍食品銷售直發展趨勢 .................................................... 19
圖3、1996-2006年我國食品消費及外食比例 ........................................................ 19
圖4、食品產業進出口趨勢 ...................................................................................... 20
圖5、食品業產業鏈 .................................................................................................. 24
圖6、味全產出 .......................................................................................................... 36
圖7、味王產出………………………….………………………………………….. 36
圖8、大成產出………………………………………………………………………36
圖9、統一產出 .......................................................................................................... 36
圖10、愛之味產出 .................................................................................................... 36
圖11、泰山產出 ......................................................................................................... 36
圖12、佳格產出 ........................................................................................................ 36
圖13、聯華產出 ........................................................................................................ 36
圖14、聯華食產出………………………………………….………………………..37
圖15、南僑產出 ........................................................................................................ 37
圖16、銀行引進短期國外融(OI(L)---BANK) ......................................................... 41
圖17、外人來台股權投資(SI(L)---stocks) ............................................................... 41
圖18、外人來台債券投資(SI(L)---bonds)…………………………………………..41
圖19、外人來台直接投資(TDI). ............................................................................. .41

表目錄

表1、台灣食品產業發展歷程 .................................................................................. 17
表2、食品產業進口趨勢 .......................................................................................... 18
表3、食品產業出口趨勢 .......................................................................................... 18
表4、亞洲食品市場發展階段 .................................................................................. 23
表5、我國食品產業產銷規模 .................................................................................. 25
表6、10家食品業廠商基本資料 ............................................................................. 27
表7、10家食品廠商外資佔股本之比率2012年 ................................................... 28
表8、我國食品業者海外佈局概況 .......................................................................... 29
表9、我國食品業者海外佈局概況 .......................................................................... 30
表10、10家食品廠商內外銷比重1992年到2010年 ........................................... 31
表11、本文實證研究使用變數與其來源 ................................................................. 34
表12、10家食品業廠商產出基本統計量1992年~2010年 .................................. 36
表13、10家食品業廠商流動負債基本統計量1992年~2010年 .......................... 37
表14、10家食品業廠商長期負債基本統計量1992年~2010年 .......................... 38
表15、10家食品業廠商其他負債基本統計量1992年~2010年 .......................... 39
表16、10家食品業廠商股權基本統計量1992年~2010年 .................................. 40
表17、外資流入基本統計分析1992年~2010年 ................................................... 41
表18、外資流入相關係數1992年~2010年 ........................................................... 42
表19、外資淨流入額基本統計分析1992年~2010年 ........................................... 43
表20、基本模型與國外資金流入估計結果1992年~2010年 ............................... 58
表21、基本模型與國外資金淨流入估計結果1992年~2010年 ........................... 61
表22、國際資本流動影響估計果1992年~2010年 ............................................... 63

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