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研究生:陳琇王亭
研究生(外文):Shiou-ting Chen
論文名稱:亞太區域TPP與RCEP的美中競逐
論文名稱(外文):The Pacific Regional Trade Policy Competition Between US-TPP & China-RCEP
指導教授:張顯超張顯超引用關係
指導教授(外文):Hsien-Chao Chang
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立中山大學
系所名稱:中國與亞太區域研究所
學門:社會及行為科學學門
學類:區域研究學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2017
畢業學年度:105
語文別:中文
論文頁數:230
中文關鍵詞:區域全面經濟夥伴協定全球化重返亞太反全球化亞太區域跨太平洋夥伴協定川普貿易政策
外文關鍵詞:pivot to asiaAnti–globalizationTrans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership AgreementRCEPRegional Comprehensive Economic Partnership AgreementTPPTrump’s trade policyglobalizationAsia-Pacific Region
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本文以美國領導的TPP與中國帶領的RCEP 為例:首先,從「亞太區域」為主軸,但會先從多邊架構之僵局進而討論已開發國家與發展中國家之爭執為何;其次,由美國與中國的經貿關係之存在依賴與矛盾的關係切入,凸顯美中新型大國關係之對話重要性,並以雁型模式與同心圓模式來驗證之;再者,探討TPP與RCEP於亞太地區之歷程發展;最後,探討亞太地區走向區域經貿整合的機會與挑戰,進而論TPP在美國大選結果後產生了破局,將會做選戰後川普的貿易政策之預測。
In this paper will use the US-TPP and China-RCEP as an example: Though the "Asia-Pacific region" is the main axis, I will use the stalemate of the multilateral framework to discuss the dispute between the developed countries and the developing countries; Second, the relationship between the United States and China depends on the existence and contradiction of the relationship. This dependence highlights the importance of the dialogue between the new US-China relations and is verified by flying geese pattern and concentric circles model; Finally, the opportunities and challenges of regional economic and trade integration in the Asia-Pacific region would be mentioned in this paper. TPP in the United States after the election results had been broken, this paper will do post-election war about Trump''s trade policy forecast.
目錄
國立中山大學研究生學位論文審定書………………………………………………i
國立中山大學博碩士論文公開授權書………………………………………………ii
誌謝………………………………………………………………………………....…iii
中文摘要…………………………………………………………………….....…...…v
英文摘要…………………………………………………………………..………..…vi

第一章、緒論 1
第一節、研究動機與目的 1
第二節、文獻回顧 4
壹、亞太區域主義部分: 4
第三節、研究方法 17
壹、歷史分析法 17
貳、文獻分析法(document analysis) 17
參、比較研究法 18
肆、內容分析法 19
第四節、研究範圍 19
第五節、研究限制 20
第六節、研究架構圖 22
第二章、WTO全球貿易挫敗的遲滯未前 23
第一節、經濟全球化與衍生的難題 23
壹、全球化的貿易興起 23
貳、反全球化之浪潮 25
第二節、亞太地區之經貿格局 30
壹、WTO挫敗對於區域經濟的影響 30
貳、亞太經合作(APEC)之議程 34
參、亞太經濟合作(APEC)之展望 36
第三節、美中兩強在亞太經貿的經濟競逐 41
壹、中國加入WTO後經濟之崛起 41
貳、美國重返亞太之貿易政策 45
第四節、東亞產業供應鏈之變化 47
壹、美日雁型模式之發展 54
貳、中國同心圓模式之意圖 58
第五節、小結 61
第三章、美中經貿關係的依賴與競逐 63
第一節、亞太區域主義之內涵 63
第二節、美中貿易依賴之現狀 70
第三節、美國欲領導21世紀貿易規則 78
壹、透由開放外國市場去創建和維持更好的美國就業 81
貳、透由監督和執行美國的人民權利去創建和維持更好的美國就業 82
參、制定戰略和透明的政策 82
肆、有效溝通貿易的好處 82
伍、實現組織卓越 82
第四節、中國試圖改變貿易規則之突圍 83
第五節、小結 88
第四章、規則大業:美國TPP與中國RCEP主導權之爭 91
第一節、美國所主導之TPP 91
壹、TPP之擬議 92
貳、美國介入主導TPP 98
第二節、中國為首之RCEP 106
壹、RCEP之擬議 107
貳、中國介入主導RCEP 112
第三節、日本加入TPP與RCEP之亞太樞紐關係 113
第四節、小結 119
第五章、亞太地區走向區域經貿整合的機會與挑戰 122
第一節、兩個軸心併起的起始作用 122
第二節、成員國交互參與與比重 134
第三節、中國推動的困難 135
第四節、美中競逐終將回利益趨同於合作 141
第五節、美國川普選後對TPP之挑戰 148
壹、保護主義重返美國之原因 149
貳、美國不參與對日本之緊張 155
參、美國是否有新的亞太經貿戰略取代TPP 156
第六節、小結 163
第六章、結論 166
第一節、研究發現 166
第二節、未來研究建議 169
壹、有關TPP未來發展之矛盾現象 169
貳、有關RCEP之後續談判 171
附件一、GATT第5條(Article V)原文內容: Economic Integration 173
附件二、GATT第24條(Article XXIV)原文內容: Territorial Application — Frontier Traffic — Customs Unions and Free-trade Areas 175
附件三、一九九四年關稅及貿易總協定第二十四條釋義瞭解書 179
附件四、TPP協定摘要中譯 183
參考文獻 198

表格目錄
表格 1:舊區域主義與新區域主義之比較表 5
表格 2:2013-2016美國-中國戰略與經濟對話的戰略軌跡成果 7
表格 3:APEC在亞太經貿發展之歷程 34
表格 4:APEC目標與支柱 37
表格 5:國際重要事件中,對中國製造業總體經濟之影響 45
表格 6:APEC國家在世界中歷年之製造業貿易出口總量 48
表格 7:2011-2015外國直接投資流量Million US dollars(向外) 52
表格 8:2011-2015外國直接投資流量Million US dollars(向內) 53
表格 9:美國海外投資(亞太地區與製造業為例) 55
表格 10:美國海外投資(亞太地區與製造業為例) 56
表格 11:日本2011-2015之對外直接投資 57
表格 12:中國海外投資指數 59
表格 13:亞太地區RTA協定數量(含貨物和服務) 67
表格 14:亞太地區三大模型 69
表格 15:2011年–2015年之美國與中國之歷年國際交易進出口總額 75
表格 16:美國於2011-2015年之與中國貿易之歷程 76
表格 17:美國與中國歷年貿易依賴之比例 77
表格 18:2011-2015中國ODI與FDI投資流量Million US dollars 86
表格 19:TPP之簽署進程表 97
表格 20:日本的定位 114
表格 21:日本加入TPP談判對主要經濟體的影響 118
表格 22:2011年,TPP成員參與全球供應鏈之狀況 127
表格 23:2011年,RCEP成員參與全球供應鏈之狀況 130
表格 24:2015年TPP與RCEP佔全球GDP之比例 134
表格 25:中國歷年經濟結構之轉變 138

圖目錄
圖 1:研究架構圖 22
圖 2:TPP、RCEP、FTAAP之佈局 32
圖 3:APEC的自由化目標描述與推進方式 39
圖 4::1995-2014年,世界最大的出口國成長比較圖 43
圖 5::中國歷年製造業貿易出口趨勢圖(Yearly Million US dollars) 44
圖 6:C型包圍圈 46
圖 7 :美日雁型模式與中國同心圓模式之經貿戰略圖 51
圖 8:亞太地區之經貿戰略沿革 62
圖 9:美國雁型模式 89
圖 10:日本加入TPP之影響 116
圖 11:亞太地區貿易軌道之整合圖 120
圖 12:亞洲多邊協定-跨區域多邊協定 124
圖 13:貿易的價值增值和全球價值鏈之概念圖 126
圖 14:美國人在全球經濟中的參與分裂 158
圖 15:共和黨和民主黨對於自由貿易協定之分歧 159
參考文獻
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