本研究開發了一個動態系統分析模型來研究投資規劃在企業資本分配在研發方面和產能規劃。該動態系統分析模型是由多個子模組組成，如訂單管理模組、生產管理模組、財務管理模組、研發管理模組和投資管理模組等。本研究分析一個案例公司的關鍵決策，包括：（i）每年的資本投資及其對企業利潤的影響，及（ii）資本於不同的功能部門之間的分配。此外，本研究並探討兩個事業群（BUs）的合作模型與決策，如訂單需求、投資增長、生產收益率和公司的內部的商業決策。

This study develops a system dynamics model to investigate investment planning in terms of enterprise capital allocation in R&D and capacity planning sectors. The model consists of sub-models of order management, production management, finance management, R&D management, and investment management. Next, a set of scenarios analyze critical decisions of the case firm, including: (i) annual capital investment and its effect on firm’s profit, and (ii) optimal capital allocation distributed among different functional sectors. In addition, interaction between two business units (BUs) model within the same profit organization is considered in the model. The proposed models provide a guidance to business decisions based on inputs such as order demands, investment growth, production yield rate, and firm’s internal policies.

CONTENTS

摘要 I
ABSTRACT II
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT III
CONTENTS IV
LIST OF FIGURES VII
LIST OF TABLES IX
LIST OF APPENDICES X
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Research background 1
1.2 Research objectives 2
1.3 Problem definition 2
1.4 Research process 5
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW 7
2.1 Investment planning 7
2.2 System dynamics 11
2.3 Profile of the firm in the case study 14
CHAPTER 3 MODELING OF A SINGLE BU SYSTEM 16
3.1 System dynamics model of business flow and investment planning 16
3.2 Process flow design and mathematical model 18
3.2.1 Demand and capacity planning sub-model 20
3.2.2 Production and financial sub-model 25
3.2.3 Investment sub-model 28
3.2.4 Patents valuation sub-model 30
3.3 Experiments and results 32
3.3.1 Base model simulation and outcome 32
3.3.2 Model validation 34
3.4 Experiments of a single BU model 38
3.4.1 Decision points 38
3.4.2 Sensitivity analysis 41
3.5 Scenario analysis on critical input factors 44
3.5.1 Patents effect on technology capability 44
3.5.2 Demand multiplier 46
3.5.3 Yield rate 47
3.5.4 Investment multiplier rate 49
CHAPTER 4 MODELING OF A TWO-BU SYSTEM 51
4.1 Modeling and scenarios 51
4.2 Business unit A and business unit B as isolated models 51
4.3 Resource sharing between business units 53
CHAPTER 5 CONCLUSION 61
5.1 Summary 61
5.2 Contributions and future research 63
REFERENCES 65
APPENDICES 70

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