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研究生:陳思涵
研究生(外文):CHEN,SSU-HAN
論文名稱:建立頭頸部鱗狀細胞癌存活風險之預測模型
論文名稱(外文):Establish survival risk prediction models for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma
指導教授:葉志清葉志清引用關係
指導教授(外文):YEH,CHIH-CHING
口試委員:黃祥富葉志清吳美滿
口試委員(外文):HUANG,SHIANG-FUYEH,CHIH-CHINGWU,MEEI-MAAN
口試日期:2023-07-06
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:臺北醫學大學
系所名稱:公共衛生學系碩士班
學門:醫藥衛生學門
學類:公共衛生學類
論文種類:學術論文
論文出版年:2023
畢業學年度:111
語文別:中文
論文頁數:95
中文關鍵詞:頭頸癌腫瘤部位基因多形性預後預測模型
外文關鍵詞:Head and neck cancertumor subsitespolymorphismsprognosisprediction model
相關次數:
  • 被引用被引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:15
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  • 下載下載:1
  • 收藏至我的研究室書目清單書目收藏:0
研究背景:頭頸部癌症在全世界常見癌症中排名第六,死亡及復發風險會被人口學特徵、生活習慣及遺傳因子影響。本研究的研究目的為找出影響頭頸癌預後的危險因子,並且根據不同腫瘤部位建立存活風險預測模型。
研究方法:以醫院為基礎的回溯性世代研究。採用結構化問卷收集人口學特徵和生活習慣因子。由耳鼻喉科醫生收集病人的臨床病理學特徵。
參與者:1999年3月至2020年5月在林口長庚醫院診斷為口腔、口咽、下咽癌的患者共2603人。
結果測量:以Cox比例風險模型測量整體存活率及無疾病存活率的風險比(hazard ratio, HR),並且以逐步回歸建立預測模型。
研究結果:較低的BMI、曾經有飲酒習慣、較高的腫瘤TNM分期、較深的腫瘤浸潤深度及淋巴結莢膜外侵犯顯著的與口腔癌復發及死亡風險有關。喝茶習慣為口咽癌的復發(HR=1.94;95% CI=1.18-3.19)及死亡(HR=2.30;95% CI=1.28-4.16)的危險因子。此外,治療方式為手術合併放化療的口咽癌及下咽癌患者有較高的復發機率,風險比分別為2.24 (95% CI=1.25-4.00)及2.28 (95% CI=1.24-4.20)。基因多形性的MUTYH rs3219489及MSH2 rs3732183與口腔癌復發風險顯著關,ALDH7A1 rs12659017則有邊緣顯著相關。加入遺傳因子進入口腔癌預測模型能夠增加模型的預測能力(P=0.039)。
結論:本研究指出頭頸癌不同部位有特定的風險因子,應該根據不同的狀況實施相應適當的介入措施。

關鍵字:頭頸癌、腫瘤部位、基因多形性、預後、預測模型
Research Objectives:Head and neck cancer is the sixth most common cancer in the world. The risk of death and recurrence may be affected by demographic characteristics, living habits, and genetic factors. This study aims to find out the risk factors that affect the prognosis of head and neck cancer, and establish survival risk prediction models according to different tumor sites.
Design: This study is a hospital-based retrospective cohort study. Using structured questionnaires to collect demographic characteristics and living habits characteristics. Clinicopathological characteristics were collected by the otolaryngologist.
Participants: A total of 2,603 patients diagnosed with oral, oropharyngeal, and hypopharyngeal cancers at Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital from March 1999 to May 2020 were included in the study.
Outcome Measures: The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of overall survival rate and disease-free survival rate, and a predictive model was established by stepwise regression.
Results: The lower BMI, the habit of drinking alcohol, the higher tumor stage, the deeper depth of tumor infiltration, and the extracapsular invasion of lymph nodes are the significant risk factors for recurrence and death of oral cancer. Surprising, the habit of drinking tea was a risk factor for the recurrence (HR=1.94, 95% CI=1.18-3.19) and death (HR=2.30, 95% CI=1.28-4.16) of oropharyngeal cancer. Patients with oropharyngeal and hypopharyngeal cancers who were treated with concurrent chemo-radiotherapy after surgery had a higher risk of recurrence with HR=2.24 (95% CI=1.25-4.00) and HR=2.28 (95% CI=1.24-4.20), respectively. Polymorphisms of MUTYH rs3219489 and MSH2 rs3732183 were significantly associated with recurrence risk of oral cancer, while ALDH7A1 rs12659017 was marginally significant. Incorporating genetic factors into the oral cancer prediction model can increase the predictive ability of the model (P=0.039).
Conclusions: This study demonstrates that each subsite of head and neck cancer has specific risk factors and appropriate intervention should be implemented accordingly.

Key words: Head and neck cancer, tumor subsites, polymorphisms, prognosis, prediction model.
目錄
中文摘要 7
Abstract 8
第一章 緒論 10
第一節、 研究背景 10
第二節、 研究動機 11
第三節、 研究目的 11
第四節、 研究假說 11
第五節、 研究架構 12
第二章 文獻探討 13
第一節、 頭頸癌的流行病學特徵 13
(一) 全世界 13
(二) 台灣 13
第二節、 頭頸癌的位置 14
第三節、 頭頸癌分期 14
第四節、 頭頸癌的治療 14
第五節、 影響頭頸部癌預後的危險因子 15
(一) 人口學特徵 15
(二) 生活習慣 16
(三) 臨床病理學因子 18
(四) 遺傳因子 19
第六節、 頭頸癌預後預測模型的建立 22
第三章 研究材與方法 23
第一節、 研究族群 23
第二節、 資料蒐集 24
第三節、 癌症預後的測量 25
第四節、 統計分析 26
第四章 研究結果 27
第一節、 頭頸癌患者的基本人口學特徵及生活習慣分布 27
第二節、 頭頸癌患者的存活機率 27
第三節、 頭頸癌患者的復發風險 27
第四節、 頭頸癌患者的死亡風險 28
第五節、 口腔癌有基因變異資料者基本變項分布及死亡、復發風險分析 29
第六節、 基因變異與男性口腔癌患者復發、死亡風險的相關性 30
第七節、 建立口腔癌復發風險預測模型 31
第五章 討論 33
第一節、 主要研究結果 33
第二節、 影響頭頸癌復發及死亡風險的社會人口學因子 33
第三節、 影響頭頸癌復發及死亡風險的生活習慣因子 34
第四節、 影響頭頸癌復發及死亡風險的臨床病理學因子 36
第五節、 影響頭頸癌復發及死亡風險的遺傳因子 37
第六節、 研究限制 38
第六章 結論 40
參考文獻 ….. 41
表目錄
表一:文獻中與頭頸癌預後風險有關之基因變異 21
表二:研究中各變項的定義與分組 25
表三:頭頸癌患者基本變項分布 50
表四:單變量Cox比例風險模型計算復發風險(口腔癌) 52
表五:單變量Cox比例風險模型計算復發風險(口咽癌) 54
表六:單變量Cox比例風險模型計算復發風險(下咽癌) 56
表七:多變量Cox比例風險模型計算復發風險 58
表八:單變量Cox比例風險模型計算死亡風險(口腔癌) 60
表九:單變量Cox比例風險模型計算死亡風險(口咽癌) 62
表十:單變量Cox比例風險模型計算死亡風險(下咽癌) 64
表十一:多變量Cox比例風險模型計算存活風險 66
表十二:口腔癌有基因變異資料者的基本變項分布及復發風險分析 68
表十三:口腔癌有基因變異資料者的基本變項分布及整體死亡風險分析 71
表十四:基因變異與口腔癌患者復發風險的相關性 75
表十五:基因變異與整體死亡風險的相關性 81
表十六:口腔癌有基因變異資料者風險基因個數與口腔癌復發風險的相關性 87
表十七:風險基因與口腔癌復發的相關性 88
表十八:男性口腔癌有基因變異資料者復發風險預測模型 89
圖目錄
圖一:研究架構圖 12
圖二:樣本納入流程圖 23
圖三:樣本品質控制(quality control) 24
圖四:頭頸癌存活曲線 90
圖五:頭頸癌存活曲線(以腫瘤部位分層) 90
圖六:頭頸癌存活曲線(以期別分層) 91
圖八:口腔癌整體存活率 92
圖九:口咽癌無疾病存活率 93
圖十:口咽癌整體存活率 93
圖十一:下咽癌無疾病存活率 94
圖十二:下咽癌整體存活率 94
圖十三:網頁式列線圖頁面 95
圖十四:網頁式列線圖計算之存活曲線圖 95


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