跳到主要內容

臺灣博碩士論文加值系統

(44.211.31.134) 您好!臺灣時間:2024/07/21 06:15
字體大小: 字級放大   字級縮小   預設字形  
回查詢結果 :::

詳目顯示

我願授權國圖
: 
twitterline
研究生:李惠妍
研究生(外文):Lee, Hui-Yen
論文名稱:全球金融風暴對中國汽車需求之影響
論文名稱(外文):The Effect of the Global Financial Crisis on Automobile Demand in China
指導教授:康信鴻康信鴻引用關係
指導教授(外文):Kang, Hsin-Hong
口試委員:許永明莊雙喜黃一祥周信輝黃瀞瑩
口試日期:2014-10-14
學位類別:博士
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:企業管理學系
學門:商業及管理學門
學類:企業管理學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2014
畢業學年度:103
語文別:英文
論文頁數:44
中文關鍵詞:汽車需求迴歸分析全球金融風暴所得彈性
外文關鍵詞:automobile demandmulti-regression analysisthe global financial crisisthe income elasticity of demand
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:10
  • 評分評分:
  • 下載下載:0
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:0
本研究採用迴歸分析來探討影響中國汽車需求的因素,並且將資料分成三個
不同期間,來探討全球金融風暴對中國汽車需求的影響。資料期間從2001 年到
2013 年。依據實證結果得知:在全球金融風暴之前的期間,影響中國汽車需求的
主要因素為汽車價格、汽油價格、貸款利率和個人可支配所得。所得彈性為
0.270。在全球金融風暴期間,影響中國汽車需求的主要因素為汽車價格、貸款
利率和個人可支配所得。所得彈性為0.928。而在全球金融風暴之後的期間,影
響中國汽車需求的主要因素只有個人可支配所得。所得彈性為0.243。顯示出個
人可支配所得為決定購買汽車與否的非常重要因素。研究結果更顯示出汽車不論
在全球金融風暴的前中後期都為正常財,但在全球金融風暴期間所得彈性幾乎為
其他兩期的三倍,接近為奢侈財,更顯示出全球金融風暴對中國汽車需求有很顯
著的影響。
This paper examined the factors influencing Chinese auto demand from 2001 to 2013, using multi-regression analysis. This study also investigated the effects of the recent global financial crisis on Chinese automobile demand, and compared the results with those found for three different periods of time. According to the empicral results, the main factors influencing the quantity of Chinese automobile demand before the global financial crisis were the price of automobiles, the price of gasoline,the lending rate and the personal disposable income. During the global financial crisis,the main factors were the price of automobiles, the lending rate and the personal disposable income. Only one main factor influenced Chinese auto demand after the
global financial crisis, and this was the personal disposable income. The income elasticity of the demand was 0.270, 0.928 and 0.243 before, during and after the global financial crisis, respectively. The results thus show that automobiles are a normal good and that personal disposable income is a very important factor in people’s decisions whether or not to purchase an automobile in China. Furthermore,the impact of the global financial crisis on Chinese automobile demand has been very significant.
Chinese Abstract .....i
English Abstract .....ii
Acknoledgement (In Chinese) .....iii
Contents ......iv
Tables .......vii

Chapter 1 Introduction.............1
1.1 Research Background ...........3
1.2 Research Objectives ...........5
1.3 Research Contributions ..........6

Chapter 2 Literature Review..........7
2.1 Literature Review............7
2.2 Theory ...............11
2.2.1 Demand function.............11
2.2.2. Price elasticity of demand.........12
2.2.3. Cross price elasticity of demand.......13
2.2.4. Income elasticity of demand........14

Chapter 3 Empirical Methods and Model ......15
3.1. Samples and data sources ..........15
3.2. Variables ...............16
3.3. Empirical Methods............18
3.4. The establishment of the empirical model.....19

Chapter 4 Empirical Results...........20
4.1. The results before the global financial crisis...20
4.2 Results during the global financial crisis....25
4.3. Results after the global financial crisis....28

Chapter 5 Conclusion............32
5.1. Before the global financial crisis.......32
5.2. During the global financial crisis.......34
5.3. After the global financial crisis......36
5.4. Summary................37

Directions for future studies.........40
References................41
Abu-Eisheh, S., & Mannering, F. L. (2002). Forecasting automobile demand for economies in transition: A dynamic simultaneous-equation system approach.Transportation Planning and Technology, 25(4), 311-331.
Arguea, N. M., Hsiao, C., & Taylor, G. A. (1994). Estimating consumer preferences using market data - An application to united-states automobile demand.
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 9(1), 1-18.
Beresteanu, A., & Li, S. J. (2011). Gasoline prices, government support, and the demand for hybrid vehicles in the united states. International Economic Review, 52(1), 161-182.
Berger, A. N., & Bouwman, C. H. S. (2013). How does capital affect bank performance during financial crises? Journal of Financial Economics, 109(1),146-176.
Bonilla, D., Schmitz, K. E., & Akisawa, A. (2012). Demand for mini cars and large cars; decay effects, and gasoline demand in Japan. Energy Policy, 50, 217-227.
Carlson, R. L. (1978). Seemingly unrelated regression and demand for automobiles of different sizes, 1965-75 - Disaggregate approach. Journal of Business, 51(2),243-262.
Carlson, R. L., & Umble, M. M. (1980). Statistical demand-functions for automobiles and their use for forecasting in an energy-crisis. Journal of Business, 53(2),193-204.
Depelsmacker, P. (1990). A structural model of the demand for new cars in Belgium.Applied Economics, 22(5), 669-686.
Drucker, Peter F and Nakauchi, Isao (1998). Drucker on Asia. Commonwealth Publishing Co., Ltd. ( in Chinese)
Filho, A. N. S., Zebende, G. F., & Moret, M. A. (2008). Self-affinity of vehicle demand on the ferry-boat system. International Journal of Modern Physics C,19(4), 665-669.
Fouquet, R. (2012). Trends in income and price elasticities of transport demand (1850–2010). Energy Policy, 50(0), 62-71.
Gujarati, D. N. (2006). Essentials of Econometrics (3rd ed.): McGraw Hill.
Hensher, D. A. (1986). Dimensions of automobile demand - an overview of an Australian research-project. Environment and Planning A, 18(10), 1339-1374.
Jun, S. P. (2012). An empirical study of users' hype cycle based on search traffic: the case study on hybrid cars. Scientometrics, 91(1), 81-99.
Kang, H. H., & Chen, L. (1996). Forecasting the demand of automobile market in Mainland China : An application of regression analysis. NTU Management Review, 7(1), 31-48.
Kobos, P. H., Erickson, J. D., & Drennen, T. E. (2003). Scenario analysis of Chinese passenger vehicle growth. Contemporary Economic Policy, 21(2), 200-217.
Li, M. Z. F., Lau, D. C. B., & Seah, D. W. M. (2011). Car ownership and urban transport demand in Singapore. International Journal of Transport Economics,38(1), 47-70.
Li, S. J., Liu, Y. Y., & Zhang, J. J. (2011). Lose some, save some: Obesity, automobile demand, and gasoline consumption. Journal of Environmental Economics and
Management, 61(1), 52-66.
Marazzo, M., Scherre, R., & Fernandes, E. (2010). Air transport demand and economic growth in Brazil: A time series analysis. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 46(2), 261-269.
McGuigan, J. R., Moyer, R. C., & Harris, F. H. (2008). Economics for Managers(11th ed.). USA: Thomson South-Western.
Nerlove, M. (1957). A note on long-run automobile demand. Journal of Marketing,22(1), 57-64.
Pierdzioch, C., Rulke, J. C., & Stadtmann, G. (2011). Forecasting US car sales and car registrations in Japan: Rationality, accuracy and herding. Japan and the World
Economy, 23(4), 253-258.
Shepherd, S., Bonsall, P., & Harrison, G. (2012). Factors affecting future demand for electric vehicles: A model based study. Transport Policy, 20, 62-74.
Suits, D. B. (1958). The demand for new automobiles in the United States 1926-1956.The Review of Economics and Statistics, 40(3), 273-280.
Wojcik, C. (2000). Alternative models of demand for automobiles. Economics Letters,68(2), 113-118.
Wong, K. I. (2013). An Analysis of Car and Motorcycle Ownership in Macao.International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, 7(3), 204-225.
Yun-Peng, C., Da-Wen, Q., & Mark, M. (2005). The Minority Report of BRICs:BusinessNews Publishing Ltd.
連結至畢業學校之論文網頁點我開啟連結
註: 此連結為研究生畢業學校所提供,不一定有電子全文可供下載,若連結有誤,請點選上方之〝勘誤回報〞功能,我們會盡快修正,謝謝!
QRCODE
 
 
 
 
 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top