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研究生:楊子錇
研究生(外文):Yang, Tzu-Pei
論文名稱:自駕公車場域遴選之研究-以屏東縣為例
論文名稱(外文):Site Selection for Autonomous Bus - A Case Study in Pingtung County
指導教授:胡大瀛胡大瀛引用關係
指導教授(外文):Hu, Ta-Yin
口試委員:蔡東峻廖彩雲沈宗緯
口試委員(外文):Tsai, Dung-ChunShen, Chung-Wei
口試日期:2023-07-11
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:交通管理科學系碩士在職專班
學門:運輸服務學門
學類:運輸管理學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2023
畢業學年度:111
語文別:中文
論文頁數:112
中文關鍵詞:自駕公車無人車層級分析法多屬性效用理論場域遴選
外文關鍵詞:Autonomous busDriver-less carAnalytic Hierarchy ProcessMulti-Attribute Utility TheorySite selection
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屏東縣地域廣大、地貌豐富,但公共運輸資源有限,在尖峰時段,許多旅客依賴私人運具,導致車流眾多且車禍頻繁。根據研究顯示,自駕運具可以提高運輸效率,減少汽車數量,因此適合作為共享和公共運輸改善方案。然而,目前自駕公車技術成本高昂且規模有限,在混合車流下可能對路網產生負面影響。因此,如何選擇自駕公車場域建立和執行效益評估,以實現最大效益的系統運作,是一個值得關注的問題。目前我國也缺乏綜合考量國內需求、車流和道路環境等因素且基於科學理論的自駕公車場域遴選評估準則重要性之研究。
為此,本研究旨在探討自駕公車場域遴選的評估準則,包括需求、成本、技術、安全和外在環境等條件,使用層級分析法(Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP)與多屬性效用理論(Multi-Attribute Utility Theory, MAUT),提出適用於國內道路環境場域遴選的建議。並以屏東縣為例,從整個決策分析流程中評選出建議的自駕公車場域排序,以使決策更客觀和完整,並在有限的預算和資源下實現最佳化的資源分配,以達到預期目標。
研究結果顯示,在選擇自駕公車場域時,最重要的考慮層面是「安全」和「場域對自駕公車的需求程度」,建議優先評估具有「專用路權」、「車流量低」或「交通事故頻乃」的場域,並搭配相應的公共運輸改善策略,也可以逐步在「公共運輸可及性較低」的場域導入自駕公車系統,本研究並根據研究結果對屏東縣的9個場域進行排序,以充分發揮自駕公車系統的優勢。
Due to Pingtung County's extensive geography and diverse terrain, limited public transportation resources result in heavy traffic and frequent accidents during peak hours. Research suggests that autonomous vehicles (AV) can improve transportation efficiency and reduce the number of existing cars, making them suitable for shared and public transportation improvement solutions. However, the current stage of autonomous bus technology involves high costs and limited scalability, and it may have negative impacts on the road network under mixed traffic conditions.
Hence the selection and implementation of autonomous bus deployment sites to maximize system benefits are key issues. However, Taiwan lacks comprehensive research that incorporates domestic demand, traffic flow, road environment and other alternatives based on scientific theories to evaluate the importance of criteria for selecting autonomous bus deployment sites.
This study explores evaluation criteria for autonomous bus site selection, including demand, cost, technology, safety, and external environment. Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT), the study reveals that "safety" and "demand level for autonomous buses in the site" are primary considerations when selecting deployment sites. It is recommended to prioritize evaluating sites with "dedicated right-of-way," "low traffic volume," or "frequent traffic accidents" and implementing corresponding public transportation improvement strategies. Additionally, gradually introducing autonomous bus systems in sites with "low public transportation accessibility" is suggested. The study ranks the nine sites in Pingtung County based on the research results, aiming to effectively leverage the advantages of the autonomous bus system.
摘要 i
誌謝 ix
目錄 x
表目錄 xi
圖目錄 xii
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 3
1.3 研究方法 4
1.4 研究流程 4
第二章 文獻回顧 5
2.1 自駕公車與相關政策法規 5
2.2 我國公共運輸挑戰與發展課題 8
2.3 智慧公共運輸與共享經濟的融合 8
2.4 自駕車的發展與應用 9
2.5 國內、外實施自駕公車情形與案例 13
2.6 自駕公車於需求反應式與偏鄉交通應用課題 16
2.7 自駕公車場域遴選的評估準則 17
2.8 案例場域概況(以屏東縣為例) 22
2.9 小結 30
第三章 研究方法 31
3.1 研究架構 31
3.2 研究方法回顧 32
3.3 問卷設計與調查 37
3.4 案例場域分析 45
3.5 小結 47
第四章 研究結果 48
4.1 自駕公車場域遴選因素權重值分析 48
4.2 不同分群對於自駕公車場域遴選因素認知差異比較 59
4.3 案例場域遴選 69
第五章 結論與建議 87
5.1 結論 87
5.2 建議 89
5.3 研究限制及未來研究方向 91
參考文獻 92
附錄1 層級分析法專家問卷 98
附錄2 屏東縣自駕公車場域位置圖 110
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